Only Newcastle (11.71) have seen more corners per game at home than West Ham (11.31) in the Premier League this season. Nuno Espírito Santo’s side saw 10 match corners against Crystal Palace on the road last time out, contributing with six of these corners.

If we look at home and away records, no side has seen more match corners across their 33 matches than West Ham this season (11.39 per game). They’ve also conceded more corners than any other side in the division (209 - 6.33 per game), suggesting that Everton can contribute to the overall corner count as well.

David Moyes’ side have plenty to fight for, sitting just a few points below the European spots. They’ve seen 9+ corners in 11 of their 16 away games in the Premier League this season (69%), and are seeing 9.13 corners per game across these games. The extra context here should lead to an increase in the match corner count, both sides have something to fight for and both also use set pieces as a route to goal.

The initial league meeting between these sides produced eight match corners, just one short of the line we require here. That was Nuno’s first game as West Ham manager, and they have settled into a more consistent routine with corners since then - and they have the added motivation of needing all three points here to keep some distance between themselves and the drop zone.

West Ham have scored 11 of their 40 Premier League goals from non-penalty set pieces this season (27.5%), including netting twice from corners in their most recent home game against Wolves. West Ham have seen 9+ corners in 12 of their 16 home games this season (75%) and in 25 of their 33 games overall (76%), offering the perfect pretext for this game to see at least nine match corners.

The midweek LaLiga Stat Acca won @ 4.50 ✅

Oxford have two games remaining of the season, and need maximum points from both matches to survive in the Championship.

Sheffield Wednesday have only won one of their 44 matches in the Championship this season.

Sheffield Wednesday have conceded 41 goals across their 22 away matches in the Championship this term (1.86 per game).

Oxford have won 59% of their points at home in the Championship this term, avoiding defeat in 14 of their 22 matches.

Oxford ran out 2-1 winners over Sheffield Wednesday when these sides met earlier in the season.

The midweek LaLiga Stat Acca won @ 4.50 ✅

PSG are locked in a title race with Lens, currently sitting four points clear at the top of the table.

PSG have won each of the last 19 head to head meetings between these sides, a run that stretches back to 2016.

PSG have won nine of their 14 away games in Ligue 1 this season, picking up more points than any other side on the road.

Angers have not won a game since the 7th March, conceding 10 goals in this period.

The midweek LaLiga Stat Acca won @ 4.50 ✅

Nijmegen have seen BTTS in 24 of their 30 games in the Eredivisie this season (80%) - more than any other side in the Dutch top flight.

Twente have seen BTTS in four of their last five matches in the Eredivisie.

The initial league meeting between these sides produced six goals as the teams played out a 3-3.

Nijmegen have seen 59 goals across their 15 away games in the Eredivisie this season (34 scored, 25 conceded - 3.93 per game).

Only one point separates these sides in the Eredivisie table with both vying for a Champions League finish. 

The midweek LaLiga Stat Acca won @ 4.50 ✅

Monaco have seen BTTS in 19 of their 30 Ligue 1 matches this term (63%), more than any other side in the division. 

Monaco have seen BTTS in each of their last four away matches in Ligue 1.

Toulouse have only kept one clean sheet across their last five matches in Ligue 1.

Toulouse’s 15 home games in the French top flight have produced 42 goals (2.8 per game). 

Monaco have only kept seven clean sheets across their 30 matches in Ligue 1 this term (23%).

Last week's Friday Evening Double won @ 2.0 ✅

Leipzig have been really impressive across recent weeks, winning each of their last four matches ahead of this clash - and scoring 2+ goals in three of these victories. They put three goals past Frankfurt on the road last time out from 19 shots and an xG of 2.09, which is a standard that they've regularly been setting over the past few weeks. Only Dortmund and Bayern sit above Leipzig in the Bundesliga table, but they are still being pursued by a stubborn Hoffenheim side for a Champions League spot who could close the gap to just two points if Leipzig fail to pick up three points here.

Leipzig have scored 35 goals across their 15 home games in the Bundesliga this season, working out to an average of 2.33 goals per game. Only Bayern Munich (60) have scored more goals than Leipzig at home in the Bundesliga this season. They welcome a Union Berlin side who have conceded 28 goals across their 15 away matches in the German top flight this season (1.86 per game) - and that have shipped 2+ goals in three of their last four games, failing to win any of these fixtures.

