Tottenham are able to avoid relegation with a draw against Everton, but can't approach the game with this mentality given what is at stake.

Everton's European hopes took a hammer blow following their 3-1 defeat to Sunderland last time out, so their motivation levels are unlikely to be on the same level as Spurs.

The Toffees also rank in the bottom seven for shots on target in away games in the Premier League this season and bottom four for corners on their travels.

West Ham need a win if they are to escape the drop, with the fact Leeds are already safe from relegation perhaps helping their cause.

Visitors Leeds rank in the bottom seven for shots on target in away games in the Premier League this season and bottom four for corners on their travels.

These four matches all have plenty riding on them, especially for all four home sides, who all need to win for different reasons on the final day as they chase down a spot in Europe or look to avoid the drop to the Championship.

This hasn’t been the most exciting of Premier League seasons, with an average goal per game count of 2.74 - one of the lower metrics in recent seasons - but this almost always rises on the final day of the campaign and has done in each of the last five seasons, with at least 31 goals being scored on the final day of the campaign.

I’ve also gone for low lines on corners and cards. Corners are a natural extension of the desperation that most of these sides will face as they look to record crucial victories, while cards also tend to stack up on the final day of the campaign, given that there are no immediate suspension risks and sides have to throw everything at the result.

I really like the look of this, it’s across four key games on the final day of the Premier League season and should be a fun one to track, given the relatively low lines we need teams to cover are for a big winner.

As a Chelsea fan myself, this is the type of game I've come to dread over recent seasons. The data backs up this feeling too, Chelsea have only won one of their five matches against the newly promoted sides in the Premier League this season, with that victory coming away at Burnley - all three promoted sides managed to avoid defeat at Stamford Bridge, which I think is a stat that sums up Chelsea's season.

Sunderland managed to win at Stamford Bridge earlier in the campaign, despite having one of the weaker away records in the division. They've only lost four of their 18 home games in the Premier League this season and they could qualify for Europe with a win here if other results go their way. It's no exaggeration to say that this is one of the weakest Chelsea teams I've seen in my lifetime, and I think the final day will mirror what has been a pretty miserable campaign for the Blues.

I've had quite a lot of success betting on Manchester United for goals this season. They've only kept seven clean sheets in the Premier League and generally have been one of the more exciting team to watch in the division with their array of attacking talent making up for their issues at the back.

They take on a Brighton side that could be in the Champions League next season if results go their way on the final day of the campaign. Fabian Hurzeler also takes quite a bold approach to matches, making this a really nice matchup for goals. This is proven when looking through the head to head record between these sides, each of the last four meetings have seen at least three goals.

Fair play to Igor Thiago, I don't think anyone would have backed him to end the season as the second top goalscorer in the Premier League but he's sure to secure that spot heading into the final day of the campaign. His 22 goals mirror the output of Wissa and Mbeumo last season, and his goals account for 40% of the total goals that Keith Andrews' side have scored in the division.

He's found the target 43 times across his 36 starts in the Premier League this campaign (1.21 per 90), and managed three shots on target when the sides faced off in West London earlier in the season.

Rayan has registered seven goal contributions across just 12 starts in the Premier League (5 goals, 2 assists).

Rayan has registered a goal contribution in four of his last five Premier League matches.

Bournemouth could qualify for the Champions League with a win here.

Fernandes needs just one assist to break the long standing Premier League record for the most assists in a single season (21).

Only Erling Haaland (35) has registered more goal contributions in the Premier League than Bruno Fernandes (28) this season.

Fernandes has registered 10 goal contributions across his last 10 Premier League appearances.

Szoboszlai has easily been Liverpool’s best player this season, recording 13 goal contributions across his 35 starts in the Premier League.

Szoboszlai has registered five goal contributions across his last five Premier League appearances, including two assists against Aston Villa last time out.

Szoboszlai registered an assist when Liverpool faced off against Brentford earlier in the season. 

