Lyon come into this contest in great form, having won each of their last five matches across all competitions, seeing BTTS in four of those games. They saw BTTS in their most recent assignment as they ran out 2-1 winners over Brest, with Paulo Fonseca’s side registering an xG of 1.98 from 19 shots in that clash.

Lyon have been excellent in the Europa League this season, having won five of their six league phase matches, putting them in a strong position to automatically qualify for the knockout stages. Lyon have seen 16 goals across those matches (2.66 per game), scoring 13 of those goals themselves.

Young Boys have a black and white record in the Europa League this term, having won three and lost three of their six matches. Those games have produced 20 goals (3.33 per game), with Young Boys seeing 3+ goals in four of their six matches in the Europa League this term.

Young Boys saw 3+ goals in their most recent assignment as they fell to a 3-1 defeat against Lausanne, though they were reduced to 10 men in the first half of that contest. Young Boys need the points to keep their chances of qualifying for the knockout stages alive, which is a motivation that can contribute to at least three match goals here.

Real Betis have been one of the best sides in the Europa League this season, with Manuel Pellegrini’s side effectively building on the work they did to reach the final of the Conference League last term. Betis have avoided defeat in all six of their matches in the Europa League this term, winning four of those games.

Betis’ away record is particularly impressive, with the La Liga side winning two of their three matches on the road - only Roma (nine) have picked up more points away from home than Betis (seven) in the Europa League this season.

The Spanish outfit travel to take on PAOK, who have drawn three of their six matches in the Europa League this term, with their only victories coming against Young Boys and Lille. I think they’ll struggle to match the quality of Betis, who have proven to be a really organised side in the Europa League this term.

PAOK could also have issues when it comes to finding the back of the net. Betis have only conceded four goals across their six matches in the Europa League this term - only three sides have a better defensive record than Manuel Pellegrini’s side in the Europa League.

I would be surprised if we do not see a minimum of three match cards during Thursday night's fixture at Ibrox. 

Ludogorets' continental contests this season have been especially card-heavy, highlighted by the fact they are generating an average of 5.51 bookings per game. In fact, each of the Eagles' six Europa League outings this season has comfortably cleared the over 2.5 card line.

The case for backing over 2.5 cards becomes even more appealing when you factor in the ill-discipline that has cost Rangers on several occasions when on European duty this term. Rangers have been reduced to 10 men in two of their three Europa League home games, with both teams having a player sent off when they hosted Braga on matchday 5. More importantly for this selection, all but one of Rangers' six league phase fixtures have produced 3 bookings or more. 

The fact that Rangers' Scottish Premiership games are averaging 3.87 cards per match offers further encouragement for siding with this angle at Ibrox on Thursday night.

After doing some research on Fenerbahce home games across the season in all competitions, Fenerbahce 4+ corners almost always lands. Out of their fifteen home games, this has landed fourteen times. The one anomaly was a 2-1 home win against Nice, where they took a 2-0 lead inside 25 minutes, so game state would have been an influential variable here. 

The hosts are desperate to pick up favourable results in their final two games, and this should lead to a positive and front footed approach against Villa, spurred on by a ferocious home support. 

The visitors will probably play out from the back slowly in the early parts of the match, and this may afford Fenerbahce opportunities to recover the ball high up the pitch and put Villa under some real pressure. Away fixtures in Turkey are always a difficult prospect, and I would expect the visitors to be on the back foot at certain periods during the 90 minutes.

Another team I like the look of to score at least once on Saturday is Cove Rangers in their away game at Hamilton in Scottish League One. 

Paul Hartley’s side have been on an upward curve in recent months, losing just one of their last seven league matches. Across that seven-game sample, Cove have claimed eye-catching wins away at both Kelty Hearts and Peterhead, triumphing 5-2 and 4-0 respectively. It’s also worth noting that the Aberdeenshire outfit caused a Scottish Cup third round upset by knocking out St Johnstone at McDiarmid Park at the end of November, although they have since exited the competition following a penalty shootout defeat after a 1-1 draw with Kelty Hearts last weekend.

Nevertheless, I think the visitors can get in on the act against a Hamilton side that has been leaking goals at an alarming rate in recent weeks. Across their last four league games, the Accies have shipped 4, 0, 4 and 3 goals, something I think in-form Cove can capitalise on.

Motherwell look well placed to continue their impressive home form by claiming all three points against Kilmarnock in the Scottish Premiership on Saturday afternoon. 

Jens Berthel Askou’s side have won 6 of their last seven Scottish Premiership matches at home, with the only minor blot being a goalless draw against league leaders Hearts, a result that in no way diminishes their excellent home record.  It's also worth noting that the Steelmen have seen off the likes of Dundee United, Hibernian and Celtic across that seven-game sample - all by two-goal margins - which doesn't bode well for a Kilmarnock side who have struggled away from home this season.

The relegation-threatened visitors have come away empty-handed from 5 of their last eight Scottish top-flight fixtures on their travels. The fact that Kilmarnock were knocked out of the Scottish Cup when hosting Dundee last weekend adds further weight to siding with a Motherwell success on Saturday.

I was pretty shocked to see the goal line priced quite so high here.

Getting the negative out if the way first, it is true that both teams are in a poor run of form. This is going to have an effect on the predicted goal line but the recent data and scorelines of both clubs still gives encouragement at the prices.

Blackburn, despite missing a whole host of first team players, managed to get themselves on the scoresheet at Swansea with a well worked goal. Their last home match ended 2-2 against Charlton, and there has actually only been one match at Ewood in the Championship this season that has finished under this goal line in 13 matches, a 0-1 defeat to QPR in November.

Blackburn average 1.37 xG themselves at home, not far off the line we need here, and they have conceded 1.12 xG at home, which, whilst not a huge total, demonstrates that they can, and do, concede goals at Ewood as well.

From a Watford perspective, they have gone off the boil. However, they still have an attacking outlook and plenty of goals in the team. They have notched in their last eight consecutive away Championship matches, and with Blackburn really suffering with defensive injuries, playing young Academy products in their back line, the Hornets have to fancy their chances of continuing that streak here.

Having watched Sheffield United last night against Southampton, it was notable that they just seemed a little off the pace, especially through midfield.

Whilst this is only one match, and one is loathe to read too much into a single game, but it is a tough run of fixtures for Blades right now and they need to find something extra in order to face down this challenge from the Tractor Boys.

Ipswich have begun to click and fly. Two comfortable home wins won't have taken too much out of them, and the way that they have used their run of four consecutive home matches in all competitions to get into a rhythm is a concern to the rest of the division.

The form of Middlesbrough and Coventry probably doesn't help Sheffield United here. Motivation is going to remain really high in the Ipswich camp as they remain in third at the moment.

Ipswich may not be as dominant away from home as they are at Portman Road, but they do still have a +0.47 xG differential across the season as a whole when only looking at away matches, and, as improved as Blades have been under Wilder, they have still lost five of their last eight, and their last three in a row.

Ipswich's last 10 matches has seen them have a +1 xG differential per match over their opponents. Their depth in options in the squad seems to be making a real difference at this stage of the season, and I think they are a touch of value to get this win.