Arsenal have scored a massive 19 goals from set pieces in the Premier League this season, there's no side that can better that.

Corners and free-kicks, which Arsenal produce plenty of, give Gabriel lots of opportunties to get his head on the ball and direct it towards goal.

Gabriel scored the winning goal in the last meeting which was a header from a corner.

Elanga is likely to start as Newcastle’s outlet here with his speed allowing for Eddie Howe’s side to get up the pitch. This puts him up against Hincapie who will have to manage the winger’s speed and ensure that Arsenal don’t get caught on the counter attack.

Elanga is averaging 1.55 fouls won per 90 in the Premier League this season. He’s at his best when he’s got space to run in behind, which Arsenal do tend to leave as they push their defensive line very high.

Hincapie is a solid defender, but can be a bit rash at times and doesn’t really have the speed of Elanga so I can see the left back having to make a few tactical fouls to ensure that Newcastle can’t create those dangerous counter attacking situations.

The initial league meeting between these sides saw 19 match corners, with both sides contributing to that final tally (12-7).

As mentioned, Arsenal ended up scoring from one of these corners as Gabriel headed home in the final stages to secure what looked to be a crucial three points for Arsenal at the time.

Arsenal took ten corners in their last home match v Bournemouth and I expect another high total in a match they need to win.

Phil Foden should get an opportunity here after being pushed out of the squad by Rayan Cherki, who has developed throughout the season to take Foden’s spot in the starting eleven. It may be the case that Foden has to leave City to reach the levels we’ve seen from him previously, but he should get an opportunity here to make an impact.

Foden hasn’t been that poor this term when looking over his general numbers. He’s registered 10 goal contributions across 21 starts in the Premier League this term, seven of which have been goals - only Haaland (24) and Semenyo (15) have scored more Premier League goals than Foden for Manchester City this season. He’s achieved this tally from 51 shots overall (2.51 per 90), seeing 17 of these efforts find the target (0.84 per 90).

Southampton were brilliant in their 2-1 win over Arsenal in the quarter finals of the FA Cup, but crucially did concede 23 shots and seven shots on target. I think they will make this an awkward test at times for Guardiola’s side, but there is still the obvious quality gap between the sides which exists between the Championship and the Premier League.

Shea Charles scored the winner against Arsenal to secure Southampton’s passage to the semi finals of the FA Cup. He’s a talented player, and may be ready for Premier League level, but we’re focusing on his tenacious side here which may be important for the Saints if they are to spring a surprise in this clash.

Charles committed two fouls and was shown a yellow card against Bristol City last time out. He’s committed 31 fouls across his 19 starts in the Championship across the season as a whole (1.46 per 90), which is a rate that we can expect to rise given the higher level of opposition that Charles will be lining up against here. Charles didn’t start in Southampton’s 2-1 win over Arsenal in the quarter finals, but came on to commit a foul in the 14 minutes he was on the pitch.

He’ll have quite a few players to try and stop here with the number of rotations City put together in central areas but his main opponent is likely to be Phil Foden. Foden has won 27 fouls across his 21 starts in the Premier League this season (1.33 per 90), so can offer a threat to Charles and Downes in the middle of the park for Southampton - both of whom are likely to have to get through quite a bit of work at Wembley on Saturday evening. 

This won’t look as easy as it does on paper for Manchester City, Southampton are on an incredible run of form which has seen them avoid defeat since 17th January - a run that spans 20 games, and includes victories over the likes of Fulham and Arsenal in the FA Cup.

The praise for this run has to go to Tonda Eckert, who took over from Will Still after a promising interim period. He’s an excellent coach and has got Southampton playing with real confidence, they won’t just sit back and wait for City to try and break them down - they’ll offer a threat to Guardiola’s side, and to Donnarumma or Trafford.

I think Guardiola may opt for Trafford here given that the English keeper started in the EFL Cup final against Arsenal recently. Trafford made four stops in that game, including a few crucial ones early on in the final which allowed City to stay in the game and eventually take control of the second half. 

Trafford has started four games in the FA Cup so far this season, keeping two clean sheets and being forced into making 10 stops across these matches (2.50 per 90).

I always like taking this line when it’s priced like this, you won’t usually get more than 1.17 for a team to pick up a single card, especially in a semi-final. I’m mainly taking this angle for the tactical fouls that I think will come into play from City when Southampton look to break and catch out Guardiola’s side.

Southampton have drawn a card from their Premier League opponents in each of the last two rounds of the FA Cup, drawing two yellow cards from Fulham and one in the dying stages of their game against Arsenal. One of the cautions against Fulham came from Jorge Cuenca stopping a counter attack, so there is already a bit of a precedent for Southampton to draw at least one card from Manchester City here.

The referee for this game is Craig Pawson, who can be stingy with his cards at times, but the situations we’re hoping will develop here should be pretty blatant for Pawson to reach into his pocket at least once for a City player. Pawson is averaging 2.42 cards per game across his various appointments in the Premier League this season.