Last week's Friday Evening Double won @ 2.0 ✅

Real Betis have seen BTTS in each of their last four matches in LaLiga, most recently coming away 3-2 winners over Girona on the road. Betis managed to get on the scoresheet when these sides met earlier in the season, with Madrid coming away 5-1 winners on that occasion. BTTS also landed in this fixture last season, with Betis claiming all three points through a 2-1 win over Real Madrid in front of their home fans.

Real Madrid have been pretty vulnerable at the back all season, conceding 16 goals across their 15 away matches this term - winning nine of these games. They've seen BTTS in each of their last five matches across all competitions, most recently conceding at home to Deportivo Alaves. They've shipped goals against the likes of Girona and Mallorca as well, suggesting that this is a Madrid side that is very much limping towards the end of the campaign with Barcelona starting to run away with what looked to be a close title race a few weeks ago.

Betis have netted 26 goals across their 15 home games this season, so they are more than capable of causing Real Madrid problems in front of their own fans. Betis also have something to fight for as they aim to secure a European finish for next season, they are currently five points clear of the chasing pack but can solidify that spot even further with a decent display here.

This exact card double landed in the initial league meeting between the sides ✅

Anderson faces up against a combative midfield trio of Xhaka, Sadiki and Diarra - Xhaka and Sadiki were fouled eight times between them when the teams faced off at the City Ground.

Anderson has committed 2+ fouls in each of his last three Premier League games, committing the third most fouls of any player in the Premier League this season (50).

Anderson used to play for Newcastle, so there is plenty of reason for him to put himself about here against his former Tyne-Wear rival.

Darren England is the referee for this clash and is averaging 4.7 yellow cards per game in the Premier League this term. The initial league meeting between the sides produced six yellow cards.

This exact card double landed in the initial league meeting between the sides ✅

Sadiki has picked up the second most yellow cards for Sunderland in the Premier League this season (8), only Trai Hume has collected more cautions for the Black Cats (9).

Sadiki committed a foul and was shown a yellow card in Sunderland's most recent Premier League game as they lost 4-3 on the road to Aston Villa.

Sadiki will be up against Elliot Anderson (2.19 fouls won per 90) and Morgan Gibbs-White (1.25 fouls won per 90), offering perfect opponents for Sadiki to commit a few fouls and test the patience of Darren England.

Our last three Player Matchup bets have won @ 2.0, 2.4 & 2.4 ✅

Elliot Anderson was fouled twice when these sides met earlier in the season, a common occurrence for the midfielder who has been one of the most consistently impressive performers in the Premier League this term. 

Anderson has drawn 72 fouls across his 33 starts in the Premier League this season (2.19 per 90), more than any other Forest player. He is averaging just under 90 touches per 90 in the Premier League this campaign, which is a significant stat when it comes to winning fouls as it shows just how central Anderson is to Forest’s build up play - making him a target to be hauled to the ground.

He will be up against a combative midfield trio of Xhaka, Sadiki and Diarra here who have all performed to a very decent standard this term and combine to commit 2.94 fouls per 90. Anderson should be their main target, and Diarra (1.26 fouls per 90) should particularly struggle to contain Anderson at times who has been fouled twice in four of his last five Premier League appearances. 

Our last three Player Matchup bets have won @ 2.0, 2.4 & 2.4 ✅

Xhaka's combative nature is not always reflected in his foul numbers, he's committed 20 fouls across his 27 starts in the Premier League this season - working out to an average of 0.73 fouls committed per 90. Xhaka is more aggressive than these foul numbers suggest, and this side of his game usually comes out when he has the right opponents which I think he will here.

The direct matchup here is between Xhaka and Anderson, who is averaging 2.19 fouls won per 90 in the Premier League this season, but there are other Forest players who can also cause Xhaka problems. Morgan Gibbs-White is another obvious threat, he's in great form at the moment having scored a hat-trick against Burnley last time out, a game in which he was fouled once, and is averaging 1.25 fouls won per 90 in the Premier League this season.

