Crewe v Wigan Athletic

We have opposed Crewe Alexandra, for a plethora of reasons, successfully twice this month and will be looking to do so again on Tuesday evening at Gresty Road as we return to League One action.

Wigan Athletic earned a crucial 1-1 draw at Milton Keynes Dons on Saturday, keeping themselves in second place on goal difference, with three games in hand on Liam Manning’s men in third place. If they can utilise the games in hand to their advantage, a shot at the league title is still on for the Latics.

The Railwaymen have won one and lost ten in their last 11 League One outings and will have started planning for next season in League Two. In terms of season-long expected goals (xG) against, Crewe rank 24th and Wigan 1st, as per Wyscout.

The Latics have bounced back from their 3-0 loss at home to Sunderland by taking seven points from their last three, conceding just one goal in the process. The miles in Crewe’s legs may show on Tuesday, after David Artell’s men held Sunderland at 0-0 until the 84th minute at the Stadium of Light on Saturday, only to fall to an emotionally draining 2-0 defeat.

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Shrewsbury Town v Morecambe

Shrewsbury Town have seen under 2.5 goals in 12 of their last 14 League One encounters, the two exceptions to the rule containing three goals, while Morecambe have seen unders click in seven of nine.

Derek Adams appears to be addressing the defence first, back in the Mazuma Stadium hotseat, and will be expecting a resolute defensive display travelling to the fourth lowest scorers in the division. The Shrews have a six point cushion on the relegation zone and may well be content on keeping that in place with a draw against battling opposition on Tuesday evening.

It could be a foreign concept for the Shrews to take on a side who are happy to sit back and contain them, to force a low margin game to ensue. There is not enough incision or creativity in the final third for the Shrews to make light work on Morecambe, despite being rightful favourites to take all three points.

Steve Cotterill is a very pragmatic manager and risking one point to take three will not be his ideology in the game, should the scores remain level heading into the closing exchanges

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Wycombe Wanderers v Fleetwood Town

Rinse and repeat with the sinking Cod Army. We have successfully opposed Fleetwood Town in all of their last three games as they continue to hurtle towards the relegation zone.

Stephen Crainey’s men were winning 2-0 at Burton Albion on the hour mark at the weekend, but fell to a painful 3-2 loss and gave up opportunities equating to 3.48 xG. 

Fleetwood overperformed in the attacking third at the beginning of the season and since a natural regression has hit they have looked like relegation fodder. Wycombe Wanderers currently reside in eighth and will be focusing on their home form to propel them back into the play-off places. The Chairboys have picked up seven points from their last three games, only conceding once, and have a much better squad to shuffle through in dealing with the quick turnaround.

Fleetwood have now gone 11 games without a win, and are only outside the relegation zone on goal difference, the lack of quality of those below them could prove a saving grace, but a managerial change should be considered if they are to make things comfortable heading into the final few weeks of the campaign.

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