Over 1.5 Goals in Stockport v Wycombe 

The initial league meeting between these sides produced three goals as Stockport ran out 2-1 winners over Wycombe, with that game being the third consecutive game that has produced three or more goals in the head to head meetings between the sides since 2024. We only need two goals for our selection here.

This is a massive game for both sides, Stockport are in the playoffs positions - but their spot is far from confirmed with only three points keeping them from the chasing pack, and only four points keeping them from Wycombe. 

Wycombe have seen 2+ goals in each of their last five matches across all competitions, and have seen 43 goals across their 20 away matches in League One (2.15 per game), notably only managing to win four of these games. 

Stockport have seen 53 goals across their 19 home matches in League One this term (2.78 per game), avoiding defeat in 15 of these matches. Stockport have seen 2+ goals in each of their last four matches ahead of this clash. 

There’s plenty on the line for both of these sides as we approach a defining point in the season, which should combine well with the underlying goal numbers of these sides to produce at least two goals. 

Over 1.5 Goals in Salford v Notts County 

Our second selection focuses on the playoff battle in League Two, with Notts County looking to cling onto their automatic promotion spot with their opponents here only three points away from those positions.

Meetings between these sides tend to be quite entertaining, 2+ goals has landed in each of the last five head to head meetings - stretching back to 2023. The initial league meeting between the sides produced three goals as Salford came away 2-1 winners over Notts County. 

Salford have seen 53 goals across their 20 home games in League Two this term (2.65 per game). Notts County have seen slightly fewer goals on the road this term (2.40 per game), but should be really motivated by the context that surrounds this fixture - a draw does very little for both of these sides so either should push on for a winner. 

Notts County have seen 2+ goals in each of their last six matches across all competitions, and will be aware that victory for Salford here would really damage their chances of securing an automatic playoff spot with the race being really tight between five sides for two spots with Bromley looking like they’ve secured pole position. 

This is a massive game at both ends of the table in the Championship with Wrexham knocking on the door of the playoffs and West Brom seeking to avoid dropping down to League One for the first time in their modern history.

This selection landed when the sides met earlier in the season, with West Brom coming away 3-2 winners on that occasion. Both sides registered an xG in excess of 2.0 in that game (2.01-2.37) with the game seeing seven big chances.

This selection has landed in four of Wrexham’s last five matches in the Championship, suggesting that they regularly see end to end games. Their 19 away games in the Championship have produced 45 goals (2.36 per game) and a draw does very little for their playoff hopes with Wrexham being in direct contention with Southampton and Derby for a playoff spot.

Luton have seen BTTS in each of their last nine matches across all competitions, with this specific selection landing in five of these games. They’ve taken on quite a positive approach under the tutelage of Jack Wilshere, with their home games being particularly entertaining (2.6 goals per game).

These sides are really well matched, Luton sit just one spot above Peterborough in League One and the away side could cut the gap between the sides to just two points with victory here, while also holding a game in hand on Luton. 

Peterborough have only drawn two of their 20 away games in League One this season, with these games also producing 52 goals - once again showing just how closely matched these sides are. They’ve lost 11 of these games, which should offer encouragement for Luton - but the 22 goals that Peterborough have scored on the road this season indicates that they’ll still be able to carry an attacking threat here.

Barnsley have been pretty woeful defensively all season, and this is reflected in their clean sheet numbers. Barnsley have only kept two clean sheets in League One all season, five fewer than the next lowest tally, a spot filled by Wimbledon.

Barnsley have seen BTTS in four of their last five matches across all competitions, they have drawn three of these games, but this isn’t too common when Barnsley take to the road with only six draws from their 17 away assignments this term. Barnsley have seen 54 goals across these games (3.17 per game). 

Burton find themselves in a precarious situation a bit further down the table with only three points keeping them from safety. They aren’t too much better at keeping clean sheets than Barnsley, with only six sides keeping fewer shut outs in League One this term.

The initial league meeting between these sides saw this selection land as Barnsley came away 3-2 winners over Burton at home. That game saw these sides combine to generate an xG of 4.51 (2.55-1.96) setting the stage for another end to end game that produces a winner.

