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UFC Total Rounds Betting Tips – Over/Under Round Predictions

UFC Total Rounds Betting Tips – Over/Under Round Predictions

Friday 4 October, 20241 min read
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ABC Editorial Team

The ABC Editorial Team have a combined Sports Journalism experience of 20+ years. They love to crunch the numbers for all betting predictions, meticulously finding value in each selection. Football experts in their own right, they each bring specialists sports and leagues to the table. Whether it be football, horse racing, boxing, darts, or NFL, our team is equipped to bring you the most insightful and valuable betting tips around.

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UFC 307 Total Rounds Betting Tips (Over/Under)

This 7/1 UFC total rounds treble covers three fights from the UFC 307 main card.

The UFC’s most dangerous fight-finisher, Alex Pereira, goes toe-to-toe with Khalil Rountree, another knockout machine, making it a fitting match for a total rounds predictions article.

Betting on total rounds over/under means you’re predicting whether the fight will end earlier or last longer than a specified duration.

For example, betting on the ‘under’ means you believe either fighter will win by KO/TKO or submission.

Whereas betting on the ‘over’ suggests you expect the fight to go to a decision or be stopped later in the bout.

We have UFC 307 accumulator tips available covering the main card, plus if you want to grab some free bets from UFC 307 make sure to use our recommended bookies.

A £5 stake on the UFC 307 total round bets would return £37 at odds 7.35 on Betfair should they all land.

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Alex Pereira (C) v Khalil Rountree Jr. (#8) - UFC Light Heavyweight Championship

👊🏻 Total Rounds: Under 1.5 Rounds (2.10)

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This fight is likely to end via KO/TKO early as both fighters are high-quality finishers, Pereira 7 finishes in 8 wins, and Rountree 7 finishes in 9 wins. Both guys have less than 1% Average Takedowns Landed per 15 minutes, so expect both fighters to go hunting for the finish. Pereira lands 63% of his significant strike attempts in UFC competition, the second-highest rate among active fighters in the company. He’s one of the most brutal strikers and finishers in recent times and he’s won his last 3 fights by KO/TKO in rounds: 2, 1, and 2. Likewise, Rountree is perhaps one of the most aggressive fighters on the UFC roster, and with 5 wins in his last 5 fights (4 by KO/TKO) he presents a real challenge. The average number of rounds combined for both fighters in their last five fights is 2.1, and given the stand-up style of both, we expect under 2 rounds in this fight.

Jose Aldo (#10) v Mario Bautista (#11) - Bantamweight

👊🏻 Total Rounds: Over 2.5 Rounds (1.33)

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Jose Aldo is on the comeback trail in the twilight of his 20-year career. The 38-year-old has gone over 2.5 rounds in his last 8 fights, and he has gone to a unanimous decision in his last 5 bouts, including a five-rounder with Rob Font. The Brazilian's 40 fights have resulted in 32 wins, 18 of which have been finishes, with 14 wins going to decision. Aldo fights much more conservatively now, rarely putting himself in dangerous situations. His opponent, Mario Bautista, has had 10 UFC fights, resulting in 8 wins (4 decisions, 4 finishes, 2 losses), with 4 decisions (over 2.5 rounds) and 3 submission finishes in the first round. Aldo has been submitted only once in his career, long before entering the UFC, and holds a Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu black belt. If the fight is to end under 2.5 rounds, it will likely be via submission by Mario Bautista, though bookmakers rate a submission victory at 12.0, making it a long shot. Expect this fight to go to a decision or at least over 2.5 rounds.

Roman Dolidze (#10) v Kevin Holland - Middleweight

👊🏻 Total Rounds: Under 2.5 Rounds (2.63)

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In 38 fights, Holland has had 11 first-round finishes and 5 second-round finishes, with 2 of his last 5 UFC fights ending under 2.5 rounds. In 16 fights, Dolidze has had 7 first-round finishes, with 2 of his last 5 fights also ending under 2.5 rounds. Both fighters are submission specialists, and when grapplers fight, it often stays standing, where both fighters possess considerable knockout power. Both have achieved consecutive first-round finishes in the UFC, including both submissions and knockouts.
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