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Aston Villa v West Ham
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Kick Off: Sunday 26th January at 16:30
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Competition: Premier League
Aston Villa will be looking to bounce back from midweek disappointment after losing 1-0 to Monaco in the Champions League, whilst West Ham are still finding their feet under Graham Potter, having failed to keep any momentum going by following their 3-2 win over Fulham with a 2-0 home loss to Crystal Palace.
These two sides met in the FA Cup earlier this month, a game that was also held at Villa Park, with the Villans running out 2-1 winners on that occasion.
⭐ Aston Villa v West Ham Best Bet
West Ham looked so poor last week and limped to a miserable home defeat 0-2 vs Crystal Palace. They appear toothless in attack but also have been dealt a big blow defensively here with Greek international Konstantinos Mavropanos suspended.
Villa do sometimes struggle after Champions League matches but they are the deserving favourites to win and it might only take one goal to prevail. 14 out of 16 Villa wins in all competitions this season have contained under 4.5 goals.
When they win they generally tend to control the game well. For the sake of simplicity, just taking Unai Emery’s men to win would be fine at 1.50 but we can juice up the price by adding the under 4.5 option to become a better value bet at 1.75.
🟢 Aston Villa v West Ham #WhatOddsPaddy
West Ham have some major offensive injuries to the likes of Michail Antonio, Jarrod Bowen and Niklas Fullkrug. They beat Fulham 3-2 but scored with every shot on target. Against Crystal Palace last week they failed to even register a single shot on target at home. This version of The Hammers are totally toothless so if Aston Villa are to win, then there’s a good chance it’s to nil.
Ollie Watkins is the #1 striker for Villa and netted in 2 of his last 3 games. He has scored 29 times in the Premier League in the last season and a half. Morgan Rogers has become a significant goal threat for the Villains, now netting half a dozen times in the EPL including against Man City. He also scored against West Ham in the FA Cup fixture a few weeks ago here.
👕 Aston Villa v West Ham Predicted XI
🔍 Aston Villa v West Ham Players to Watch
🟣 Ollie Watkins
The obvious reasoning for this bet is that Ollie Watkins has scored 29 times and assisted 17 times in the Premier League since the start of last season. There was a period where his minutes were in doubt because of Jhon Duran, but with the Colombian striker linked with a move away from the club, we can expect Watkins to play the majority of this match. He has scored or assisted in 3 of his last 4 games including against West Ham in the FA Cup just a few weeks ago.
🟣 Youri Tielemans
We don’t know exactly which type of midfield position and role he will play in the game, but either way Tielemans could be a potential foul magnet here. He has been fouled 1.40 times per 90 mins in the Premier League this season and is likely to be heavily involved in the midfield battle.
The West Ham players he will face in midfield are regular foul merchants. Tomas Soucek, Lucas Paqueta and Edson Alvarez all average well over one foul per 90 mins so Tielemans will be in the firing line to be fouled multiple times here.
⚫ Aaron Wan-Bissaka
West Ham right-back Aaron Wan Bissaka looks a big price just to be fouled once or more in this game. He is fouled 0.80 times per 90 mins and experienced enough to know when to win a cheap free kick. He’s up against the Villa left-hand side which could include Morgan Rogers who has a foul rate of 1.50 per 90 mins. Other potential opponents could be a tricky Jacob Ramsey and either one of Lucas Digne or Ian Maatsen.
📂 Aston Villa v West Ham Cheat Sheet
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We’ve got plenty more in store for this week’s footballing action, look out for our Fulham v Man United Betting Tips or our Crystal Palace v Brentford Bet Builder Tips.
💻 Aston Villa v West Ham Form and Tactics
Aston Villa and West Ham present an intriguing clash of styles. Villa edges the attacking stats, averaging more goals per game (1.50 to 1.18) and hitting the target slightly more often (4.46 to 4.27). However, West Ham actually attempt more shots overall, averaging 14.5 per game compared to Villa’s 13.
The key difference lies in Villa’s ability to win fouls, averaging 12.57 per match compared to West Ham’s 9.77. This statistic can largely be attributed to Villa’s greater possession dominance, which often forces opponents into defensive errors.
On the discipline front, West Ham averages slightly more fouls (11.68 to 11.29) and bookings (2.23 to 2.03), which could provide an avenue for tactical fouling markets in this matchup.
🏁 Aston Villa v West Ham Ref Watch
- Referee: Peter Bankes
| Average Cards (Y / R) | 4.00 / 0.15 |
| Fouls Given | 18.62 |
| Penalties | 0.38 |
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* I recommend waiting for confirmed team line-ups before placing any bets.
* All odds displayed correct at the time of publishing.
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