This selection has landed in each of the last two head to head meetings between these sides, with Salford winning both of those games by 2-1 and 3-1 scorelines.

These sides are in direct competition with each other to finish in a playoff spot, with Notts County looking to cling onto their automatic promotion spot. Notts County have seen this selection land in two of their last five matches across all competitions, they are quite strong defensively but notably have only drawn four of their 20 away matches in League Two this season.

This lines up really well with Salford’s home record, they’ve only drawn three of their 20 home matches in League Two this term - and all a draw does for these teams is provide more encouragement to the others battling for the automatic promotion spots, with the race looking tighter every passing week.

Bradford have been a little complacent over recent weeks, but should be able to return to form here against a struggling Northampton side. Bradford sit fourth in League One, and currently have a five point buffer to the chasing pack - which isn’t a massive gap in the lower divisions.

Bradford boast the second strongest home record in League One this term, only the league leaders in Lincoln have won more games at home (15) than Bradford (14) this season. Bradford have only lost two of these matches, only Lincoln and Bolton have lost fewer games in front of their own supporters this term.

It’s hard to see how Northampton will get any joy here when looking over their away record. They’ve only won three of their 20 away matches in League One, conceding 35 goals across these games. Only Rotherham (11) have picked up fewer points on the road than Northampton (13) in League One this term. 

Northampton’s recent form is another reason to back Bradford for all three points here, the away side enter this contest having lost each of their last five matches across all competitions, most recently crumbling to a 4-1 defeat to Mansfield on the road.

MK Dons ran out 2-0 winners over Barrow when the sides met earlier in the season, and I can see another routine victory for the home side here as they look to secure an automatic promotion spot.

MK Dons were comfortable in victory on that occasion, racking up an xG of 1.50 from 12 shots overall. They also limited Barrow to zero shots on target, suggesting that Barrow may struggle to land any real serious blows on MK Dons here.

MK Dons have saved their best displays for their away games, but their home form is still strong with Paul Warne’s side avoiding defeat in 16 of their 20 home matches, winning 11 of these games.

Barrow did manage to earn a surprise 2-1 win over Bromley last time out, but this was almost certainly an anomaly when looking at their record throughout the season. Prior to that victory, Barrow had gone eight games without a win - losing six of these games. 

A similar pattern emerges when looking at their last victory before that triumph against Bromley, which was a 1-0 win over Colchester - a victory that came following six straight defeats. Barrow have only won four of their 20 away games in League Two this term, conceding 38 goals in the process.

The initial league meeting between these sides produced five goals as West Brom earned a 3-2 win over Wrexham. That game saw a combined xG of 4.38, and although the fortunes of both sides have changed quite dramatically since that game - we should still see a clash with at least two goals.

Wrexham have seen 2+ goals in each of their last five matches across all competitions. Wrexham’s 19 away games in the Championship have seen 45 goals, working out to an average of 2.36 goals per game. They should have plenty of motivation as well here, they’re only outside of the playoff spots on goal difference which can help to spur them on to contribute to the goal count.

West Brom are fighting at the other end of the table, with only four points keeping them from the drop zone. They’ve seen 2+ goals in four of their last five matches across all competitions, and have seen 46 goals across their 19 home games (2.42 per game).

These sides are very closely matched, only one spot and five points separates them in League One and Peterborough still have a game in hand to close that gap to just two points.

Both sides will still feel as though they have an outside chance of making the playoffs - a win for Luton could move them to within three points of the playoff spots if other results go their way so this is a massive game for both sides.

Luton have been an entertaining side to watch under Jack Wilshere, they’ve seen BTTS in each of their last five matches across all competitions. This actually stretches to Luton’s last nine games, so goals at both ends have been a regular occurrence for Luton of late.

Peterborough have seen BTTS in four of their last five matches across all competitions, with the exception of a 5-0 hammering of a struggling Rotherham side. Peterborough have seen 52 goals across their 20 away matches in League One this term (2.6 per game), notably only drawing two of these games.

I’ve been impressed with Sorba Thomas this season. He’s a player that I've always felt could be posting better numbers for the quality he has, and it’s clicked this season at Stoke with Thomas registering 19 goal contributions across his 38 starts for Stoke, with 10 of these being goals.