Sunderland committed 11 fouls on their trip to Villa Park last time out, with Xhaka committing a foul in that clash. Tielemans was his main opponent in that game, who was fouled twice, and I can see another similar situation building between Forest's midfield options and Xhaka here.

It's a massive game in the National League as York travel to take on Rochdale in a straight shootout for automatic promotion. Only the league leaders guarantee themselves automatic passage to the EFL, so one of these sides will have to go through the playoffs - despite both having over 100 points.

I think the goal markets in general for this game are pretty generously priced. I wouldn’t be surprised to see this game start cagey given what’s at stake, but at some point it will have to come to life - especially for Rochdale who simply have to win to claim the sole automatic promotion place in the National League.

A draw would be enough for York, but I don’t think they can approach this game with that mentality as Rochdale will be pushing for all three points. BTTS has landed in four of Rochdale’s last five matches across all competitions, including each of their last two games which they managed to win to set up this intriguing final day clash.

The initial league meeting between these sides saw BTTS as York came away 4-1 winners over Rochdale, with the meeting prior also seeing BTTS as York came away 2-1 winners over Rochdale in an FA Cup qualification tie.

York have won each of their last five matches across all competitions, and have only lost two of their 22 away matches in the National League this term - so they can offer a real threat to Rochdale as the travelling side here.

I really can’t see this game finishing level, it’s tough to truly see which way it will go - but i’m confident of a winner on Saturday afternoon. York would win the league and secure automatic promotion with a point, but that’s unlikely to be their approach, they've won each of their last five matches in the National League, and haven’t drawn a game since the 17th January. 

Only four of York’s 22 away games in the National League have ended in a draw (18%), and the context surrounding this game lends itself to a winner in either direction. Rochdale must get three points to secure automatic promotion, so if the game is level late on then Rochdale should push on and leave space, which could lead to York stealing a late winner as Rochdale flood forward.

Rochdale have only drawn one of their 22 home games in the National League this season, so neither of these sides have been drawing games regularly this season, setting the stage for a winner in this truly unique clash which should also see goals. With this in mind, BTTS & No Draw is also worth looking at as an angle, currently priced at 2.50 with most major bookmakers.

Fulham host Aston Villa at Craven Cottage on Saturday for the early kick off, and both sides still have plenty to play for as we approach the final few games of the season. Villa come into this clash as slight favourites, and they have really looked back to their best in recent weeks. The return of John McGinn and Youri Tielemans has massively improved Villa’s prospects in the final third, and they have scored at least three goals alone in three of their last four matches across all competitions. That includes a 4-3 win against Sunderland last time out. 

Fulham haven’t been in the best of form, having won just one of their last six matches across all competitions. That one victory was against Burnley, who had their relegation confirmed last time out, and Villa will be a much tougher matchup, especially considering they have won nine of the last ten meetings against Fulham. 

Grimsby sit seventh in the League Two standings, hanging on to a playoff spot by a thread. They have a one-point lead on Chesterfield with two games remaining, but Grimsby are also only one point behind Swindon Town, who they face this weekend. The game could have massive implications in the League Two standings, so both teams should be fired up. 

Grimsby come into this one in better form, following back-to-back wins, and they will fancy their chances in front of a home crowd at Blundell Park. They have scored 18 goals in their last seven games alone, highlighting how they have found form at the right time, and it’s going to be a big ask for Swindon to keep them at bay. 

BTTS has landed in nine of Swindon’s last 12 league matches, and it finished 2-2 when these sides met in the reverse fixture back in November.

Peterborough have been leaking goals at an alarming rate in recent weeks, and because of that they have failed to win any of their last six matches coming into this one. BTTS has landed in all of those games, though, which underlines their attacking intent. With four points separating them from the relegation zone, they will be desperate for another positive result just to alleviate any relegation concerns. 

Stockport come into this one after suffering a 1-0 home defeat to Mansfield - a surprise result that ended a seven-match unbeaten run. Prior to that, Stockport had scored 13 goals in five games, and were looking like one of the strongest attacking forces in the division. However, they are still fifth in League One, with a playoff finish looking likely, and they will hope to re-discover their scoring touch this weekend against a struggling Peterborough side. 