Crysencio Summerville draws an average of 2.53 fouls per 90 in the Premier League this season and has been fouled at least twice in 10 of his previous 14 appearances. The West Ham forward could find himself up against makeshift Leeds right-wing back Dan James, while he also likes to drift inside where he could cross paths with Ethan Ampadu, who commits an average of 1.46 fouls per 90 in the Premier League this season.

James Garner has committed 2 or more fouls in four of his last five Premier League outings, while he has been penalised at least twice in 11 of his 18 top-flight appearances away from home this season. The Everton midfielder is likely to be up against Spurs' trio Conor Gallagher, Joao Palhinha and Rodrigo Bentancur, who drew a combined total of 4 fouls between them against Chelsea on Tuesday night.

Sunderland have only lost four of their 18 home matches in the Premier League this season.

Chelsea have only won one of their last five Premier League matches, and have only managed to beat Burnley in their games against the promoted sides this season.

Sunderland could qualify for Europe with a win here.

Regis Le Bris' side beat Chelsea 2-1 when the sides met at Stamford Bridge earlier in the season.

Each of the last four head to head meetings between these sides have seen 3+ goals.

Manchester United have kept just seven clean sheets in the Premier League this season, their games tend to be end to end and produce high goal counts.

Brighton have seen 47 goals across their 18 home games in the Premier League this season, working out to an average of 2.61 goals per game

West Ham are averaging 5.28 corners per game at the London Stadium this season, a metric we can expect to increase given the context surrounding this clash. 

Nuno's side must win to have a chance of staying up in the Premier League this season, they've registered 4+ corners in both head to head meetings with Leeds this season.

Wolves have collected 75 yellow cards in the Premier League this season, only five sides have picked up more cautions than the Wanderers.

Wolves committed 12 fouls in the initial league meeting between the sides, and have committed more fouls than any other side in the Premier League this season (13.1 per game).

The referee for this game is Andrew Kitchen who is averaging 3.67 cards per game in the Premier League this season across his three appointments.

Enzo Fernandez scored a brilliant goal from outside the box against Tottenham last time out, marking his third shot on target across his last five matches in the Premier League.

Only Joao Pedro (15) has scored more goals for Chelsea in the Premier League this season than Enzo Fernandez. This is also Fernandez’s best scoring season in a Chelsea shirt having doubled his tally across all competitions this campaign.

Fernandez has scored three goals across his last five matches for Chelsea against Liverpool, Tottenham and Leeds. Fernandez had three shots on target from four shots overall when the sides met earlier in the season.

Enzo Le Fee committed three fouls and was shown a yellow card when these sides met earlier in the season, with Sunderland exceeding their seasonal foul average (10.6 per game) by committing 13 fouls at Stamford Bridge.

Le Fee has committed 28 fouls across his 32 starts in the Premier League this season (0.89 per 90). The rise in his foul average in the most recent head to head meeting would suggest that Chelsea’s midfield can force a rise in this metric.

Le Fee’s direct opponent is likely to be Moises Caicedo who was fouled twice when the sides met earlier in the campaign and is averaging 1.76 fouls won per 90 across the season as a whole. 

Chelsea registered nine corners when the sides met earlier in the season and have leaned on these set pieces as a route to goal all season - netting 13 of their 57 goals from non-penalty set pieces (22%).

Chelsea are averaging 5.22 corners per game when away from home in the Premier League, only a handful of sides in the Premier League have won more corners this season on the road than Chelsea.

Sunderland are conceding 4.83 corners per game in the Premier League at home this season, they tend to be vulnerable to high corner counts due to their impressive defensive structure under Regis Le Bris.

Robin Roefs was forced into making six saves when these sides met earlier on in the campaign, and has been one of Sunderland’s top performing players this season.

Roefs is averaging 3.15 saves per 90 in the Premier League this term, maintaining a save percentage of 70% across these matches. Only Martin Dubravka (127) has made more saves than the Sunderland keeper this campaign (107).

Chelsea are averaging 4.40 shots on target per 90 in the Premier League this campaign, and only Manchester City (70.0) have a higher expected goals tally than the Blues (65.6).

