West Ham are nowhere near the form that saw them qualify for Europe yet again last season, they come into this match in 17th but will be happy in the knowledge that a win in this match will move them up to 10th. While they are not in a good league position, they would be unbeaten in their last 6 games if it wasn’t for Allison saving Bowen’s penalty in their last match. Despite their poor results, West Ham have conceded just 12 goals in their first 11 matches, but their biggest issues are at the other end of the pitch. Despite the addition of Gianluca Scamacca, West Ham have only scored 9 goals this season and Moyes will be desperate for an improvement here otherwise West Ham will continue their struggles.
Bournemouth came under fire for sacking Scott Parker so early in the season, but improved results recently see them sit in 13th position. Since that 9-0 loss to Liverpool, Bournemouth had gone unbeaten until their 1-0 loss in their last match. Despite this run of 6 games unbeaten, Bournemouth won just 2 of these matches, drawing the other 4. Bournemouth will be very happy with their current league position, but they will be well aware of how quickly this can change if their form worsens.
West Ham v Bournemouth Bet Builder Tips
Under 2.5 Goals
West Ham matches do not involve many goals. Just 2 of their first 11 league matches have involved over 2.5 goals so don’t expect an open attacking performance in this match where they are expected to dominate. Bournemouth also don’t see many goals, since Scott Parker’s sacking 5 of their 7 matches have had under 2.5 goals. West Ham are massive favourites for the match and are expected to dominate the match, Bournemouth will sit back and try to soak up this pressure and hit them with counter attacks. West Ham are not the most creative team in possession and will struggle to break this Bournemouth team down. It is unlikely this match will be an all-time classic as both teams are more defensively minded, therefore I would expect this to be another low scoring match for both teams, so I am backing under 2.5 goals.
Gianluca Scamacca to have 1+ Shot on Target
Gianluca Scamacca is becoming more and more important to Moyes’ West Ham team, he has averaged 1.51 shots on target for West Ham in all competitions so far this season despite struggling for goals. He has had at least 1 shot on target in 8 of his last 11 matches, only failing to have one against Liverpool, Everton (where he played just 26 minutes) and FC București (where he only played one half). 4 of the last 5 goals Bournemouth have conceded have been from opposition strikers and they will struggle to hold off Scamacca in this match. In these last 5 matches, the only striker not to have managed a shot on target against Bournemouth was Ivan Toney and he had 4 shots without hitting the target, so was hardly struggling for chances. With Bournemouth’s struggles of late at stopping opposition strikers and Scamacca’s good form, I am backing him to have a shot on target in this match.
Jefferson Lerma to have 1+ Shot on Target
Beyond Solanke, Bournemouth do not have any ‘big name’ attackers but the men supporting Solanke have been having a quietly good season. Both Jefferson Lerma and Phillip Billing have shown themselves as very good footballers with 6 goal contributions between them. With Gary O’Neil in charge, Lerma has been one of Bournemouth’s best players, he has 4 shots on target in the last 4 matches and scored 2 games ago against Fulham. Lerma also scored in the first match of the season and the central midfielder has continued to be influential for Bournemouth. Lerma tends to play on the left of the central midfielders for Bournemouth and this is an area of the pitch really struggle to defend. Against West Ham, 92% of Liverpool’s xG came from attacks down the left or centre of the pitch and for Southampton against West Ham it was 85%. As West Ham allow a huge amount of xG from an area of the pitch Lerma is expected to occupy for Bournemouth in this match, Lerma should be one of the favourites from the Bournemouth team for a shot on target.
Jarrod Bowen to have 1+ Shot on Target
Jarrod Bowen has become one of David Moyes’ first names on the team sheet. Bowen was West Ham’s top scorer last season with 18 goals in all competitions, including 12 in the Premier League. Bowen already has 5 goals in all competitions so far this season and is hitting plenty of shots, averaging 1.91 shots per 90 this season. These numbers are pulled down a bit due to West Ham’s poor start to the season but with Bowen’s form improving alongside West Ham’s, he has averaged 2.86 shots per match over their last 7 matches. Bowen has averaged 1 shot on target per match over these 7 matches and against one of the weakest teams in the league in Bournemouth he will fancy his chances in this game. He will continue to be West Ham’s first choice penalty taker despite his miss in the Liverpool match and this only provides further opportunities for a shot on target. West Ham are expected to dominate and Bowen will get plenty of chances for a shot on target so I am backing him in this match.
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How to watch West Ham v Bournemouth in the Premier League?
📅 When is West Ham v Bournemouth? / Monday, 24th October 2022, 8:00PM
🏟 Where is West Ham v Bournemouth? / London Stadium (London)
📺 What TV channel is West Ham v Bournemouth on? / Sky Sports Main Event
🟨 …And who is the referee for West Ham v Bournemouth? / D. Coote 🏴