Manchester City don’t have many clinical finishers beyond Haaland, who dominates with 22 goals — 36% of their Premier League total. Only Semenyo has reached double figures for goals in the City squad other than Haaland, though most of those came for Bournemouth.

Foden is next with seven, but it’s clear Haaland and Semenyo are City’s biggest threats in front of goal. Semenyo is priced more generously for a shot on target here — he’s as short as 1.4 for a shot on target elsewhere so this is clear value given Semenyo’s strong shot on target record.

Only Haaland (19) has more non-penalty goals in the Premier League this season than Semenyo (14). He’s had 36 shots on target across 29 league starts, averaging 1.25 per 90. When the sides last met, he took three shots, with one finding the target.

I’m all over this boost personally, it’s great value. 

Chermiti should lead the line for Rangers in their usual 4-2-3-1 formation in a match that could take them top of the league with a win, ahead of Hearts travelling to Livingston on Sunday.

He has found some form recently, scoring important goals including a hat-trick at home to Hearts in February and a brace against Celtic last month.

Chermiti has registered at least two shots in each of his last six Premiership appearances and has hit the target at least once in four of those games.

He has failed to record a shot in just one match he has started, and has only failed to hit the target in six of his starts.

This will be the third meeting between the sides this season. In their last meeting at Ibrox in October, Rangers had 29 shots with 8 on target. In the most recent encounter at Tannadice in December, they recorded 32 shots and 10 on target. Both matches finished 2-2.

Chermiti should have opportunities again here and will be expected to at least test the goalkeeper with the chances that come his way.

Motherwell will be looking to continue their push for a top-three finish with a home win against sixth-placed Falkirk.

They have been praised for their high-possession, attractive style under Jens Berthel Askou. That is reflected in the numbers, with Motherwell holding the second-highest average possession in the league and ranking fourth for total attempts on goal.

Within those numbers, Slattery ranks second in the Motherwell squad for total shots with 63, averaging 2.96 per 90. He has hit the target 22 times, giving him a shots on target rate of 1.03 per 90.

He has registered at least one shot in every match he has played this season and has only failed to hit the target in 10 of his 26 appearances.

The last meeting at Motherwell ended in a 2-1 win for Falkirk, although Motherwell dominated with 67 percent possession, 15 shots and 5 on target. Slattery was unavailable for that match.

Operating in his usual number 10 role, Slattery should see plenty of opportunities to shoot. With a 35 percent shot-to-target rate, the aim will be for him to register at least two shots on target to maximise the chances of landing the selection.

This is a huge game for several reasons. Stephen Robinson only left St Mirren to become Aberdeen manager last month, so this marks his return to his former club. It also has the feel of a relegation battle, with just three points separating Aberdeen in 9th, St Mirren in 10th and Kilmarnock in 11th.

With St Mirren now under interim manager Craig McLeish, it is unclear exactly how they will set up, but I would expect him to rely on Dan Nlundulu to start, either alongside Jake Young or Mikael Mandron.

Nlundulu has registered at least one shot in each of his last seven league matches and has hit the target in five of those. His average shots on target per 90 in the Premiership stands at 0.71.

He has been in and out of the team but has recently enjoyed a more consistent run of starts, although he rarely completes the full 90 minutes. Factoring in fresh legs, with either Young or Mandron coming on, adds further appeal, with those players averaging 1.11 and 0.82 shots on target per 90 respectively.

In the last meeting, a 3-3 draw in Aberdeen, St Mirren had 15 shots with 4 on target. However, in the last meeting at St Mirren, they managed just 1 shot on target from 10 attempts.

When playing away, Aberdeen’s recent shots on target conceded read: 7, 7, 2, 8, 9, 8, 7, 5, 10, an average of 7 per game across their last nine away matches.

I expect this to be an open game given the circumstances, and St Mirren should be able to register at least four shots on target. If so, and with the impact of fresh legs, Nlundulu looks well placed to deliver.