Thomas scored over the international break, in the nothing game that Wales contested against Northern Ireland after failing to qualify for the World Cup. He was impressive when he came on against Bosnia as well, which when partnered with his goal against Preston just before the international break presents a promising platform for Thomas to find the back of the net again.

Thomas couldn’t have a better opponent to play against to register his 11th goal of the season in the Championship. Sheffield Wednesday have been the punching bags of the Championship this term, conceding 79 goals across their 39 matches. They conceded three goals to Stoke when these sides met earlier in the season, with Thomas registering two assists in that clash.

Ashley Fletcher has bounced around quite a few EFL clubs, but appears to have found a bit of a home at Blackpool in the latter stages of his career with Fletcher netting 15 goals across his 34 starts for Blackpool - more than any other player in the squad.

He’s already eclipsed his goal tally from last season (11), showing some consistency which has been missing from his career previously. He lines up against an Exeter side who have failed to win any of their last 14 matches across all competitions, losing seven of these games. They’ve suffered some heavy losses on the road in this sequence too, conceding two or more goals in eight of these games.

Exeter did manage to run out 4-1 winners when the sides met earlier in the season, though Fletcher scored Blackpool’s only goal in that game from two shots on target. The picture looks very different for both sides since that game, which should see Blackpool get chances to service their top scorer. 

Jatta is such a fun player to watch, and he’s built on a really strong season for Notts County last term to emerge once again as their main goal threat. 

Jatta has netted 15 goals across his 25 starts in League Two this season, including a brace against Harrogate last time out. He didn’t feature in the initial league meeting between the sides, and Notts County missed him with the home side falling to a 2-1 defeat on that occasion.

Jatta netted 19 goals across his 38 starts in League Two for Notts County last season, so he’s clearly experienced at this level and can step up in a crucial game for Notts County as they look to close in on an automatic promotion spot.

Both league meetings between these sides this season have featured exactly three goals - Manchester City won 3-0 at the Etihad, and then snatched a late 2-1 victory over Liverpool at Anfield in their most recent clash.

I don’t trust either backline right now, and I think the expected rotation from both teams will open the game up rather than reduce the entertainment. Liverpool have seen three or more goals in both of their FA Cup matches this season, and their 16 away Premier League games have produced 48 goals (exactly 3.0 per game).

No side has scored more goals at home in the Premier League this season than Manchester City (36 goals, 2.4 per game), suggesting City could cover this line on their own - just like they did in the first meeting. City also have the advantage of a free week after this match, while Liverpool face PSG in the Champions League.

Taking the Asian Goal line means that if that bet falls one goal short, the selection will be void.

Hoffenheim faced a real setback in their most recent assignment as they were hammered by Leipzig, losing 5-0 on the road which represents a massive blow to their chances of securing Champions League football with three sides currently battling for two remaining spots.

This situation makes this a very important game for Hoffenheim, more dropped points here could put them out of the race altogether - or encourage Leverkusen who are threatening to enter the race late on in the season. 

Hoffenheim have seen 43 goals across their 13 home games in the Bundesliga this season (3.30 per game), only Leipzig, Dortmund and Bayern Munich have scored more goals at home than Hoffenheim in the Bundesliga this term. 

Mainz managed to get on the scoresheet when these sides met earlier in the season and can contribute to the goal tally again having found the back of the net in four of their last five matches across all competitions.

Taking the Asian Goal line means that if that bet falls one goal short, the selection will be void.

Gaiziantep have contested some really exciting and end to end games of late, seeing 4+ goals in three of their last five matches across all competitions. They’ve conceded 4+ goals in two of these games, including their most recent assignment as they fell to a 4-1 defeat at the hands of Fenerbahce.

Their 13 home games in the Turkish Super Lig have produced 39 goals, working out to an average of exactly 3.0 goals per game. They take on a Alanyaspor side who have seen 3+ goals in four of their last five matches across all competitions, and have seen 36 goals across their 13 away games this term (2.76 per game). 

Interestingly, Gaziantep’s home record is pretty poor, which lines up with the struggles of Alanyaspor on the road this season. The away side have only managed to win one of their 13 away matches in the Turkish top flight this term, conceding 20 goals across these matches.

