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Andy Robson

Andy's Sunday Premier League Accumulator @ 3.92

Tottenham have really struggled to exert control on their games this season, and because of that, they rank fourth in the Premier League for total fouls committed, which has translated to the second-most yellow cards.

They have also received the second-most red cards behind Chelsea. Cristian Romero alone has eight yellows and two reds to his name, making him the only player in the division to be sent off more than once this campaign. 

De Zerbi's Marseille ranked fourth in Ligue 1 for total yellow cards before his departure, and his side also picked up five red cards in their 27 matches. The former Brighton manager likes his side to be aggressive in their press, which can often leave the defence exposed.

Tottenham games are likely to remain quite chaotic and open, which bodes well for backing the cards market once again, especially as Spurs have it all to play for.  

Selhurst Park has not been a particularly difficult ground to visit this season, as Crystal Palace have only won three of their 15 league games at home. Of their 39 points this season, only 16 have been picked up at home, as the Eagles have only won one of their last ten home matches in the league. That victory came against Wolves, too, who are rock bottom of the standings. 

Newcastle, meanwhile, may have hit a rough patch before the international break, but they come into this clash with a positive head-to-head record against Palace, having only lost one of the last ten meetings.

The break came at a good time for Eddie Howe's side, allowing them to regroup and reset after a difficult run. Newcastle have enough attacking quality to cause Palace problems, and they will hope to get back on track and end the season on a high.

Chelsea have been a team I’ve had plenty of success with in the corner markets this season, and I think a minimum of four should be well within reach for the hosts on Sunday afternoon.

The Blues rank among the Premier League’s most prolific teams when it comes to forcing flag kicks this term, averaging 6.23 corners per game - a figure only marginally surpassed by Newcastle’s 6.62. A closer look shows that Chelsea’s corners per game average rises to just above 7.00 per 90 when operating at Stamford Bridge.

In their last Premier League home game against Newcastle, Chelsea racked up 8 corners, while they forced 10 and 8 flag kicks in top-flight away fixtures at Arsenal and Aston Villa last month. It’s also worth noting that Liam Rosenior's side earned no fewer than 9 corners when hosting PSG in the Champions League in the run up to the recent international break, which adds weight to backing them to hit a fraction of that total against Man City on Sunday.

Further encouragement comes from the fact that the Citizens were forced to defend 5 corners in a recent road match at Leeds.

Aston Villa are averaging 4.93 corners per game across their 15 away matches in the Premier League this term. It’s an underrated facet of their game, Villa were one of the first sides to properly implement a set piece coach and come up with some of the most creative set plays in the Premier League.

Villa registered four corners as they came away 3-1 winners over Forest earlier in the season. Forest are conceding just over four corners per game when at the City Ground this season - and their latest Premier League assignment saw them concede 13 corners against a struggling Tottenham side, identifying a vulnerability that Villa should be happy to exploit with their solid corner record on the road. 

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Football
Andy Robson

Andy's SPFL Accumulator @ 4.17

It’s been a season of ups and downs for Jim Goodwin’s Dundee United, who will have taken confidence from two positive performances against the Old Firm - beating Celtic 2-0 and coming up just short in a 4-2 loss at Rangers.

United have won their last two games at Tannadice against Celtic and St Mirren, last losing at home against Hearts back in January.

Although Livingston have been stubborn under Marvin Bartley since he took over from David Martindale in February, the Lions’ away record remains dreadful.

Livingston are still yet to win away from home in the league this season and lost convincingly 2-0 to Kilmarnock on their last road trip.

I’m therefore backing Dundee United to win this one with home advantage.

There’s a lot riding on this match for Kilmarnock given they are currently sitting in the Scottish Prem relegation play-off spot in 11th.

Killie’s home form has been strong under Neil McCann, winning four of their five league matches at Rugby Park and averaging 2.4 goals in the process.

I therefore expect them to be on the front foot against eighth-placed Dundee, but they have to be mindful of the threat the visitors can pose going forward.

Dundee have scored in six of their last seven league matches and have the pace in attack to cause Killie problems on the counter.

I’m therefore expecting goals in this one in Ayrshire.

I expect Celtic to ramp up the pressure on their title rivals by securing a home win over St Mirren on Saturday. Martin O’Neill’s men returned to winning ways last Sunday with a hard-fought 2-1 victory away at Dundee. With league leaders Hearts likely to receive a stern test at home to Motherwell, and Rangers facing a potential banana skin away at Falkirk on Sunday, Celtic will know that a win here would really turn up the heat.

Further encouragement comes from the fact that Celtic have won 7 of their 8 Scottish Premiership home matches under O'Neill's watch this season.

While St Mirren have boosted their survival hopes under interim manager Craig McLeish with back-to-back wins over Falkirk and Aberdeen, the Saints have struggled on their top-flight travels this term.
In fact, the Paisley outfit have failed to pick up any points from 10 of their 16 top-flight away matches this season, including their previous visit to Parkhead earlier in the campaign.

Both of the previous meetings between Hearts and Motherwell in the Scottish Premiership this season have ended all square and I wouldn’t be surprised to see the same outcome this time around.

Hearts have won their last four league matches at Tynecastle 1-0 and remain unbeaten in the league at home, but they have stumbled somewhat in their title charge of late.

Although Motherwell have themselves stumbled of late and are now without a win in four league games, they remain a capable side under Jens Berthel Askou who Hearts are yet to beat this season.

I can’t see Motherwell winning at Tynecastle given their current form, but it could be close, so I am covering Hearts in the Double Chance market.

Aberdeen have found themselves in big relegation trouble with the Dons only three points above the play-off spot in 11th.
I am expecting a physical battle at Pittodrie between a struggling Aberdeen team and a Hibs side who have often lacked attacking invention under David Gray this season.

Set-pieces could therefore be crucial, with Aberdeen ranking fifth in the Scottish Prem for total corners per match and Hibs fourth.

Aberdeen’s home matches have averaged 11.33 corners this season while Hibs’ away games have averaged 9.44.

There have not been less than nine corners in an Aberdeen home match in the league since their first game at Pittodrie against Celtic in August.

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