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West Ham v Brentford Bet Builder Tips, 11/1 Longshot Predictions & Cheat Sheet

West Ham v Brentford Bet Builder Tips, 11/1 Longshot Predictions & Cheat Sheet

Friday 17 October, 20255 min read
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Andy Robson

Andy Robson is the most popular betting tipster in the UK. With a combined following in excess of 1 million people across his social media channels, Andy has built a loyal audience by consistently providing quality betting content for over nine years. He is the founder of Andy’s Bet Club, which he launched in 2019.

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West Ham welcome Brentford with the Hammers looking for their first home win of the season having lost all three of their matches at the London Stadium so far.

Brentford are also searching for their first win on the road with Keith Andrews’ side coming away with three losses from their early season travels.

Check out these West Ham v Brentford Betting Stats ahead of kick-off.

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West Ham v Brentford Best Bet Builder Bets
  • West Ham v Brentford
  • Premier League
  • 20:00
4 Selections @ 3.29

West Ham Double Chance

I do think we’ll start to see results pick up now for West Ham with Nuno at the helm. He’s a reliable Premier League manager and I'm still trying to figure out what compelled Forest to get rid of him. 

He keeps his side in games with a pragmatic approach which may not be the most appealing on the eye, but is effective as he showed with his Forest side last season.

This West Ham side also has a lot of the ingredients he would already want to play in this manner. Fullkrug has similarities to Wood in his physical nature and ability to hold up the ball, with Paqueta also able to mirror the role of Gibbs-White and the duo of Bowen and Summerville can offer crucial speed in wide areas.

There’s already been a great example of this sequence working really well, West Ham’s equaliser against Everton is a great model for the types of goals you’ll see West Ham score in the coming months. I think Brentford have done ok under Keith Andrews so far but their away form has been concerning.

The Bees have lost all three of their games on the road this term, conceding eight goals in the process and only scoring three themselves.

This could be an opportunity for Keith Andrews to correct that record with West Ham also losing all three of their games at the London Stadium so far but I do think Nuno will start to have a posting effect on this side and they can come away with at least a point here.

Brentford to Commit 11+ Fouls

Brentford are a more aggressive outfit in the early parts of the season than they were last term. 

Thomas Frank encouraged his side to be quite passive when without the ball, they didn’t adopt an intense press and held their shape superbly well which led to a very modest foul count, only City committed fewer fouls than Brentford last term.

However, Keith Andrews appears to allow his side to get after the ball a bit more and close down opponents before they arrive at their penalty box. 

This has resulted in Brentford averaging 12.6 fouls per game in the Premier League and committing 11+ fouls in six of their seven top-flight games this term - including committing at least 12 fouls in each of their away matches.

Jarrod Bowen to have 1+ Shots on Target

Bowen has long been the most reliable player in the final third for West Ham and has already shown his value this season with three goals in the Premier League, half of West Ham’s total tally in the top flight so far.

He’s had 15 shots for the Hammers across these matches (2.14 per 90) with seven of these attempts finding the target (1.00 per 90).

I think Bowen will really benefit from Nuno Espirito Santo’s style of play, West Ham will get the majority of their attacking joy in moments of transition under the new coach with Nuno often opting for a counter-attacking style.

Bowen netted 13 Premier League goals last season while averaging 1.12 shots on target per 90 across his 34 appearances in the Premier League. 

Bowen scored in West Ham’s first game under the tutelage of Nuno and will be eyeing up another goal in what is the new coach’s first game at the London Stadium with this West Ham side having contested away games against Arsenal and Everton.

Yehor Yarmoliuk to Commit 1+ Fouls

Yarmoliuk is a steely operator in the middle of the park for Brentford and tends to be the midfielder who gets through the most work off the ball in the Bees’ three-man midfield setup. 

He’s committed 11 fouls across his seven Premier League appearances so far this season (1.64 per 90) and could be caught out at times here by the likes of Paqueta and Fernandes.

Paqueta, in particular, is very strong when it comes to winning fouls and will cause Yarmoliuk problems with Nuno pushing on Paqueta and Fernandes into advanced areas in his early games in charge of the Hammers. 

Paqueta has won 12 fouls across his seven Premier League matches this term (1.78 per 90) while Fernandes averaged 1.70 fouls won per 90 across his 36 Premier League appearances last season.

Brentford are a more aggressive side when it comes to committing fouls than they were last season. The Bees rank fourth in the Premier League for fouls committed per game (12.6), which represents a big increase on the 8.7 fouls committed per game that they averaged last term.

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West Ham v Brentford Best Longshot Bets
  • West Ham v Brentford
  • Premier League
  • 20:00
3 Selections @ 12.01

Lucas Paqueta to Score or be Shown a Card

Paqueta has received two yellow cards and scored two goals across his seven appearances in the Premier League so far this season. I think he’ll flourish under the guidance of Nuno Espírito Santo having had a tough few years with several off the field issues.

Paqueta is probably the most naturally talented player in this West Ham side. You only have to look at the catalogue of goals he’s scored in his time at the London Stadium to see his quality, one of which came at home against Chelsea earlier on in the season with Paqueta firing home from outside the box. He can cut a frustrated figure at times with the lack of quality around him, which aids the card section of our selection.