Taking the Asian Goal line means that if that bet falls one goal short, the selection will be void.

Gary O’Neil has settled in well at Strasbourg since replacing Liam Rosenior, losing just two of his 15 matches in charge. He’s currently posting his best ever win percentage as a manager (53% - 1.9 points per game).

Strasbourg are usually an entertaining side, and while they’ve had a few 0-0 draws lately, that’s been more about how opponents set up than any lack of attacking intent. They’ve avoided defeat in 10 of their 13 home Ligue 1 games this season, with those matches averaging 2.30 goals per game (30 goals in total).

The most recent meeting between these sides was a 1-1 draw in January. Each of the last seven head-to-head clashes has seen 2+ goals, including a 2-2 draw when Nice visited Strasbourg last season.

Nice have conceded 27 goals across their 13 away Ligue 1 matches this term (2.07 per game), which suggests Strasbourg could contribute strongly to covering the over 2.5 goals line on their own.

Taking the Asian Goal line means that if that bet falls one goal short, the selection will be void.

Mallorca are battling at the bottom of LaLiga and currently find themselves one point from safety ahead of this difficult clash against a Madrid side chasing the LaLiga title. 

Mallorca have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last 15 matches across all competitions, suggesting a real defensive vulnerability which can be exploited on a few occasions by the away side. 

Mallorca have seen 3+ goals in each of their last three games ahead of this clash, winning just one of these games - which was a home triumph against Espanyol. 

Real Madrid have seen 3+ goals in each of their last five matches across all competitions, winning all five of these games. They came away 2-1 winners over Mallorca when the sides met earlier in the season, and all three head to head meetings between the sides last year produced three or more goals.

Taking the Asian Goal line means that if that bet falls one goal short, the selection will void.

Excelsior welcome the most entertaining side to watch in Europe this season, promising goals in this encounter. Nijmegen’s approach to games is wild, but they’ve stuck with it all season and it’s been pretty successful - guiding them to third in the Eredivisie, just three points behind Feyenoord in second.

Nijmegen have seen 3+ goals in each of their last five matches across all competitions, in line with their incredibly positive style of play. Their most recent assignment produced four goals as they played out a 2-2 draw against Heerenveen at home. They put five goals past Excelsior without reply when the sides met earlier in the season, suggesting that Nijmegen could cover this line on their own.

Excelsior are in the relegation zone at the time of writing, but the race at the bottom of the Eredivisie is incredibly tight - with the playoff relegation spot further complicating matters. Excelsior have failed to win any of their last five matches across all competitions. seeing 3+ goals in three of these games.

Taking the Asian Goal line means that if that bet falls one goal short, the selection will void.

Man City don’t actually have many clinical finishers. Haaland dominates in this metric with his 22 goals accounting for 36% of City’s total goals in the Premier League this season. Only Semenyo has entered double digits for goals in the Premier League in the City squad other than Haaland, with most of those goals coming for Bournemouth.

Foden is then the next top scorer on the list with seven goals to his name, but it’s clear that Haaland and Semenyo are City’s biggest shot and goal threats. Semenyo is priced a lot more generously for a shot on target here when compared to Haaland, you can back the Norwegian for a shot on target at 1.17, so taking 1.4 here for our Bet Builder is a much more appealing price, given Semenyo’s strong record in front of goal this term.

Only Haaland (19) has scored more non-penalty goals in the Premier League this season than Semenyo (14). He’s had 36 shots on target across his 29 Premier League starts this term, working out to an average of 1.25 shots on target per 90. He took three shots when the sides last met, as City claimed a 2-1 win over Liverpool, with one of those efforts finding the target.

Szoboszlai has easily been Liverpool’s best player this season, and I like backing him for shots because he isn’t afraid to take on speculative efforts.

I think Szoboszlai being a central player for Liverpool this season has improved his confidence and overall end product. He was already one of the hardest working players in the Liverpool side, but has added those extra bits of quality to his game which have taken him to a level just a tad below the world class tag.

