Tyrick Mitchell to commit at least one foul is at an outstanding value of 1.8 with Paddy Power when Crystal Palace host Arsenal on Saturday. The next best price in this market is 1.53 with Sky Bet, while William Hill offer 1.25.

His price implies a 55.6% chance of committing a foul, but the statistics and context of this fixture suggest he is far more likely to do so.

Mitchell has committed at least one foul in 6 of his last 10 matches, including the midweek EFL Cup clash with Arsenal. Furthermore, he has fouled in 4 of his last 5 encounters with the Gunners, highlighting his vulnerability when faced with their dynamic attack.

Bukayo Saka, one of the most fouled players in the Premier League, averages 1.74 fouls drawn per game, a figure that rises to nearly 1.99 when playing the full 90 minutes. Saka’s pace, skill, and relentless attacking drive ensure that defenders like Mitchell will be under constant pressure.

In addition to Saka, Mitchell will likely come into contact with Arsenal’s right-sided threats, including Martin Ødegaard (0.87 fouls drawn per 90), Thomas Partey (1.1), and Jurrien Timber (0.91). Arsenal’s tactical focus on this side of the pitch ensures Mitchell will be heavily involved defensively, increasing the likelihood of a foul.

Mitchell averages 0.85 fouls per game this season, a modest figure, but his role as a left-back, covering significant ground and engaging in frequent duels, often results in fouling opportunities. Against an Arsenal side full of attacking quality, committing at least one foul seems highly probable.