Paqueta only netted four Premier League goals last season which is well below the standard he can reach. Though, everyone at West Ham was below their usual level last term so it’s unfair to judge just Paqueta for their poor form last season. He did pick up 10 yellow cards during the campaign so it may be the card angle which wins us our pick here in a London derby. 

Kevin Schade to have 2+ Shots on Target

I think Schade will be Brentford’s next biggest export having already been linked to a move to Dortmund over the summer. His stock should continue to rise this season, and he’s formed a promising partnership with Igor Thiago in the early weeks of the campaign.

Schade is lightning quick, which is his main asset, he could do with a small improvement when it comes to composure in front of goal but he should enjoy playing at this stadium having scored the winner here last season. His strike after four minutes was enough to earn Brentford the win on that occasion, which was a game that saw him have three shots, two of which found the target.

Schade has had 10 shots across his seven Premier League appearances so far this season (1.57 per 90) with four of these efforts finding the target (0.63 per 90). These aren’t the most standout numbers but I do expect them to increase over the coming weeks, and in games like this with West Ham still a bit vulnerable from the spell of Graham Potter, which ended so disastrously.

Crysencio Summervile to be Fouled 2+ Times

Summerville changes the energy of this West Ham side in the final third. Paqueta and Bowen are quality players but neither really have much explosiveness or dynamism when travelling with the ball, which are traits that Summerville has in abundance. He’s always willing to take on his man and his clash with Kayode really stands out here.

Summerville has already won 10 fouls across just five Premier League appearances this term (2.87 per 90). This is particularly impressive as Summerville is only just returning from injury, so to be as sharp as he is shows how important he could be to this West Ham side, especially now that pace is a massive component in their attacking phase of play.

Summerville featured sparingly for West Ham last season with there not really being a place for him in Graham Potter’s system. He did still win 23 fouls across just seven starts (2.65 per 90) so winning fouls is a consistently strong part of his game.

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📂 West Ham v Brentford Cheat Sheet

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📈 West Ham v Brentford Form & Tactics

An early season change at the helm was necessary for West Ham, it was clear that Potter had long lost the dressing room and it never really looked like West Ham could get going under the former Chelsea boss with Potter ending his West Ham spell with a win percentage of just 24% - the lowest win percentage he’s had at any club he’s managed.

I don’t think the situation that West Ham find themselves in is all because of Graham Potter. He was severely let down by the recruitment team above him, which is pretty non-existent at West Ham, with there being a very clear top-down control system at the club. 

That being said, Nuno has worked under chaotic regimes before having been at Wolves and Forest with his calm demeanour often enough to temper relationships for a few months. 

His two games in charge so far have seen West Ham earn a point against Everton and lose against Arsenal. These were both away games so it was a pretty difficult start to life for the former Forest boss, but he’s now had a few weeks to work with some of the players, and I think you’ll see clearer patterns of his philosophy in his first home game in charge. 

Brentford are progressing steadily under Keith Andrews, but I’d still like to see a bit more from the Bees to convince me that they can ride out what looks to be a challenging season at the bottom of the table. 

Brentford’s away form has to improve, they’ve been tough to shift at the Gtech, but losing all three of their away games so far will be a concern for Keith Andrews.


📔 West Ham v Brentford Formation & Team News

West Ham have been lining up in a 4-2-3-1 or 4-1-4-1 in their two games under Nuno so far, with both shapes conducive to a counter-attacking style of play. West Ham’s defensive line has dropped a touch deeper in their games against Arsenal and Everton as well with Nuno sure to improve West Ham’s early defensive record which is abysmal (16 goals conceded - most in Premier League).

West Ham have struggled from crosses into the box, in particular with the Hammers unable to maintain any sort of defensive shape from set pieces and corners in particular. The centre back duo of Mavropanos and Kilman doesn’t fill me with confidence and once again points to poor recruitment by West Ham to end up with a defensive unit that is so unbalanced and disconnected. 

Malick Diouf has been a real bright spark for the Hammers so far from left back, and I’d expect Nuno to make the most of his exceptional delivery into the box. A wingback role would really suit him, but there are other ways that he can be platformed in the final third while ensuring that West Ham maintain their defensive structure with a back four. 

Brentford have either lined up in a 5-3-2 or a 4-2-3-1 this season, depending on the quality of opposition they face. My early assessment of Keith Andrews is that he’s not motivated to stick to a certain philosophy or his way of playing, but rather looks to see what weaknesses he can expose in the opposition and progresses with that in mind. 

The front two of Kevin Schade and Igor Thiago have been effective with their speed and physicality but by only playing with two attackers, Brentford are limiting the number of entries they have in the final third. Dango Ouattara, Fabio Carvalho and Reiss Nelson are all other attacking options that Brentford could utilise if they want with a more expansive approach, and there’s plenty of room to do that here against the league's weakest backline.


📊 West Ham v Brentford Key Stats

  • West Ham have conceded more goals than any other side in the Premier League this season (16).

  • Brentford have lost all three of their away matches this season.

  • This will be Nuno Espirito Santo’s first game at the London Stadium as head coach of the Hammers.

  • Brentford have seen a notable increase in their foul numbers at the start of this season (8.7-12.6).


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