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Andy Robson

Manchester United v Brentford Bet Builder 🧱 @ 4.11

Igor Thiago has enjoyed a brilliant campaign so far, having netted 21 goals across his 32 starts in the Premier League - only Erling Haaland (24) has scored more goals than the Brazilian in the top flight this term. This is particularly impressive as Thiago’s goal tally accounts for 43.75% of the total goals that Brentford have scored in the Premier League this season.

It is worth noting that seven of Thiago’s fouls have come from the penalty spot. This isn’t to criticise the achievement of the Brentford forward, but it helps put into context just how he’s managed to end up sitting just behind Erling Haaland in the scoring charts. He’s a decent player, and almost always is a handful, but I’d question whether he can replicate this goal tally again, as his non-penalty xG sits around 12.8.

That being said, he’s reliable to back for a shot on target at the moment, having taken 76 shots across his 32 starts in the Premier League (2.41 per 90), seeing 39 of these efforts find the target (1.24 per 90). He scored twice from three shots when these sides faced off earlier in the season, and can offer a threat in front of goal again here.

I really enjoy watching Cunha play for United. He’s got that natural arrogance you need to play for a club of the stature of United, and his talent becomes obvious after a few minutes of watching him play.

I think he could score more goals for the number of shots he takes. He’s scored eight in the Premier League this season, which isn’t a bad return - only Sesko and Mbeumo (9) have more in the Premier League, but I’d like to see him push on to the sort of numbers he was posting for Wolves last season, where he netted 15 goals across his 29 starts.

This is a bit harder for Cunha as he’s no longer the main player in the side, but his shot volume hasn’t changed that much from his time at the Wanderers. Cunha has taken 78 shots in the Premier League this season (3.13 per 90), seeing 32 of these efforts find the target (1.28 per 90).

Each of the last five head-to-head meetings between these sides has seen BTTS, with the most recent clash ending 3-1 to Brentford at the G-Tech Community Stadium. Did you know that United have only kept six clean sheets all season? Only the two relegated sides have kept fewer shutouts (6) than Carrick’s side, which has been a recurring problem as United found themselves towards the tail end of this table last season too.

Brentford haven’t been too much better at the back with only nine clean sheets across their 33 Premier League matches this season (27%), and Keith Andrews’ side have conceded 2+ goals in three of their last five matches in the Premier League - notably drawing all five of these recent games. Brentford’s 16 away games in the Premier League have seen 45 goals (20 scored, 25 conceded - 2.81 per game).

Manchester United have seen BTTS in four of their last five matches across all competitions, only keeping a clean sheet against Chelsea in this period - who probably should have scored at least once from their 21 shots and xG of 1.57 - as well as hitting the crossbar on two separate occasions. This should come down to Brentford finding the back of the net, but I’d back Keith Andrews’ side to do that here, given the opportunity that’s in front of the Bees, with Brentford only sitting one point below a European spot.

I think this is a generous price, and I’d consider taking it as a single as well, given how busy Senne Lammens has been between the sticks for United this season. The biggest compliment I could probably give to Lammens is that we don’t talk about him that much, which is a sign that a keeper is doing their job.

Andre Onana was constantly in the spotlight and a topic of discussion, while Lammens doesn’t attract that same fanfare and probably doesn’t get the praise he deserves for being so assured at the back in one of the toughest roles in football. Lammens has been called into action 63 times across his 27 starts in the Premier League this season (2.33 per 90).

He was forced into making three saves against Chelsea last time out, and it’s important for how Carrick is currently setting up the side - which is a mid-block that then looks to platform the abundance of talent that United have in the final third through counter attacks. Lammens keeps United in games for Carrick’s side to be able to play in this way.

Lammens also had to make three saves in his most recent game at Old Trafford as United lost 2-1 to Leeds, while Bayindir was forced into making five stops when United travelled to the G-Tech earlier in the campaign and had to endure Brentford managing eight shots on target and coming away 3-1 winners.

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