MK Dons hit a bump in the road a few weeks ago, and they failed to win four straight matches in League Two. However, they have since bounced back with back-to-back wins against league-leaders Bromley, and Crewe which has kept them in second and well on track to secure automatic promotion. However, they failed to keep a clean sheet in either of those matches, which highlights a potential weakness at the back which Tranmere will hope to exploit. 

The visitors are battling near the foot of the table, but they secured a massive 3-1 away win against Cheltenham last time out, which has opened up a four-point gap over Barrow with two games remaining. Tranmere should be confident heading into this clash, considering they have scored five goals in their last three matches alone, but their main challenge will be keeping the Dons at bay. Tranmere have shipped 75 goals from 44 league games this season, ranking them as the worst defensive unit in the division. 

Charlton have failed to win any of their last six Championship matches and are hovering dangerously close to the relegation places, but they have at least been entertaining to watch, with over 2.5 goals landing in three of their last five, and BTTS in all of those. One point here will be enough to secure their place in the Championship for next season, but they aren’t likely to sit back and play for a 0-0 draw, especially not against Hull. 

The visitors have been one of the more open and entertaining sides in the Championship this season, with 34 goals scored from their 22 matches on the road. They have also conceded 30 goals, which shows how their games can be quite chaotic at times. Hull will also be desperate for points here, after their 2-2 draw against Leicester last time out saw them drop out of the playoff spots.

I’ve used my unique goal algorithm to pick out four games across Europe for a BTTS & No Draw Longshot.

Last week’s BTTS & No Draw Longshot went close with three of the four selections landing and all four games seeing BTTS.

Alaves have seen BTTS in each of their last five matches in LaLiga, seeing no draw in two of these matches.

Mallorca have seen BTTS & No Draw in three of their last five matches in LaLiga.

Mallorca have only drawn three of their 15 away games this season.

Over 2.5 Goals Rating - 7.55
BTTS Rating - 8.33 

I’ve used my unique goal algorithm to pick out four games across Europe for a BTTS & No Draw Longshot.

Last week’s BTTS & No Draw Longshot went close with three of the four selections landing and all four games seeing BTTS.

The initial league meeting between the sides saw BTTS & No Draw as Wolfsburg came away 3-1 winners.

Wolfsburg have seen BTTS & No Draw in each of their last three matches, winning one and losing two.

Wolfsburg have only drawn three of their 15 home games in the Bundesliga this term.

Over 2.5 Goals Rating - 6.15
BTTS Rating - 7.70

I’ve used my unique goal algorithm to pick out four games across Europe for a BTTS & No Draw Longshot.

Last week’s BTTS & No Draw Longshot went close with three of the four selections landing and all four games seeing BTTS

Heerenveen have seen BTTS in three of their last five matches, seeing BTTS & No Draw in two of these games.

Heerenveen have only drawn three of their 15 home games in the Eredivisie this season.

Sittard’s 15 away games have produced 50 goals, only two of these games have ended in draws.

Over 2.5 Goals Rating - 7.93
BTTS Rating - 7.15

I’ve used my unique goal algorithm to pick out four games across Europe for a BTTS & No Draw Longshot.

Last week’s BTTS & No Draw Longshot went close with three of the four selections landing and all four games seeing BTTS.

Nijmegen have seen BTTS in 80% of their Eredivisie games this term, more than any other side.

Twente have seen BTTS & No Draw in four of their last five matches in the Eredivisie.

Nijmegen have only drawn five of their 15 away games in the Eredivisie this term. 

Over 2.5 Goals Rating - 6.78
BTTS Rating - 7.85

Ismaila Sarr loves playing against Liverpool. He's found the back of the net in each of the last four head to head meetings between the sides, including striking twice back in October as Palace came away 3-0 winners in the EFL Cup against Liverpool.

One of the main reasons why Sarr is so effective against sides like Liverpool is because he is a superb player when he has space to run into. This is also why Sarr usually contributes against the traditionally 'bigger' sides in the Premier League, they often are forced to leave space in behind to play in the dominant way that most fans want to see. This is ideal for Sarr, and the winger scoring in each of his last four appearances against Liverpool shows that he particularly makes the most of these situations against the Reds.