Szoboszlai has taken 58 shots across his 29 starts in the Premier League this season (2.01 per 90), resulting in five goals for the Hungarian. He also has taken 29 shots across his 10 starts in the Champions League this term (2.95 per 90), netting five goals in the process. These goal tallies signify Szoboszlai’s best ever scoring season in a Liverpool shirt.

Szoboszlai scored and had three shots in the most recent meeting between these sides, despite lining up as a right back on that occasion. His role on free kicks can also help him get over this shot line, which is generously priced. 

I come back to this angle quite frequently when betting on Liverpool, mainly because Gravenberch is so consistent when it comes to winning fouls. 

One of his best traits is finding a way out of tight areas, he’s excellent at opening his body up to progress the ball through the thirds and although he has looked a little tired at times this season - he’s still maintained a solid record when it comes to winning fouls.

Gravenberch has drawn 36 fouls across his 29 Premier League appearances this term, working out to an average of 1.29 fouls won per 90. He was fouled five times by City in the most recent meeting between the sides from 63 touches, accounting for 31% of the total fouls that City committed in that game (16).

Gravenberch was also fouled once when City beat Liverpool 3-0 at the Etihad earlier in the campaign. If you want to stop Liverpool progressing through the thirds, stopping Gravenberch as often as possible is key, and this context should result in the Liverpool man being fouled at least once here.

Both league meetings between these sides this season have seen exactly three goals, with City coming away 3-0 winners in the clash at the Etihad and claiming a last gasp 2-1 victory over Liverpool at Anfield.

I don’t trust either of these backlines at the moment, and think that the expected rotation from both sides will lead to a more open game, rather than take away from the entertainment of the contest. Liverpool have seen 3+ goals in both of their FA Cup matches so far this season, and have seen 48 goals across their 16 away matches in the Premier League (3.0 per game). 

No side has scored more goals at home in the Premier League this season than City (36 - 2.4 per game) - they could cover this line on their own, as they did when the sides first met this term. Man City also have the luxury of having a free week after this game, while Liverpool take on PSG in the Champions League. 

Chermiti should lead the line for Rangers in their usual 4-2-3-1 formation in a match that could take them top of the league with a win, ahead of Hearts travelling to Livingston on Sunday.

He has found some form recently, scoring important goals including a hat-trick at home to Hearts in February and a brace against Celtic last month.

Chermiti has registered at least two shots in each of his last six Premiership appearances and has hit the target at least once in four of those games.

He has failed to record a shot in just one match he has started, and has only failed to hit the target in six of his starts.

This will be the third meeting between the sides this season. In their last meeting at Ibrox in October, Rangers had 29 shots with 8 on target. In the most recent encounter at Tannadice in December, they recorded 32 shots and 10 on target. Both matches finished 2-2.

Chermiti should have opportunities again here and will be expected to at least test the goalkeeper with the chances that come his way.

Motherwell will be looking to continue their push for a top-three finish with a home win against sixth-placed Falkirk.

They have been praised for their high-possession, attractive style under Jens Berthel Askou. That is reflected in the numbers, with Motherwell holding the second-highest average possession in the league and ranking fourth for total attempts on goal.

Within those numbers, Slattery ranks second in the Motherwell squad for total shots with 63, averaging 2.96 per 90. He has hit the target 22 times, giving him a shots on target rate of 1.03 per 90.

He has registered at least one shot in every match he has played this season and has only failed to hit the target in 10 of his 26 appearances.

The last meeting at Motherwell ended in a 2-1 win for Falkirk, although Motherwell dominated with 67 percent possession, 15 shots and 5 on target. Slattery was unavailable for that match.

Operating in his usual number 10 role, Slattery should see plenty of opportunities to shoot. With a 35 percent shot-to-target rate, the aim will be for him to register at least two shots on target to maximise the chances of landing the selection.

This is a huge game for several reasons. Stephen Robinson only left St Mirren to become Aberdeen manager last month, so this marks his return to his former club. It also has the feel of a relegation battle, with just three points separating Aberdeen in 9th, St Mirren in 10th and Kilmarnock in 11th.

With St Mirren now under interim manager Craig McLeish, it is unclear exactly how they will set up, but I would expect him to rely on Dan Nlundulu to start, either alongside Jake Young or Mikael Mandron.

