Corinthians v Juventude

Corinthians host Juventude at the Corinthians Arena, where both sides will be hoping to bounce back from midweek defeats as they hope to get their campaigns back on track. When the sides met last year, Juventude enjoyed a 1-0 victory at home and earned a solid point away from home. 

On Tuesday evening, Corinthians travelled to Cuiaba and suffered a 1-0 defeat, after a first-half goal from Uendel. The defeat was Corinthians’ first in 12 games, but that’s not to say the loss hasn’t been coming. Their expected goals against this season stands at 15.01, although they have only conceded nine. This shows that Corinthians have offered plenty of goal-scoring opportunities and had ridden their luck until now. The defeat could be a blessing in disguise and give them a kick start that they need to start putting in better displays, if they want to challenge for the title. The previous seven games for Timão had seen them beaten on XG, but ironically, their XG against Cuiaba was level at 0.98. They will be hoping for much better going forward. 

Corinthians could see the return of centre back Joao Victor, right-back Fagner, and Attacker Willian, all of whom will be welcome returns. 

Their opponents, Juventude, come into the game on the back of a 3-1 home defeat to Athletico Paranaense. Despite the scoreline looking like it was a poor display from Juventude, in truth, wasted opportunities which cost them. They put up an XG of 2.64 compared to Athletico’s 1.58. Juve’s last three matches have seen them beat their opponents in the XG department. 

Juventude have the return of William Matheus and Rodrigo Soares who missed the defeat to Athletico through suspension. 

Despite their form being hit and miss, Corinthians are huge favourites with a win percentage chance of 56% compared to Juventude’s 17%. Vitor Pereira’s men are unbeaten this year at home with two wins and two draws, they will expect to maintain that record here, with a victory.

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Atletico Mineiro v Santos

Champions Atletico Mineiro take on Santos on Saturday evening, in what promises to be an exciting fixture. The last meetings between these sides has seen the home side win and Galo will be hoping that trend continues in this game. 

On Wednesday, Atletico Mineiro were involved in an eight-goal thriller, but the result did not go the way they would have hoped, as they suffered a 5-3 loss at the hands of Fluminense. It was the first time Galo had conceded five goals or more in a game since a 6-1 loss to Cruzeiro in 2011. Despite the goal-fest, the expected goals for both sides were relatively low, with Atletico edging it at 1.82 compared to Fluminense 1.45. The defeat was Atletico’s first in five domestic games, and they will be eager to return to winning ways quickly. 

Coming into the contest with Santos, Galo will have defensive changes. Guilherme Arana has returned from international duty with Brazil and will start at left-back. Rever is likely to partner Junior Alonso at the back, as Nathan is suspended after an accumulation of yellow cards. 

After a bright start to their league campaign, Santos are now without a win in their last five games in all competitions, the positive for Peixe however, is that they have only lost one during this period. Last time out, they were held at home in a 1-1 draw with Internacional. Santos racked up an XG of 3.91 compared to Inter’s 0.94. Fabián Bustos’ men will be frustrated that they couldn’t get the victory, despite having far better chances than their opponents. 

Kaiky and Marcos Leonardo miss out for Santos here as they are on international duty with Brazil’s under ’20s. Leo Baptistao picked up a thigh injury last time out and will not feature in this game.

Atletico have been given a 71% chance to win this game and Santos only a 9%. Whilst that may be a little harsh on the away side, Galo should still return to winning ways here.

Internacional v Flamengo

It’s been a busy 48 hours for all involved with Flamengo. After their defeat to Bragantino on Wednesday, Paulo Sousa has been dismissed as the head coach of the club. During his tenure, he took charge of 32 games: winning 19, drawing seven and losing six. The Rubro-Negro currently sit in 14th place. The man to replace him is all but confirmed, Dorival Júnior has said his goodbyes to the Ceará players and official confirmation is expected immediately. This will be Júnior’s third spell at Flamengo having previously managed the club in 2012 to 2013 and 2018.

He will be hoping to hit the ground running, if Flamengo want to challenge at the top end of the table, they need to improve their form. They have lost their last two games to sides in the bottom half and face a difficult trip to the hard-to-beat Internacional. In their recent defeat to Bragantino, they had an XG of 1.36 compared to the Red Bull club’s 1.19.

Flamengo will have the return of David Luiz, Pablo, and Bruno Henrique in this game. who missed the last outing due to suspension.

Internacional come into this game in a great vein of form, they are unbeaten in their last fourteen and sit seventh in the league standings. Their last outing saw them earn a decent point away from home against Santos, despite not being at their best. They allowed Santos an XG of 3.91 and only managed 0.94 of their own. They must improve defensively here or else the likes of Gabi and Bruno Henrique will punish Inter and not squander chances like the youthful Santos did.

Despite their poor form, Flamengo are given a 37% chance of winning compared to Inter’s 32%. With a new manager coming in and the player’s wanting to impress from the off, this could give them a great boost and avoiding a defeat wouldn’t be a bad way to start.

São Paulo v América Mineiro

América Mineiro travel to São Paulo to take on Rogério Ceni’s men at the Estádio do Morumbi, a place they haven’t won before, but are unbeaten in their last two visits. 

São Paulo have become draw specialists in recent weeks, with four from their last five games. On Wednesday evening, they took on Coritiba away from home and were held to a 1-1 stand-off. Tricolor Paulista had an XG of 2.19 compared to Cortiba’s 0.82 and will feel slightly disappointed to only come away with a point. 

São Paulo have the sixth-highest chances created per game in the league with 14.4, with at least five of these being on target. In this contest, they are likely to have the majority of the ball whereas America will look to punish them on the counterattack. The hosts’ have an average possession of 53.37% for this season compared to America’s 47.02%. 

America Mineiro had an ok start to their campaign, but now only have one win in their last seven matches. They will be desperate to improve their results. In midweek, they suffered a 2-0 loss to Ceará at home, a outcome they will be disappointed with, but can’t really complain about, as Ceará had the better of the chances and put up an XG of 1.22 compared to America’s low 0.68. 

The last meeting between these sides took place in December 2021 and after earning a decent point away from home, America enjoyed a 2-0 victory in front of their own fans, which saw them create history as the victory ensured them a place in the Copa Libertadores for the first time. 

Sao Paulo have one of the best home records in the league so far with; three wins and a draw from their four matches. America’s away record is relatively poor with only one win in five. The hosts are unbeaten in their last 14 matches in all competitions and will be confident of extending that to 15 with a victory here.

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