He's in good form as well, having netted six goals in his last 10 appearances for Palace across all competitions, including striking in both legs of Palace's Conference League triumph against Fiorentina. Only Mateta (10) has registered more goal contributions for Palace than Sarr (8) in the Premier League this season, with Sarr impressively pretty much matching his xG + xA of 8.80 in the top flight this campaign.

Liverpool have only kept one clean sheet across their last eight domestic matches, conceding 2+ goals in five of these games. Konate and Van Dijk have struggled at times against sides that play direct and to transition, which is the exact approach that Glasner's side will take here - with Sarr running beyond Mateta to be the main goal threat given his exceptional record against Liverpool over recent seasons.

Phil Foden should get an opportunity here after being pushed out of the squad by Rayan Cherki, who has developed throughout the season to take Foden’s spot in the starting eleven. It may be the case that Foden has to leave City to reach the levels we’ve seen from him previously, but he should get an opportunity here to make an impact.

Foden hasn’t been that poor this term when looking over his general numbers. He’s registered 10 goal contributions across 21 starts in the Premier League this term, seven of which have been goals - only Haaland (24) and Semenyo (15) have scored more Premier League goals than Foden for Manchester City this season. He’s achieved this tally from 51 shots overall (2.51 per 90), seeing 17 of these efforts find the target (0.84 per 90).

Southampton were brilliant in their 2-1 win over Arsenal in the quarter finals of the FA Cup, but crucially did concede 23 shots and seven shots on target. I think they will make this an awkward test at times for Guardiola’s side, but there is still the obvious quality gap between the sides which exists between the Championship and the Premier League.

Shea Charles scored the winner against Arsenal to secure Southampton’s passage to the semi finals of the FA Cup. He’s a talented player, and may be ready for Premier League level, but we’re focusing on his tenacious side here which may be important for the Saints if they are to spring a surprise in this clash.

Charles committed two fouls and was shown a yellow card against Bristol City last time out. He’s committed 31 fouls across his 19 starts in the Championship across the season as a whole (1.46 per 90), which is a rate that we can expect to rise given the higher level of opposition that Charles will be lining up against here. Charles didn’t start in Southampton’s 2-1 win over Arsenal in the quarter finals, but came on to commit a foul in the 14 minutes he was on the pitch.

He’ll have quite a few players to try and stop here with the number of rotations City put together in central areas but his main opponent is likely to be Phil Foden. Foden has won 27 fouls across his 21 starts in the Premier League this season (1.33 per 90), so can offer a threat to Charles and Downes in the middle of the park for Southampton - both of whom are likely to have to get through quite a bit of work at Wembley on Saturday evening. 

This won’t look as easy as it does on paper for Manchester City, Southampton are on an incredible run of form which has seen them avoid defeat since 17th January - a run that spans 20 games, and includes victories over the likes of Fulham and Arsenal in the FA Cup.

The praise for this run has to go to Tonda Eckert, who took over from Will Still after a promising interim period. He’s an excellent coach and has got Southampton playing with real confidence, they won’t just sit back and wait for City to try and break them down - they’ll offer a threat to Guardiola’s side, and to Donnarumma or Trafford.

I think Guardiola may opt for Trafford here given that the English keeper started in the EFL Cup final against Arsenal recently. Trafford made four stops in that game, including a few crucial ones early on in the final which allowed City to stay in the game and eventually take control of the second half. 

Trafford has started four games in the FA Cup so far this season, keeping two clean sheets and being forced into making 10 stops across these matches (2.50 per 90).

I always like taking this line when it’s priced like this, you won’t usually get more than 1.17 for a team to pick up a single card, especially in a semi-final. I’m mainly taking this angle for the tactical fouls that I think will come into play from City when Southampton look to break and catch out Guardiola’s side.

Southampton have drawn a card from their Premier League opponents in each of the last two rounds of the FA Cup, drawing two yellow cards from Fulham and one in the dying stages of their game against Arsenal. One of the cautions against Fulham came from Jorge Cuenca stopping a counter attack, so there is already a bit of a precedent for Southampton to draw at least one card from Manchester City here.

The referee for this game is Craig Pawson, who can be stingy with his cards at times, but the situations we’re hoping will develop here should be pretty blatant for Pawson to reach into his pocket at least once for a City player. Pawson is averaging 2.42 cards per game across his various appointments in the Premier League this season.