However, let us begin with Tristan Crama and his shooting. PP/BF have him as a 3.4 chance for two shots, whereas Bet365 see this as a 8.0 bet. I think the shorter price is closer to the truth, especially if, as expected, Crama plays as a right-back.

Crama has been one of Millwall’s best players this season, and is almost as effective at right-back as he is at centre-back, but now that Caleb Taylor has returned to the first XI, Crama is most likely to be installed at right-back, as he has been in the last three matches.

Those three matches have seen Crama take five shots, hitting this shot line in two of those three games. Extending this back to his previous stint as right-back this season, his shot count in his last 18 starts in that position read: 2,1,2,0,2,1,0,4,1,1,2,0,0,0,2,2,0,1,2. That is a 8/18 (44%) hit rate of getting this line that is given a 12.5% chance of winning by Bet365.

Moving on to Jake Cooper, the 2+ fouls won line is definitely a longer shot. A single foul won would also return an above 10/1 price, but I genuinely think 2+ is possible here.

For starters, Cooper has been fouled twice in four of his last 14 matches for Millwall, albeit not in his last seven, which is probably why the price is as big as it is.

The main reason why I like this spot here though is because of his likely direct opponent, Aune Heggebø. The West Brom striker plays that lone striker role with heavy physicality. He has committed an average of 2.25 fouls per 90 over West Brom's last 30 matches, and his recent run of fouls committed is: 2,4,0,2,3,4. Whilst not all of those will be against one central defender, if he is going to continue at this sort of rate, then he is likely fouling either Cooper or Caleb Taylor in this match.