Nlundulu has registered at least one shot in each of his last seven league matches and has hit the target in five of those. His average shots on target per 90 in the Premiership stands at 0.71.

He has been in and out of the team but has recently enjoyed a more consistent run of starts, although he rarely completes the full 90 minutes. Factoring in fresh legs, with either Young or Mandron coming on, adds further appeal, with those players averaging 1.11 and 0.82 shots on target per 90 respectively.

In the last meeting, a 3-3 draw in Aberdeen, St Mirren had 15 shots with 4 on target. However, in the last meeting at St Mirren, they managed just 1 shot on target from 10 attempts.

When playing away, Aberdeen’s recent shots on target conceded read: 7, 7, 2, 8, 9, 8, 7, 5, 10, an average of 7 per game across their last nine away matches.

I expect this to be an open game given the circumstances, and St Mirren should be able to register at least four shots on target. If so, and with the impact of fresh legs, Nlundulu looks well placed to deliver.

Gary O’Neil has been getting on pretty well at Strasbourg since stepping in to replace Liam Rosenior. He’s only lost two of his 15 matches in charge, and currently boasts his best ever win percentage as a manager (53% - 1.9 points per game).

Strasbourg are usually an entertaining side to watch, they’ve had a few 0-0 draws of late - but that’s more down to how their opponents have set up rather than Strasbourg being a dull watch. They’ve avoided defeat in 10 of their 13 home games in Ligue 1 this term, with these games producing 30 goals (2.30 per game).

The most recent meeting between these sides took place in January and ended in a 1-1 draw. Each of the last seven head to head meetings between the sides have produced 2+ goals, with Nice’s trip to Strasbourg last season ending in a 2-2 draw.

Nice have conceded 27 goals across their 13 away games in Ligue 1 this season (2.07 per game), suggesting that there could be room for Strasbourg to cover this line on their own.

The first league meeting between these two sides ended in a seven goal thriller, with Fortuna Sittard claiming a 4-3 win over Alkmaar. That match produced a combined xG of 5.44, setting the stage for another high scoring affair here with both teams still having plenty to play for.

Alkmaar currently sit sixth in the Eredivisie, but face a real fight to hold onto their spot in the Conference League playoff places, as both Heerenveen and Sparta Rotterdam are level on points with them heading into this fixture. Fortuna Sittard are also within striking distance - a win for the visitors would move them to within four points of Alkmaar.

Fortuna Sittard have seen both teams score in each of their last 13 matches across all competitions. The last side they failed to find the net against was Zwolle back at the end of 2025. This remarkable run suggests Sittard struggle to control games, but almost always carry an attacking threat, which makes it likely both sides will get on the scoresheet again here.

This is a pivotal game in the LaLiga title race, Real Madrid take on Mallorca a few hours before this game - and could cut the gap to Barcelona to just one point, making this a near must-win game for Hansi Flick’s side if they want to maintain their lead at the summit of LaLiga.

Barcelona have scored 31 goals across their 14 away games in LaLiga this season (2.21 per game), comfortably more than any other side in the division. Barcelona can’t really play any other way, Hansi Flick has them set up with an outrageous high line which naturally leads to Barcelona being involved in high scoring games.

Atletico Madrid have also opened up a bit this season, moving away from the low block stereotype that defines Simeone’s time at the club. This is shown through their recent matches, Atletico Madrid have conceded 2+ goals in four of their last five matches across all competitions, interestingly managing to win two of these games.

Lens are the first team in some time to actually challenge PSG for the Ligue 1 title. They sit just one point behind the Parisians ahead of this clash, though PSG do have a game in hand on Lens so the away side can’t really afford to drop points here as a bit of daylight for PSG is likely to spell the end of their title charge.

Lens have scored in each of their last 21 matches across all competitions, the last team to keep them out were Metz all the way back at the end of October. This scoring run lines up quite nicely with Lille’s inability to keep a clean sheet at the moment - they’ve failed to keep the opposition out in each of their last five matches across all competitions.

Lens ran out 3-0 winners over Lille when these sides met earlier in the season, generating an xG of 3.54 from their 15 shots on that occasion.