St Mirren v Dundee United (Premiership)

St Mirren and Dundee United is unlikely to be a sparkling encounter for the neutrals on Saturday. The Paisley Saints’ home matches this season have produced a league-low eight goals, while the away fixtures of the Tangerines have yielded only 12 goals.

It is the poor scoring record of each of these sides that makes backing under 2.5 goals so attractive. St Mirren have played six home games so far in the league and have managed to score on average once per match. Meanwhile, their success has been built around a sturdy defence that has only twice conceded. With Dundee United scoring four times in five road trips, the odds of another low-scoring game look strong.

Indeed, only one of St Mirren’s home league fixtures this season has brought three goals, and while they defeated their weekend guests 3-0 when they met in the City of Discovery in August, this was amidst a spell of genuine crisis that saw Jack Ross sacked as his side conceded 23 goals in just four matches. Things have improved at Tannadice significantly since then.

Another bet worth considering is backing against both teams to score at 1.87, particularly after St Mirren drew 0-0 at home to struggling Kilmarnock last weekend. Dundee United have only been shutout once in their league away games this season, though, suggesting there is better value to be had backing under 2.5 goals.

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Partick v Queen’s Park (Championship)

Goals should come in a Glasgow derby on Saturday that sees league leaders Partick seek to open up a gap on the chasing pack when they host Queen’s Park at Firhill. It is a game that the guests should feel at home in after the ground shared with the Jags last season.

During that campaign, matches at the Glasgow venue earned a reputation for being dour affairs due to the wretched nature of the pitch, which took a battering as it was played on every week. This time around, it is in a far better state and that is producing goals for Partick, whose five home games have brought an impressive 20 goals in total.

Queen’s Park, meanwhile, are starting to shake off the reputation as the boring defensive side of last season. Their 11 league matches have brought 24 goals, while their five away matches have averaged three goals per game. Owen Coyle’s side are down on these figures in their last four fixtures, three of which have brought under 2.5 goals. Three of these games, though, were played against the division’s most defensive sides in Inverness, Arbroath and Hamilton. 

Incidentally, the only three Partick games in the Championship this season that have failed to yield at least three goals have been against these identical sides. 

When they faced Queen’s Park earlier this season, they secured a 3-2 victory in a classic match between the pair. The hosts should be expected to get revenge in an entertaining affair.

FC Edinburgh v Airdrie (League One)

It is a wonder that Airdrie are still so well supported by the bookies given their terrible recent form, and they will travel to Meadowbank to face FC Edinburgh on Saturday around the evens mark to win the game. In reality, they are one of the most out-of-form teams in League One at present, with just one win in their last eight matches in all competitions.

Rhys McCabe’s side have found the going particularly hard on the road. They have lost their last four trips in all competitions, including a 2-0 loss against Alloa last weekend. In their last eight away matches their only victory has come against a Peterhead side that has started the season woefully. There is no doubt this team is capable of better and should turn a corner at some point, but for the moment there is no sign of them doing so.

Certainly, Edinburgh do not deserve to be odds of 3.4 to win the match. Their new home may be windswept and unappealing for fans, but they have started to settle into it, winning their last four matches against modest opponents. Punching above their weight, they equipped themselves well in a top-of-the-table clash against Dunfermline last weekend and were unlucky to lose 1-0 to a late goal. They don’t look like a team that is about to fade.

Playing Airdrie, then, will hold no fears for Alan Maybury’s side. When the teams met earlier this season, the capital club recorded a stunning 6-0 success, aided by an early red card. Nevertheless, Airdrie have never really managed to get over that capitulation.

Falkirk v Kelty (League One)

After some false starts this season, Falkirk finally appear to have found their range and are ready to launch an assault on the league title. John McGlynn’s side have picked up four wins in their last five matches but still trail leaders Dunfermline by four points. They will hope to trim that advantage when they host Kelty on Saturday.

Falkirk come into this match in excellent form in front of their home support. They have won each of their last five home fixtures, including a midweek derby success over Alloa. On that occasion, they blew away their local rivals with a blistering first-half display, which allowed them to rest up players ahead of the weekend. 

Having dropped just two points at home all season, Falkirk have the best home record in the league and are playing host to an opponent with the worst away record. Indeed, Kelty have failed to take a point from any of their first five away matches this season. The Maroon Machine have not had a particularly hard run of away matches either, with losses coming at bottom clubs Clyde and Peterhead.

Kelty’s home form is keeping them out of trouble, but with just two goals scored and 13 goals conceded on their travels, they will do well to turn around their wretched road record against an in-form Falkirk side. The only heartening statistic for them going into this game is their 2-0 win over the Bairns in September.

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