These sides sit level on points in the Eerste Divisie after 17 matches with Den Bosch only ahead of Willem II on goal difference. Den Bosch have conceded more goals than any other side in the Eerste Divisie this term (35 - 2.05 per game) but have scored the same amount of goals which has led to eight wins from their 17 matches.

Willem II have been pretty strong on the road this term, winning four of their nine matches with these games producing 30 goals (3.33 per game). Willem II are the only side in the top 13 of the Eerste Divisie that have a negative goal difference (-3). Den Bosch enter this game having seen BTTS in each of their last five matches across all competitions, managing to win two of these games.

Willem II have seen BTTS in three of their last five matches across all competitions, and are likely to be forced out here with Den Bosch netting 21 goals across their eight home matches this term. The away side should still have opportunities when noting that Den Bosch have only kept three clean sheets in the Eerste Divisie this term as well as conceding 14 goals at home.

Zwolle come into this clash having seen BTTS in four of their last five matches across all competitions. They’ve had some crazy scorelines in this recent run, including an 8-2 defeat to Heracles and two 2-2 draws against Nijmegen and Groningen.

Heerenveen saw BTTS last time out as they claimed a shock win against AZ Alkmaar, despite sitting six places below their opponents on that occasion in the league table.

This marks the third occasion in their last five matches where they’ve seen BTTS, with Heerenveen managing to win just one of these matches. They’ve only managed to win one of their six away matches this term, with these games producing 17 goals (2.83 per game).

Each of the last three head to head meetings, all taking place within the last year, have seen BTTS. The most recent meeting between the sides took place in February and ended in a 1-1 draw. There was a combined xG of exactly 2.0 produced in that clash, and similar could be on the cards here.

Leipzig have recovered really well under the tutelage of Ole Werner after a disastrous season last year which saw them miss out on any European competition, and led to the demise of long term head coach Marco Rose. Ole Werner has led the side to eight wins across their 11 matches in the Bundesliga with these matches producing 35 goals (3.18 per game).

Leipzig’s six away matches have seen 20 of these goals (3.33 per game), offering real promise for another high scoring affair here. Leipzig enter this clash having seen 3+ goals in four of their last five matches across all competitions. Leipzig have covered this line themselves in three of these matches, showing the attacking quality that Leipzig have in the side.

Mochengladbach have seen 3+ goals in each of their last five matches across all competitions, impressively managing to win each of the last four. Their last defeat was at the hands of Bayern Munich who lead the way in the Bundesliga, boasting a six point gap to Leipzig in second place. Mochengladbach have struggled at home this term, with the 14 goals they’ve conceded in front of their fans being the joint most of any side in the Bundesliga.

I can’t see Monchengladbach keeping pace with the scoring power of Leipzig here. Monchengladbach have only managed to win one of their six home games this season, and have conceded the joint most goals at home in the division (14). They’ve only scored seven goals themselves across these games which simply isn’t at the level to keep up with Leipzig.

Leipzig have avoided defeat in four of their six away matches this season, with the losses coming against Bayern Munich and Hoffenheim - both sides that are performing well at home so far this term.

Monchengladbach can’t rely on their defensive rearguard here as it has been breached on multiple occasions, leaving the home side with no choice but to engage in a high scoring affair, which is a tussle where Leipzig hold the natural advantage.

Metz’s matches rank 4th in Ligue 1 for goals, averaging an impressive 3.38 per 90. Since the start of the season, this selection has had a 62% win rate, which is the 4th highest of any side in Ligue 1. Last time out, Metz fell to a 3-2 defeat against Brest, meaning this selection has now come home in five of their most recent seven. The underlying figures also reinforce the intuition behind this bet - games involving Metz have produced an average of 3.28xG.

Rennes have been even more consistent in this market, with nine of their 13 matches seeing the net ripple on at least three occasions. That includes six of their last seven, and even in the anomaly, which ended 1-0, the teams combined for over 2.5xG.

SHADER (8.1) is a lightly raced four-year-old who has been impressive in his five racecourse appearances. Given his record on the all weather, he will be tough to stop on his return to Southwell. Three of his five starts have come on the all weather, and considering he has won all three of these races, further progression looks on the cards.

Stepping up into listed company last time out at Kempton, Shader blew away the field after making smooth headway 2f from home, and winning easily by nine lengths. Although he is met with a tougher task today taking on a Group 1 winner in Dubai Honour, he is racing 4lb lighter than his main market rival. Another bold bid is expected under Colin Keane, back Shader to remain unbeaten on the all weather here.

Winning this race last year, STRONG LEADER (9.0) returns on the back of an impressive performance at  Wetherby earlier this month, and looks a solid bet to retain his title. Returning after a seven-month break, Strong Leader landed the bet365 Hurdle (Grade 2) at Wetherby when beating today’s rival Take No Chances. Considering they are racing on the same terms in today’s contest, he looks to have the measure of at least one market rival. 

Comfortably winning this race last year by 3½ lengths whilst carrying a 6lb penalty, this 3m trip is his optimum. It's now six wins from 13 starts for Sean Bowen on Strong Leader, which is an excellent record. He is proven to stay this 3m trip and has the experience over Impose Toi, who has only raced once over 3m with hurdles omitted and could well be vulnerable against top opposition.

Colts wide receiver Alex Pierce has managed 25+ receiving yards in each of his last five games, with an average of 78.40 receiving yards per game over this period. With this, he accounts for 29% of his teams total receiving yards.

His recent form figures of 98, 69, 115, 84 and 26 receiving yards show he has comfortably cleared this bet in all outings bar his last match, where he managed to make 26 yards (still beating this line).

Texans' wide receiver Jayden Higgins has managed four or more receptions in four of his last five matches, boasting an average of 3.60 receptions per match across this period.

This average is brought down by the Broncos game where he only managed one reception, however, against a Colts side who are 2nd in the division for receptions allowed, we can imagine his receptions would be on the higher side for this match.

His form figures read 4, 1, 5, 4 and 4 receptions over the past five games.

The Jaguars are just one win back from the Colts in the AFC South and looking for their third win on the bounce. If they hadn’t somehow given up 26 points in the fourth quarter against the Texans, this would be potentially their fifth win in a row. 

With the Titans ranking bottom three in offensive DVOA and 29th of 32 teams in defensive DVOA, both well below the Jaguars, it should be an easy win for Liam Coen’s team. Only three teams are giving up more than the 27.5 points Tennessee are allowing per game.

It’s been a resurgent year for Travis Etienne, who was beyond awful last year. He beat off competition for his spot from Tank Bigsby, who was traded and he’s still leading his backfield despite rookie Bhayshul Tuten’s emergence. Since the bye, we’ve seen the team lean even more heavily on Etienne.

In the four games since he’s had 72 carries, an average of 18 per game, and been heavily involved in the passing game. That’s resulted in four touchdowns, and with the Titans allowing 15 touchdowns to opposition running backs, he’s the man most likely to score for the Jags on Sunday.

It can be very frustrating watching Trevor Lawrence play. He was drafted into a terrible situation with the Jags under Urban Meyer, but he’s still a long way from delivering on the promise that saw many analysts suggest he’d be the best quarterback of his generation. Every game he will do something mind-blowingly stupid, but then just when you’re out on him, he’ll pull off a throw that not many other players alive could make.

One thing has been consistent though, he’s been throwing touchdowns, even if we’ve seen far too many interceptions. He’s thrown at least one touchdown pass in nine of 11 games this season and in seven of his past eight games. There are signs that perhaps he’s starting to get things together under the stewardship of Liam Coen, so I’m backing him to throw another TD pass on Sunday.