West Ham committed 11 fouls and picked up three yellow cards when these sides clashed at Elland Road earlier in the season. 

West Ham have picked up 68 yellow cards in the Premier League this season (1.83 per game).

West Ham have picked up 3+ cards in each of their last four matches, showing how the pressure of a relegation run-in is leading to a rise in their card numbers.

West Ham have committed 11+ fouls in each of their last three matches, further suggesting that the situation West Ham find themselves in is leading to frustration.

West Ham must win to have a chance of surviving in the Premier League and hope that Tottenham are beaten by Everton in the game taking place across London.

West Ham won the corner battle when these sides met at Elland Road earlier in the season, registering four corners to Leeds’ three.

Leeds have the lowest corner average of any side when away from home in the Premier League this season (3.22 per game). 

West Ham are averaging 5.28 corners per game at the London Stadium this season, a metric we can expect to increase given the context surrounding this clash. 

Ampadu was fouled once in the most recent meeting between the sides in the FA Cup.

Ampadu has been an underrated figure at the heart of the Leeds side this year, winning 35 fouls across his 34 starts in the Premier League this season (1.04 per 90).

Ampadu will face off against Mateus Fernandes (1.47 fouls per 90) and Tomas Soucek (1.58 fouls per 90), offering the perfect opponents for Ampadu to be fouled at least once here.

Ampadu has been fouled in three of his last five Premier League appearances, winning 2+ fouls in two of these games.

Calvert-Lewin is Leeds’ top scorer in the Premier League this season with 14 goals and scored last time out as Leeds clinched a 1-0 win against Brighton. 

Only four players in the Premier League have scored more goals than Calvert-Lewin, with four of his goals coming from the penalty spot.

Calvert-Lewin scored from the penalty spot when these sides last faced off in the FA Cup, managing two shots on target in just 20 minutes of action on that occasion.

Calvert-Lewin is averaging 1.12 shots on target per 90 in the Premier League this season, operating with a shot accuracy of 46%.

Richarlison has been Tottenham’s most important player in the relegation run in so far, managing a shot on target in each of his last three Premier League matches.

Richarlison scored from two shots on target against Chelsea last time out, and lines up against his former club here as he looks to pull Tottenham away from the drop zone.

No Tottenham player has scored more goals than Richarlison in the Premier League this season (11), he’s scored seven more goals than Tottenham’s next top scorer. 

Richarlison is averaging 1.24 shots on target per 90 in the Premier League this season from a wider shot average of 2.82 shots per 90.

No side has collected more yellow cards than Tottenham (96) in the Premier League this season, working out to an average of 2.59 cards per game.

Tottenham picked up three yellow cards in their 2-1 defeat to Chelsea last time out, with two of these cautions coming inside the first half of the contest.

Tottenham have picked up 3+ cards in each of their six Premier League matches under Roberto De Zerbi, showing how the pressure of the relegation battle is directly influencing their on-pitch behaviour.

The initial league meeting between these sides produced 17 corners, with two of Tottenham’s three goals in that game coming from set pieces.

Everton have seen 10+ match corners in half of their away games in the Premier League this season, they racked up eight when the sides met in Merseyside and have scored 27% of their goals from non-penalty set pieces. 

Tottenham are seeing 11.39 corners per game at home in the Premier League this season, while Everton are seeing 9.28 corners per game when on the road.

The initial league meeting between these sides produced exactly three goals as Tottenham came away 3-0 winners over Everton.

Tottenham have seen 3+ goals in three of their last five matches, including their most recent assignment as they lost 2-1 to Chelsea. 

Everton have seen 3+ goals in each of their last five matches, notably failing to win any of these games. Everton have managed to score in all of these matches, suggesting that they can contribute to the overall goal tally here.

Tottenham have seen 52 goals across their 18 home games in the Premier League this season (2.88 per game), only Wolves (34) have conceded more goals at home than Tottenham (31) in the Premier League this season.