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Turkey v Portugal Bet Builder Tips & Longshot

Turkey v Portugal Bet Builder Tips & Longshot

Friday 21 June, 20242 min read
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Grant Heaney

Grant is a Glasgow-based sports betting analyst and keeps a close eye on all the goings-on in the fascinating world of Scottish football. While he has a strong passion for the SPFL, Grant is equally adept at crafting content on all of Europe’s major leagues, whether it be the Premier League or further afield. When not crunching the numbers and analysing the stats, Grant can often be found following his beloved Falkirk up and down the country.

In this article...

Turkey v Portugal Bet Builder Tips & Longshot

The top spot could be decided in Group F if Turkey or Portugal can secure three points, with a win from either side leaving them three points clear with a head-to-head tiebreaker over each other.

Turkey's Arda Guler lit up their opener against Georgia with a beautifully curled effort that ultimately gave them the win, with a late third on the break sealing a 3-1 victory over the Crusaders, who fought admirably.

Portugal, meanwhile, looked sluggish for most of their opening game, but a last-minute winner from Sergio Conceicao was enough to secure three points as they beat the Czech Republic 2-1. They had to come from behind to do so after the Czechs took the lead with their first shot on target midway through the second half.

Below, we’ve put together a bet builder at 7/2 and a longshot at 9/1 for Saturday’s clash between Turkey and Portugal and we also have a Turkey v Portugal betting preview that offers our expert's most confident betting selections for this fixture and gives some useful background information on both sides that you can use when crafting a bet builder.

With Euro 2024 well underway, Andy's Bet Club will continue to bring you daily Euro 2024 predictions with the best value picks across the slate on every matchday. We also provide Euro 2024 acca tips, both teams to score tips, and a variety of other free football tips to aid your betting on the tournament.

Our shot on target predictions and foul betting tips are provided for you daily, to ensure that you have all the information and tools necessary to craft those winning bet builders.

If that's not enough, we have also provided a helpful list of Andy's top bet builder sites, and we've taken the time to collect the very best offers of free bets for Euro 2024 that you can take advantage of this summer to help you beat the bookies.

7/2 Turkey v Portugal Bet Builder Tip

Bet builder predictions that are eligible for Paddy Power Super Sub will be marked with this emoji ‘🔄️’.

Load on Paddy Power @ 4.57
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🏆 Portugal to win

📈 Odds: 1.57

Portugal’s winning mentality was evident against the Czech Republic in midweek and they can continue on their upward curve by overcoming Turkey. Despite needing a late goal to beat the Czech Republic in their last game, Portugal dominated the key metrics of the clash. The Czechs scored a sensational goal with what turned out to be their only shot on target of the game, with Portugal outscoring their opponents 1.85 to 0.41 in terms of xGF. Yes, Turkey managed an impressive 3.07 xGF against supposed minnows Georgia, but anyone who watched those final ten minutes knows just how susceptible they are at the back. Allowing Georgia 1.37 xGF reads poorly for a side facing the attacking talent of Portugal on Saturday night. Roberto Martinez has steered the Selecao to victory in each of his 11 competitive matches in charge, with his side scoring multiple goals in nine of those triumphs. While Turkey are more than capable of landing a blow here, Portugal’s superior class should ultimately tell.

🛑 Hakan Calhanoglu to commit 1+ fouls 🔄️

📈 Odds: 1.62

Hakan Calhanoglu was in the thick of the action against Georgia and he will have his work cut out even more against Roberto Martinez’s top-heavy team. After an impressive season with Inter, Calhanoglu showcased his tenacity by averaging 1.51 fouls per 90 minutes in Serie A. His role for the national team is slightly deeper than at his club, as Turkey do not employ the same three-man central midfield formation that Inter do, offering him less opportunity to advance. The Crescent Stars skipper committed two fouls and collected a yellow card against the Crusaders on matchday one. Given that Turkey's latest challenge will represent a significant step up in class, Calhanoglu stands out for a solitary foul on Saturday evening.

🩹 Bernardo Silva to be fouled 1+ times 🔄️

📈 Odds: 1.83

Turkey’s defence faces a stern test against a Portugal team stacked with talent all over the pitch. Bernardo Silva is a constant threat for the Selecao and he is an attractive option to earn his side at least one free kick during this clash. Domestically Silva drew 0.91 fouls per 90 in the Premier League for Man City this season, and while he drew significantly less in qualifying for Portugal, it's important to note his likely opponent on Saturday will be Ferdi Kadioglu. The Fenerbahce left-back committed 1.31 fouls per 90 in qualifying, and 0.89 per 90 in the Super Lig this season. Silva was on the receiving end of one foul during Portugal’s 2-1 win over the Czech Republic on Tuesday, and at 1.83, these odds seem very generous for an operator like Silva to be fouled only once.

9/1 Turkey v Portugal Longshot

Bet builder predictions that are eligible for Paddy Power Super Sub will be marked with this emoji ‘🔄️’.

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🎯 Bruno Fernandes to have 1+ shots on target 🔄️

📈 Odds: 1.62

Bruno Fernandes had a quiet game against the Czech Republic but he can quickly rediscover the fine form he showed during qualifying against Turkey. Despite on paper playing a slightly deeper role for Portugal than he does Man United, he will be given license to move forward with Roberto Martinez looking to essentially start five defenders in this game, with a holding midfielder in behind allowing Fernandes to feed the front three. The Portuguese playmaker chipped in with six goals and seven assists during the preliminaries. That coincided with Fernandes averaging 1.29 shots on target per 90, and 1.01 per 90 for United in the Premier League this season. He can test Turkey goalkeeper Mert Gunok at least once here.

🟨 Over 1.5 Turkey cards

📈 Odds: 1.44

Turkey will set out to disrupt Portugal’s rhythm and that could lead to a few cards coming their way. The Crescent Stars collected two cautions in their opening Group F assignment and a repeat here against opposition of a higher calibre looks likely. Vincenzo Montella’s men were receiving an average of 3.38 cards per 90 minutes during qualifying and that trend should continue against a Portugal side loaded with firepower.

🛑 Hakan Calhanoglu to commit 2+ fouls

📈 Odds: 4.0

Having committed exactly two fouls against Georgia last time out, Hakan Calhanoglu looks overpriced to get on the wrong side of the referee at least twice during this contest. Calhanoglu does a lot of work off the ball and he will have to help out a lot defensively against Roberto Martinez’s free-scoring side. The midfield battle will be intense, making the Crescent Stars captain an appealing prospect for a couple of fouls.
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