Coventry’s seasonal data pretty much matches their league position. They have generated 50.1 xG and scored 51 goals, that xG total would put them sixth in the league, just a few spots higher than they occupy. Their shots on target rate would be ninth and the big chances missed metric puts Coventry eighth. All around their current league position, so, from an attacking perspective, the table doesn’t lie for the Sky Blues.

The defensive metrics paint a similar picture, sixth-best for goals conceded, ninth for xG against, and joint fourth (with three other clubs) for clean sheets.

It is defensively that West Brom stand out though. The Baggies have a much better record than Coventry in all of the key metrics. They have amassed 15 clean sheets, level with Leeds as the best in the league, and West Brom are third best for xG against and also for goals conceded.

This trend has continued into 2024 as well, Coventry and West Brom are very evenly matched in points won and expected points, with Coventry actually edging the Baggies in both categories, West Brom concede fewer chances and Coventry create more.

With the differences between the sides over time bringing them very close together from a form perspective it makes it difficult to predict the outcome here. West Brom’s home form and ability to restrict sides who would usually be high chance creators probably gives them the edge here though.

Whilst Callum O’Hare appears to be overpriced on his data at 2.30, the way that West Brom defend that area of the pitch does not seem conducive to the playmaker getting shots away.

Therefore, from a Coventry perspective, there are two angles to look at for a bet builder. Haji Wright has been excellent since switching to a wide forward position on the left, shooting at a really high average and getting over 1.2 shots on target per 90, which makes his odds look fair here.

Victor Torp is another good bet. The Danish midfielder has only recently joined, so his sample isn’t as reliable, but he averages the same number of shots on target per 90 as Kasey Palmer but is a much bigger price. He can threaten from range and from set-pieces, which may be a decent avenue to goal for Coventry,

West Brom have the 20th-best rate of shots on target in the league, so are not the most desirable option in this market. Andreas Weimann has been used more as an impact player from the bench since moving to the Hawthorns in January, but if he does get a start here then he would be the one to chance in this market.

West Brom are not a heavy corner side. It is not their style of play to press high into the opposition half and keep the ball up there for sustained periods of time, and the stats for the season so far support that.

Despite their excellent home record in general, the Baggies only just earn more corners than they face at the Hawthorns, 6.29-5.76, for a high overall total of 12.06. That is the second-highest home total in the league, behind only Plymouth Argyle.

Coventry, on the other hand, break the trend of conceding more corners away from home. They earn an average of 6.47 but concede only 5.06. This is a fairly high total for Coventry away matches, and with their attacking ability this fits their profile in general play.

Haji Wright has committed at least one foul in each of his last 13 matches, which includes three substitute appearances. Given that statistic, even the price quoted for 1+ fouls seems fairly generous, and he is worth backing for 1+ and possibly 2+ fouls committed.

Wright has committed two fouls or more on 11 occasions this season already and averages almost two fouls per 90 minutes.

Also, Ellis Simms has started the last three league games and managed to amass nine fouls in those three matches, albeit six of them were in the Plymouth match. However, his price is much, much bigger than Haji Wright’s and could also be worth chancing on the higher lines.

Simms has fouled in seven of his last 10 starts, and committing multiple fouls on five of those occasions.