Ross County v St Mirren (Premiership)
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Saturday 5th November – 3:00PM KO
The prospects of an exciting match in Dingwall on Saturday appear to be limited given the scoring records of Ross County and St Mirren this season.
Although the visitors find themselves halfway up the Premiership table, this is virtually the sole doing of an excellent home record. On their travels the Buddies have picked up just one win from five games, losing the other four. Tellingly, they have been weak in front of goal, scoring at a rate of less than one-per-match. Indeed, three of their strikes came against an abject Dundee United side and they have failed to notch in their last three road trips.
Ross County, meanwhile, have the weakest attack in the league, so it looks doubtful they will be able to take advantage of a defence that has conceded 10 in its last three away matches. They have scored only seven times in 13 matches and have not scored more than once in any single league match this season.
Historically, meanwhile, there has not been much between the teams. Indeed, the last three matches have produced a draw and a win apiece. These fixtures, which have all been played in the last year, have yielded just three goals, including a 1-0 Ross County win at home in March. That is Country’s only victory in their last nine against the Paisley Saints. A similar type of encounter should be expected in this game, too.
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Prediction: Under 2.5 Goals, 1.65 on Betfair (⭐️⭐️⭐️⭐️)
Partick v Dundee (Championship)
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Saturday 5th November – 3:00PM KO
Partick Thistle’s form has curiously dropped off a cliff in recent weeks, with the side that was leading the Championship going into October now in a mid-table position. They have lost each of their last four matches and have picked up just a couple of victories in their last nine games in all competitions. Despite this, goals continue to come in all of their games. Indeed, of their 13 league matches this season, only three have not produced at least three strikes.
Firhill has, indeed, been for thrills this season, with the six league fixtures at the venue averaging four goals per game. Meanwhile, their previous match against Dundee was a 3-2 affair on the opening day of the season.
There has been little let up in Dundee’s goal scoring either, typified by a 2-2 draw against Queen’s Park last weekend. Against other offensive teams, their matches have typically produced goals and the five times their league matches have not brought at least three strikes, they have been playing the more defensively minded teams – Morton (twice), Arbroath, Hamilton and Raith Rovers.
Partick’s leading scorer Brian Graham is a doubt prior to this encounter. There is still ample scoring power in the home team, notably from Anton Dowds, whose minutes-per-goal ratio is actually superior to Graham’s.
Similarly, there is a doubt over Dundee’s leading scorer Zach Robinson, but the Dark Blues have spread their goals out well this season while they have recently signed former AFC Wimbledon striker Derick Osei, who has a goal from two replacement appearances and could start here.
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Prediction: Over 2.5 Goals, 1.87 on Betfair (⭐️⭐️⭐️⭐️)
Kelty v Alloa (League One)
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Saturday 5th November – 3:00PM KO
After a slow start to the season, Kelty are beginning to build some momentum as they seek to stabilise themselves as a League One side. From their last nine matches in all competitions, they have picked up six victories, and they will be aiming to improve that record further against Alloa on Saturday.
The Maroon Machine are a particularly formidable force at New Central Park. Since winning promotion to League Two last season, they have only once lost at the venue, while in recent weeks they have taken a number of impressive scalps at home, including full-time opponents Falkirk, Airdrie and Queen of the South. Furthermore, they will have close to a full squad available for this encounter.
Alloa, meanwhile, are not a team that has travelled well this term. On the road, they have picked up seven points from six games, contrasting to 15 from seven at home. Meanwhile, their form is stuttering a little. They needed a late goal to overcome struggling Clyde last weekend while they were not particularly convincing in winning against rock-bottom Peterhead the previous week.
Go for the Kelty on the nose in this game purely because of the value it brings. Between them, these sides have drawn just two matches all season in the league, with Wasps manager Brian Rice stating after last weekend’s last-gasp Clyde victory that he will always send out his team with the intention of winning the game up until the final whistle. This game is likely to go one way or the other, and the statistics point to Kelty.
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Prediction: Kelty to Win, 2.25 on Betfair (⭐️⭐️⭐️⭐️)
Bonnyrigg v Elgin (League Two)
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Saturday 5th November – 3:00PM KO
Saturday’s game between Bonnyrigg and Elgin could well descend into something of a battle given the pitch at New Dundas Park and the recent weather in the region. Bonnyrigg are well known for having what is most kindly described as the most idiosyncratic pitch in the league, with a huge slope across the field. Meanwhile, incessant rain all week appears set to make the playing surface hazardous, making attacking football of the type that Elgin like to play difficult.
In Kane Hester, the visitors have one of the best forwards in the league, yet he is sure to find the going difficult in this encounter. Bonnyrigg are a team that is built for conditions like this. They are well organised and typically concede few goals, although they have shipped four in each of their last two home matches. Last weekend against in-form league leaders Stirling Albion, they made life very difficult for their opponents and were unlucky to lose.
The Rose have lost seven of their last eight matches, which means they are likely to double down on their defensive focus for this game.
Elgin, meanwhile, have seen their scoring rate come down a little in recent weeks. They have netted only once in their last two matches, and though every single one of their away games this season to date has produced more than two goals, they have not played a match quite like this one before. When the teams played earlier this season, Elgin picked up a 2-0 win.
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Prediction: Under 2.5 Goals, 2.05 on Betfair (⭐️⭐️⭐️⭐️)
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