Ankaragucu v Besaksehir
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Saturday 1st October – 3:00PM KO
As Ankaragucu started the Turkish Super Lig season poorly, there was a coaching change, and they finally got his first win in the league before the international break. Familiar faces for English football fans, Federico Macheda and Jese had a chance in the first weeks, but they lost their place in the team because they were not in good physical condition. This break may be an opportunity for them to return.
On the other hand, the defensive core of the team is not yet decided, and they will need time to adapt to the high number of late summer transfer window arrivals. It should also be remembered that they also conceded a goal in the last five matches.
Basaksehir have not conceded a single goal in the league this season. They made a great start, and the international break was an opportunity for them to refresh after a busy fixture even if they may have wished to keep playing. Coach Emre Belozoglu keeps his team fresh with wide rotation, the depth of the squad is excellent.
Again, he will make a suitable starting 11 and will give priority to the defence. Basaksehir’s xG value is not in the top 10 of the league, they have few chances to score, but they are the league’s xGA value leader as they give very few opportunities to their opponents. They do not have any important shortcomings, after the last draw against Karagumruk, they will want to rise again with this match.
Ankaragucu’s squad quality and level of cohesion will make this a very difficult game against such a strong opponent as Basaksehir. On the other hand, Basaksehir will prioritise not conceding goals as the best way to win.
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Prediction: Under 2.5 Goals, 1.87 on Betfair (⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐)
Adana Demirspor v Galatasaray
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Saturday 1st October – 6:00PM KO
The two top teams in the league face each other this week. League leader Adana Demirspor are one of the league’s top scorers, especially at home, the stands are full, and they are playing impressively. In addition to the forwards, many players in the team contribute goals, but they concede too easily.
Moreover, experienced centre-back Yaroslav Rakitskyi has been suspended from this game, and he will have to be replaced by a defender who has not yet featured this season.
Galatasaray meanwhile are a team that has both scored and conceded fewer goals and now has the opportunity to play with their top 11 players. This match will be an important test for them because they have not yet hit the expected level, but on the other hand, they have a very high-quality squad who must surely get there sometime.
A key player in the midfield, Sergio Oliveira has missed three training sessions this week, and Fredrik Midtjsö is expected to play in his place.
Expected championship challengers Galatasaray will know they face one of the most difficult away games in the league. Normally, every team that comes to Adana takes precautions against Adana Demirspor rather than showing their own style, but this match is a very critical test for them with the hosts top of the league. Gala will definitely play to win here, whilst Adana Demirspor’s seven matches in the league have ended with five seeing over 2.5 goals. A goal festival could well ensue.
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Prediction: Over 2.5 Goals, 1.73 on Betfair (⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐)
Konyaspor v Umaraniyespor
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Sunday 2nd October – 3:00PM KO
Konyaspor started the season very well, but they had difficulties due to injuries and not being able to play their home matches on their own pitch. Still, a team that has only conceded two goals yet, they have been one of the strongest performers in the league.
The international break has been very beneficial for them, their injured players have returned, and they have no absences apart from the effective offensive midfielder Endri Cekici. They are going back to their own stadium with this match and the stands will almost certainly be full.
Umraniyespor meanwhile have one of the weakest squads in the league and they have just 2 points to show for their efforts. They were able to score in only 3 of the 7 games they have played, and their experienced goalkeeper Serkan Kirintili is injured. At this part of the season, their job seems very difficult, they have to improve their game quality, especially away.
Scoring a goal against Konyaspor is a tall order for Umraniyespor. Konyaspor still has not conceded a single goal at home. It seems more than likely the much stronger team Konyaspor will win here.
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Prediction: Konyaspor to Win, 1.60 on Betfair (⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐)
Besiktas v Fenerbache
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Sunday 2nd October – 6:00PM KO
The first big derby of the season will be played this week. Both teams started the season well, but Besiktas lost in one of their last two games and got a draw. Coach Valerien Ismael’s playing style based on direct passing and pressing high up the pitch has been criticized, however in fairness, one of the key players of the team, Kevin N’Koudou, was injured.
Also, Rachid Ghezzal has been injured for a while already, and although he is back to training, he is not quite ready. Therefore, Besiktas is the side that is under more pressure before this derby. Depending on the result of this match, criticisms could well increase.
Fenerbahce is one of the most in-form teams in the league. Just like Besiktas, they play with direct passes and pressing high up the pitch, but their team cohesion and physical performance are much better. There are many players used in rotation, and it will be difficult to choose for coach Jorge Jesus. They’re comfortable, and while they’ll want to win this match, they don’t have to. This is a significant advantage for them.
This derby sees the teams with the second and third highest xG value, as well as the two highest scorers in the Super Lig face off. In addition, 5 of 7 games played by Besiktas and 4 of 6 games played by Fenerbahce ended with over 2.5 goals. The probability of both teams scoring is very high, and it is likely at least one side will get more than one.
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Prediction: Over 2.5 Goals, 1.57 on Betfair (⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐)
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