Inverness v Queen’s Park
Inverness and Queen’s Park is a fixture that should produce plenty of goals judging by the recent form of both clubs.
ICT’s last three league games have ended 1-5, 6-1 and 4-1, showing that goals are flying in at both ends of the park all of a sudden in the Highlands. Early in the season, they were a club that was regularly involved in tight matches. This is part of the reason that their 10 home fixtures have yielded only 26 goals. Not so now, with six of their last seven matches in all competitions bringing over 2.5 goals.
Queen’s Park, by contrast, have been involved in prolific fixtures throughout much of the season. Owen Coyle’s side have been attacking by nature from July, and it has been a stance that is richly paying off for them in recent weeks, with an eight-game winning run only broken in midweek as they went down to Raith Rovers in a Challenge Cup match.
Goals have typically been the order of the day in the league. Six of their last eight Championship matches have brought at least three goals, while five of these have yielded at least four strikes. Their last away matches, meanwhile, have seen them score 4, 0, 5 and 4. This is a team in hot form on their travels.
The teams will meet again in the Scottish Cup next week, but previous meetings between these clubs this season have seen both teams find the net on each occasion, an eventuality that can be backed at 1.57 here. Over 2.5 goals at 1.73, though, looks better value.
Alloa v Edinburgh
Alloa and Edinburgh promises to be a cracker at the Indodrill Stadium, with the two previous matches between the clubs having produced a total of 13 goals so far this season. Both have been won by the side from the capital, who claimed a 4-2 success in Clackmannanshire in August before coming from three down to overcome the Wasps at Meadowbank in mid-November.
Alloa’s home fixtures this season have not been lacking in excitement. Their nine games in front of their supporters have produced 32 goals, an average of over 3.5. Similarly, Edinburgh’s away games have typically been thrilling matches, with 37 goals in 10 fixtures.
Although the visitors have won the last couple, Brian Rice’s side will feel that the balance has perhaps swung in their favour before this game. They will have close to a full squad of players available for this match while Edinburgh have been depleted by Hibs recalling three loan stars, although none were starting regularly. Furthermore, the home side are eyeing up additions before the game.
Nevertheless, Allan Maybury’s side have excelled unexpectedly this season, with all of their seven league defeats coming against full-time opponents – something that Alloa are not.
Four of Edinburgh’s last six matches have produced more than 2.5 goals and a similar number is reported by their hosts ahead of this clash. Look for this to be another exciting match, with both teams to carry an attacking attitude into the game.
Bonnyrigg v Stirling Albion
Stirling Albion might be the top scorers in League Two, but they have found the going tough against Bonnyrigg in their previous matches this season, and Saturday’s clash between the clubs at New Dundas Park is unlikely to be any different.
Hosts Rose sit bottom of the standings but have been involved in a string of 1-1 draws lately, including a fixture against league leaders Dumbarton in early December. They have lost only one of their last six in the league, though that did come via a heavy loss to Albion Rovers last weekend.
Bonnyrigg have adopted a defensive attitude in their two previous matches against Stirling this season – and it has paid off to some extent. They won the opening fixture between the clubs 1-0 at home, and while they lost 2-1 at Forthbank, the hosts laboured offensively, with the opening goal a disputed penalty.
The nature of the pitch here will play a big role in proceedings. It has been raining all week and the pitch, which is the poorest by some distance in the whole of the SPFL, threatens to be in a wretched state. It is not likely to suit the visiting side, while Bonnyrigg are liable to approach this game with the intention of sneaking a goal then trying to hold out.
The net result of all this is that it is liable to be ugly game, which should suit the hosts. Crucially, though, it means that backing under 2.5 goals suddenly seems good value, particularly as Stirling drew a similar encounter 1-1 with Albion Rovers lately.
Celtic v Kilmarnock
Celtic will have no problems progressing to the League Cup final against Kilmarnock on Saturday, with their 2-0 win over Killie last weekend liable to be a forecast of what is to come in this match.
Indeed, the scoreline last weekend gave a rather flattering reflection of the match towards Derek McInnes’ side. Although they were relatively solid in the first half, they were totally overwhelmed in the second. Celtic might only have scored twice, but they finished the game with an xG of 4.3 compared to their opponents’ 0.06.
If anything, Saturday’s assignment should be a more straightforward one for the Parkhead club. The nature of the semi-final is that Kilmarnock are likely to have to come out and attack if the game is at all in the balance. This will favour Ange Postecoglou’s side, who should be able to find the finishing touch that they lacked last weekend, when they hit the woodwork on three occasions.
Celtic, meanwhile, have already emphatically overcome Premiership opponents in previous rounds of this competition, easing to a 4-1 win over Ross County and a 4-0 success over Motherwell.
Kilmarnock, meanwhile, have been absolutely woeful on their travels this season. Indeed, they have lost seven of their nine away matches, and though this is on neutral territory, it is hard to see anything but an easy Celtic success. The Hoops, after all, have won 10 of the last 11 between the clubs.
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