Basaksehir v Istanbulspor
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Sunday 16th October – 3:00 PM KO
Basaksehir won in the Conference League in midweek, when they beat the Latvians RFS 3-0 at home. The performances and scores weren’t going well for the past few matches, they had a goalless draw with the same opponent and lost to Sivasspor in the league last week. The defeat to Sivasspor was their first defeat in the Super League. However, Basaksehir has played 18 games so far this season and only conceded a total of 7 goals in them. In 12 of these matches, the opponents failed to score them. They are one of the best defensive teams not only in the Super League but also in Europe, and they are expected to recover from this short-term decline.
Istanbulspor is the weakest squad in the league, but September was a great month for them. After losing 4 matches in a row, they lost to Ankaragücü at home last week. Still, the performance was good, they conceded an added-time goal and were very close to a point. The return of Captain Eduart Rroca from injury is important to them, they will now be a stronger and more experienced team. Their games are primarily powered by defense, and as one of the three worst teams in the league with a total xG value of 7.8, there is no alternative to this choice. They were able to score a total of 7 goals in 8 league games they played this season, and this time they will be one of the best defensive teams in the league.
There is no important missing player in Basaksehir. Coach Emre Belozoglu keeps his players fresh by rotating constantly, and he will come out with the fittest players in this match. Istanbulspor doesn’t have many options, they know that only if the match goes 0-0 they can get a chance to win. Therefore, it is obvious that both teams will defend their goal very well and try to slow down the tempo.
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Prediction: Under 2.5 Goals, 2.0 on Betfair (⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐)
Ankaragucu v Fenerbahce
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Monday 17th October – 6:00 PM KO
Fenerbahce won 5-4 against Karagumruk after a great match at home last week. This match showed Fenerbahçe’s offensive strength and fighting power until the final whistle, but also highlighted their defensive vulnerability. Also, on Thursday, they won 1-2 away from AEK Larnaca. There was a more defensive setup due to the away game, but the result of the match was no different. A strong team in offense but problematic in defense, goalkeeper Altay Bayindir is in bad form.
Ankaragücü is one of the most volatile teams in the league. They are more positive after the coaching change but still have defensive problems. They have conceded goals in the last 7 games they have played, but they have also managed to score in the last 6 games. On offense, especially left winger Giorgi Beridze is performing very well. Right winger Emre Kilinc has now joined him and it is clear who will play in the attacking positions. As the attackers gain stability and adapt to each other, they continue to score but defenders should also play very well against Fenerbahce.
Fenerbahce has scored in 15 of the 18 games played this season, with at least 2 goals in 13 of them. They have scored 2.44 goals per game, With a total xG of 17.3 they are the best offensive team of the Super Lig. It would be a big surprise if they didn’t score a goal in this match, likewise the clean sheet will be a big surprise. The injury of Willian Arao (Fenerbahçe) will also increase Ankaragücü’s chances of scoring.
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Prediction: Over 2.5 Goals, 1.60 on Betfair (⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐)
Sivasspor v Giresunspor
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Monday 17th October – 6:00 PM KO
Sivasspor finally ended the bad run and won two games in a row. They beat Basaksehir away last week, and this was their first win in the league. It’s the third time they haven’t conceded a goal in a game, which was crucial for the defensive line, which had been vulnerable since the start of the season. On Thursday they won despite falling behind on the road to Ballkani, which was crucial for their stay in European competitions. They played very well, especially in the last half hour of the match and attacking players Max Gradel and Dia Saba showed that they were in good form.
After winning 2 times in the first 3 weeks of the season, Giresunspor could not win in the last 5 matches played. Although they looked good in the last part of the match against Besiktas last week, their attacking quality is not good enough. Giresunspor was able to score only 4 goals in the last 7 games and is the weakest attackinge team in the league with a total xG value of 6.3. Moreover, Serginho is suspended, the team’s most important attacking weapon. Bradley Kuwas and Ogulcan Caglayan could replace him, but both have played very few games this season.
Sivasspor does not have an important missing player. The team has improved on the uptrend, both physically and competitively. They have players in form, but Giresunspor is not in a good shape. Meanwhile, there is a very good opportunity for Sivasspor.
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Prediction: Sivasspor to Win, 2.0 on Betfair (⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐)
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