I am also keen to back Juventus to earn a minimum of 5 corners on Sunday evening. Luciano Spalletti's side have been consistently strong in the corner department in Serie A this season, propelled by an average of 5.58 flag kicks per game. Notably, that figure rises to 6.20 when Juventus are playing at their Turin base.

It has been a similar story in this season's Champions League, with Juventus posting an average of 6.43 corners per game, a tally bettered only by Liverpool, Real Madrid, Chelsea and PSG. With that in mind, the Old Lady looks well placed to cover the 5+ corner line when they host Napoli on Sunday evening. 

While Antonio Conte's side have conceded a modest average of just 2.67 corners per game in Serie A this season, they were forced to defend 4 flag kicks away at Inter Milan a fortnight ago. The same occurred during last weekend's win over Sassuolo, so I’m confident Juventus will follow suit.

I think Rasmus Hojlund looks like a prime candidate to commit a minimum of 1 foul during this showdown. The Napoli striker’s aggression and physicality often land him in the referee’s bad books. That tendency is reflected in his average of 1.63 fouls per game in Serie A this season, with Hojlund overstepping the mark at least once in 7 of his last 9 appearances. It's also worth noting that the 22-year-old forward committed 2 offences against Juventus during this season's reverse fixture.

Hojlund has also caught the referees’ attention in this Champions League season, making multiple misdemeanours in 3 of his last 5 outings, including 3 against Copenhagen on Tuesday night.

The case for siding with this selection becomes even more appealing when you consider that Juventus centre-half duo Bremer and Lloyd Kelly are drawing 0.43 and 0.50 fouls per game in Serie A respectively this season.

I tipped Scott McTominay to hit the target during Napoli's clash with Copenhagen in the Champions League in midweek, and he duly delivered. The Scotland international is in a rich vein of form, with his midweek strike taking him to 4 goals in his last 5 appearances across all competitions.

McTominay has proven this is no short-term surge, as he has long been a consistent goal threat who frequently tests the opposition goalkeeper. His Serie A numbers this season back that up, averaging 2.79 shots per game, with 1.11 on target per 90. More importantly for this selection, McTominay has registered an on-target effort in 5 of his last 7 outings across all competitions, notably producing multiple shots on target away from home against both Copenhagen and Inter Milan.

With that in mind, the Napoli talisman looks terrific value to repeat the trick on Sunday evening against a Juventus side who were outshot 16-12 when hosting Benfica on Wednesday night.

While I don’t think that a goal-fest is on the cards at the Allianz Stadium on Sunday evening, I would still expect to see at least 2 goals.

15 of Juventus’ 21 Serie A matches this season have produced a minimum of 2 strikes, including 8 of their 10 outings in front of their own supporters. All 4 of the Turin giants’ home games in the Champions League have also yielded 2 or more goals, including a barnstorming 4-4 draw with Borussia Dortmund on matchday 1.

As for Napoli, 13 of their 21 Serie A fixtures this term have hit the 2+ goal mark, including 7 of their 11 away matches, the most recent of which was a pulsating 2-2 draw with Inter Milan at the San Siro. The case for this selection is strengthened further by the fact that all 4 of Napoli’s Champions League away games this season have featured over 1.5 goals.

Adding even more weight to this angle is the reverse fixture earlier this season, just over a month ago, which ended 2-1 in Napoli’s favour.

Leao is AC Milan’s talisman in forward areas, the man expected to carry the ball and be direct on the counter-attack, he’s got that ability to shift the ball and create half a yard, manufacturing something out of nothing. 

Leao has been averaging 2.96 shots per 90 in Serie A, but a good percentage of those efforts are hitting the target. Objectively speaking, the shot on target feels like a far better value option than taking Leao 3+ shots at 1.28. 

16 of Leao’s 33 attempts have ended up on target, giving him a 48.48% success rate - which makes a mockery of 3+ shots being shorter than one shot on target. This has resulted in Leao having an average of 1.43 shots on target per 90. Roma are an aggressive side off the ball, so there should be chances for Leao to strike on the counterattack if the Roma press gets played through. This could open up some high-quality shot opportunities.

It’s such a shame that the Nix injury has robbed us of what could have been a classic AFC Championship game. One thing we still have is the matchup between a great offense and a sensational defense, something that should be a great watch. As a fan of defensive football this Broncos D is a great watch, and Nik Bonitto is one of their stars.

The 26-year-old has followed up his great 2024 season with an even better 2025, and he’ll continue that here. He’s had 15 sacks this season and his sack and forced fumble on Josh Allen in the Divisional Round really showed his class. Number 15 is a serious player, he will cause the Patriots' left edge problems on Sunda,y and I want to back him to add another sack to his incredible tally this year.

When Rhamondre Stevenson was out injured it looked like TreVeyon Henderson had stolen his backfield, but since returning to the field we’ve seen the veteran slowly eat back carries, and now, in crunch time, overtake his rookie rival for carries.

Stevenson isn’t as dynamic as Henderson and is unlikely to rip off huge runs, but he’s more consistent and safer between the tackles. I’m loving his alternate line for this game, which would see him rush for 40+ yards. He’s managed that in seven of eight games since returning from injury in Week 12, and the only exception was his comeback game, in which he only carried the ball six times. If the Patriots hold a lead, which they will have, then there’s no better man to grind out the clock with than Stevenson.

Unfortunately, this game was killed the second that the Broncos confirmed that Bo Nix had a fracture in his ankle and would require surgery. Nix isn’t the finished article at quarterback, but he’s shown throughout his time in the NFL so far that he is a capable QB and can rally his team and be clutch in difficult moments.

The Broncos defense is truly elite, and while I think the Patriots aren’t as good as their record suggests, thanks to that easy schedule throughout the regular season, they should win here with ease. This will be a low scoring game, but the Patriots will be able to score on this defense, even if it’s just two TDs. I’m struggling to see Jarrett Stidham, the Broncos second string QB, managing to even score once with this offense.

The third year wideout has had a career year and truly announced himself as one of the very best in the league. If the Seahawks are to win this game, then they need to get the ball into Jaxon Smith-Njigba’s hands as often as possible. I’d be lying if I said Darnold’s injury wasn’t a slight concern, with Drew Lock a downgrade if the Seahawks QB can’t play.

However, I’m negating the risk by taking an alternate line of 70+ receiving yards for JSN, below the 90.5 line that he’s got ordinarily. I think that line should be safe, even if Lock gets the nod at quarterback. JSN has averaged 95.3 yards per game this season, and had 70+ in 17 of 19 matches.

Last week was tied for the 2nd-fewest receptions (five) of Puka Nacua’s season, and the only game worse than that was one in which he got injured. He’s a volume monster in this offense, and has had seven or more catches in 13 of 18 across the year, averaging eight receptions per game.

He’s the key player on this offense, with Matthew Stafford repeatedly targeting him, and Nacua helping the team move the chains and get down the field. Even in last week’s five-catch performance, he still had double-digit targets, and has had 10+ targets in seven straight games, and an average of 10.7 targets per game across the season. Take the slightly more conservative alternate reception line and back him to make seven or more catches.