Oli McBurnie recorded one foul in the first leg at the MKM Stadium, and the battle between him and Jake Cooper was a good one to watch. It was the Millwall centre back who had the upper hand this time, as he won three of his four aerial duels in that encounter, and he was also fouled once to land this selection. 

McBurnie is a physically imposing presence up front for Hull, and he is averaging 1.59 fouls per 90 this season, which is one of the highest figures in the Hull squad. Cooper is averaging 0.74 fouls drawn per 90 this season in the league, and he has drawn a free kick in five of his last six starts. Hull should stick with their route one football, which means Cooper should be heavily involved in the game, with plenty of duels against McBurnie, which is an ideal matchup.

Millwall were the more positive side in the first leg, registering 61% possession and 15 shots, compared to just six efforts from the hosts. Camiel Neghli accounted for three of those attempts from Millwall, but he was unfortunate that none hit the target. The Algerian was able to pick up some promising positions in the final third, and there is no reason to think that will change here. If anything, Millwall should have even more of the ball at The Den, which can only work in Neghli's favour.

Neghli is averaging 1.52 shots per 90 in the Championship this season, rising to 1.68 when playing at home, where he has landed this selection in each of his last three home starts. He tends to be at his most dangerous when finding space in between the lines, and those pockets should be there again for Neghli to exploit.

The first leg of the play-off semi-finals finished 0-0, so there is still everything to play for at The Den here. Millwall were the more positive side at the MKM Stadium, and they had a disallowed goal in the closing stages for a foul. They will fancy their chances of booking their spot in the play-off final to take place at Wembley, and Millwall come into this one as favourites to do so.

Hull were largely kept at bay in the first leg, as they failed to register a corner, while the Lions recorded five. Alex Neil's men were able to exert plenty of control on the game, even despite playing away, and they should be even more dominant on home turf here.

Millwall are averaging 5.68 corners per game in the Championship this season, rising to 6.17 at The Den, where this selection has landed in nine of their last 10.

Conor Gallagher has been repeatedly misprofiled by managers during stints at Chelsea and Atletico Madrid, but I think Roberto De Zerbi is platforming him in the correct way. If you think back to when Gallagher was at his best, for both Chelsea and Crystal Palace in the Premier League, it was when he was playing higher up the pitch and being encouraged to get in the box.

Gallagher is not a pretty player to watch, but he’s so effective in this area of the pitch. There has been a tendency from managers to play him in a deeper role, but his skillset isn’t suited to that - he’s not that technically gifted, and his main strengths lie in his energy and perseverance, traits that make him an excellent second striker.

Gallagher scored a brilliant goal for Tottenham against Aston Villa last time out, and was one of the better players on the pitch - constantly looking to get in the box and playing ahead of a midfield pivot of Joao Palhinha and Rodrigo Bentancur. Tottenham looked a lot more settled with this structure, and we should see Gallagher continue in this more advanced role, which gives him a decent chance of registering another goal contribution for Tottenham, adding to the two he’s managed since arriving at the club.

Joao Palhinha hasn’t featured as much as I thought he would for Tottenham this season, but he has retained his tag of being reckless and a bit careless with his challenges. I think De Zerbi likes him because of his passion. We saw this when he would made challenges against Villa and then celebrated as if he had just scored a last-minute winner.

Palhinha has picked up six yellow cards across his 20 starts in the Premier League this season, while maintaining a foul average of just 1.06 fouls committed per 90. This surprised me when I saw it, given how often I see Palhinha charge into challenges, but it does show that the fouls that Palhinha is committing are likely to end up with a caution, or at least a note in the referee’s mind for his next challenge.

Palhinha committed two fouls and was shown a yellow card when the sides met earlier in the season, with Tottenham coming away 2-1 winners on that occasion. Tottenham have picked up more cards than any other side in the Premier League this season (90).

No Leeds player has picked up more yellow cards in the Premier League this season than Ethan Ampadu (nine). Leeds actually have quite a modest card count overall for a side battling towards the bottom of the table, but the context surrounding this fixture would suggest that we see an increase in their card numbers here, with this being a six-pointer in the relegation battle.

Leeds are priced at 1.44 to pick up 2+ cards here, a line that is usually around 1.7-1.8 for their card record. Ampadu has picked up four cautions across his last 10 domestic appearances for Leeds, including each of his last two matches for Daniel Farke’s side against Chelsea in the FA Cup semi-final, and in Leeds’ 3-1 win over Burnley last time out.