Another team I like the look of to score at least once on Saturday is Cove Rangers in their away game at Hamilton in Scottish League One. 

Paul Hartley’s side have been on an upward curve in recent months, losing just one of their last seven league matches. Across that seven-game sample, Cove have claimed eye-catching wins away at both Kelty Hearts and Peterhead, triumphing 5-2 and 4-0 respectively. It’s also worth noting that the Aberdeenshire outfit caused a Scottish Cup third round upset by knocking out St Johnstone at McDiarmid Park at the end of November, although they have since exited the competition following a penalty shootout defeat after a 1-1 draw with Kelty Hearts last weekend.

Nevertheless, I think the visitors can get in on the act against a Hamilton side that has been leaking goals at an alarming rate in recent weeks. Across their last four league games, the Accies have shipped 4, 0, 4 and 3 goals, something I think in-form Cove can capitalise on.

Motherwell look well placed to continue their impressive home form by claiming all three points against Kilmarnock in the Scottish Premiership on Saturday afternoon. 

Jens Berthel Askou’s side have won 6 of their last seven Scottish Premiership matches at home, with the only minor blot being a goalless draw against league leaders Hearts, a result that in no way diminishes their excellent home record.  It's also worth noting that the Steelmen have seen off the likes of Dundee United, Hibernian and Celtic across that seven-game sample - all by two-goal margins - which doesn't bode well for a Kilmarnock side who have struggled away from home this season.

The relegation-threatened visitors have come away empty-handed from 5 of their last eight Scottish top-flight fixtures on their travels. The fact that Kilmarnock were knocked out of the Scottish Cup when hosting Dundee last weekend adds further weight to siding with a Motherwell success on Saturday.

I was pretty shocked to see the goal line priced quite so high here.

Getting the negative out if the way first, it is true that both teams are in a poor run of form. This is going to have an effect on the predicted goal line but the recent data and scorelines of both clubs still gives encouragement at the prices.

Blackburn, despite missing a whole host of first team players, managed to get themselves on the scoresheet at Swansea with a well worked goal. Their last home match ended 2-2 against Charlton, and there has actually only been one match at Ewood in the Championship this season that has finished under this goal line in 13 matches, a 0-1 defeat to QPR in November.

Blackburn average 1.37 xG themselves at home, not far off the line we need here, and they have conceded 1.12 xG at home, which, whilst not a huge total, demonstrates that they can, and do, concede goals at Ewood as well.

From a Watford perspective, they have gone off the boil. However, they still have an attacking outlook and plenty of goals in the team. They have notched in their last eight consecutive away Championship matches, and with Blackburn really suffering with defensive injuries, playing young Academy products in their back line, the Hornets have to fancy their chances of continuing that streak here.

Having watched Sheffield United last night against Southampton, it was notable that they just seemed a little off the pace, especially through midfield.

Whilst this is only one match, and one is loathe to read too much into a single game, but it is a tough run of fixtures for Blades right now and they need to find something extra in order to face down this challenge from the Tractor Boys.

Ipswich have begun to click and fly. Two comfortable home wins won't have taken too much out of them, and the way that they have used their run of four consecutive home matches in all competitions to get into a rhythm is a concern to the rest of the division.

The form of Middlesbrough and Coventry probably doesn't help Sheffield United here. Motivation is going to remain really high in the Ipswich camp as they remain in third at the moment.

Ipswich may not be as dominant away from home as they are at Portman Road, but they do still have a +0.47 xG differential across the season as a whole when only looking at away matches, and, as improved as Blades have been under Wilder, they have still lost five of their last eight, and their last three in a row.

Ipswich's last 10 matches has seen them have a +1 xG differential per match over their opponents. Their depth in options in the squad seems to be making a real difference at this stage of the season, and I think they are a touch of value to get this win.

Backing over 1.5 match goals looks an attractive option for Fulham’s meeting with Brighton at Craven Cottage.

Each of the last five head-to-head encounters has produced over 1.5 goals, with three of those matches even clearing the over 2.5 line.

Fulham’s attacking prowess at Craven Cottage further strengthens the case, with Marco Silva’s men scoring 19 goals at home, which is the 6th-highest in the league.

With Raul Jimenez leading the line and enjoying a productive campaign with eight goals and three assists, Fulham carry a clear goal threat, particularly when playing in front of their own fans.

Brighton also contribute goals on the road, regularly scoring 17 away goals so far. While their recent form has dipped, they have shown strong resilience when falling behind, avoiding defeat in a league-high eight Premier League games after conceding the first goal this season. That ability to respond often keeps matches alive and pushes games beyond a single-goal margin, as seen in their recent 1-1 draws against Manchester City and Bournemouth.

I really fancy Burnley to get something from this game, and I do think they’ll have spells where they’ll put the visitors under pressure. Two saves isn’t a huge ask here, Tottenham have conceded an average of 3.86 shots on target per 90 this season and Vicario has an average above the two saves we need here, at 2.59 per 90.

He’s made 2+ saves in seven of his last eight Premier League games, only failing to do so when he conceded three times from three Bournemouth shots in the 3-2 defeat to The Cherries. Burnley have also forced 2+ saves from their opponents GK in six of their last 10 matches.

With Anthony, Edwards and Broja in attack, there is enough for Burnley to make a real fist of this, and I’m just so far from convinced by Spurs, particularly in defence. They’ve conceded in each of their last five matches, prior to the midweek win over Dortmund.

Semenyo has started life very nicely at Man City and looks nailed on to be getting consistent minutes after his move from Bournemouth.

He didn’t travel to Norway in midweek, so will be fresh as a daisy for this encounter. He scored and assisted on his debut against Exeter, and got himself a goal in the away win at Newcastle.

Of course, he’s been on fire throughout the season for Bournemouth - netting 10 goals and chipping in with three assists in his 20 appearances for The Cherries.

This selection landed when Bournemouth played Wolves this season too, with Semenyo assisting Tavernier’s winner back in August.

I think Semenyo provides the best balance of semi-decent value in this game, whilst also having a good chance of playing 90 minutes. Cherki and Foden are rotation/minutes risks, Haaland has looked tired and is priced very short as you’d expect. Semenyo’s ability as a goalscorer but also a creator, is of course a huge bonus too.

The Cherries like to commit bodies going forward when they attack, which often leaves space in transition. Liverpool have the tools to cause problems on the break, which could force Bournemouth into cynical fouls. The reverse fixture finished 4-2 when these sides met at Anfield in August - Bournemouth committed ten fouls in that one, and were booked twice.

Anthony Taylor was, as usual, quite lenient with his cards in that game, but Michael Salisbury will be the designated referee for this game. Since showing just one card in a matchday two clash between Burnley and Sunderland, Salisbury has been dishing out the cards. He has shown 39 yellow cards in eight Premier League matches this season, averaging just under five cards per game.

Bournemouth are averaging 2.25 yellow cards per game at the Vitality Stadium this season, and have landed this selection in nine of their 12 matches across all competitions.