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Football

Saturday's BTTS & No Draw Accumulator ⚽ @ 27.29

ABC Editorial Team

£5 on this acca returns over £130 if it lands

Derby have seen BTTS in each of their last three matches, seeing BTTS & No Draw in two of these games.

Cardiff scored in the last minute against Wrexham last time out to earn a point, they’ve seen BTTS & No Draw in two of their last three matches.

These sides faced off in January last year in a game that ended 2-1 to Cardiff, with both sides registering an xG in excess of 1.0 (2.27-1.24).

Heerenveen have seen BTTS in five of their last six matches across all competitions, seeing BTTS & No Draw in four of these games.

Each of the last five head to head meetings between these sides has seen BTTS, with both league meetings last season seeing BTTS & No Draw.

Zwolle conceded 50 goals on the road in the Eredivisie last season, more than any other side in the division - but they did manage to score 23 goals across their 17 matches. 

Fortuna Sittard have seen BTTS in both of their Eredivisie matches so far, winning one of these games.

Alkmaar ran out 4-1 winners over Utrecht on the road last time out.

This fixture produced seven goals last season as Sittard came away 4-3 winners over Alkmaar. 

Cheltenham have seen BTTS & No Draw in both of their competitive matches so far this season, losing in the EFL Cup to Charlton before winning 2-1 against Rotherham.

Swindon’s home games were very entertaining in League Two last season, scoring 38 goals (1.65 per game) and conceding 27 (1.17 per game). 

Swindon saw BTTS & No Draw in both of their friendly matches before the campaign, and in the first round of the EFL Cup as they lost 3-2 to Cardiff.

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Football

Saturday's Win Accumulator ✚3️⃣ (Using Acca Flex on Betfred) @ 20.63

Andy Robson

Money back in cash up to £10 if one leg lets us down

The 98th-minute limbs masked an underwhelming return to the Championship from Cardiff on Monday night.

They trailed Wrexham from the 3rd minute to the 98th, and could only muster nine shots in total.

Cardiff were second-best, keeper, Nathan Trott, made seven saves to keep them in the game.

Derby were edged out 2-1 at Charlton on the opening day, but have plenty of Championship pedigree, and proven firepower at the top of the pitch in Carlton Morris and Sammie Szmodics, that could make light work of Cardiff’s unproven defensive unit.

Cardiff finished 12 points behind Lincoln in League One last season, while Derby missed out on the play-offs by just four points, that gap in quality could be clear to see at Pride Park.

Everton have won five of their last six home games against Palace.

There’s been a big turnover in the playing squad and in the dugout at Palace over the summer, while continuity at Everton has them in a more reliable position to hit the ground running on the opening weekend.

Christian Norgaard and Hayden Hackney have freshened up their midfield options, while the Brennan Johnson and Dwight McNeil swap deal adds some spice to the occasion.

It’s unlikely that Pierre Sage has the same success that Oliver Glasner had with Palace, and after losing Marc Guehi in January, they’ve lost Maxence Lacroix this summer, so their backline can’t be trusted to the same extent.

Everton are unbeaten in 11 against Palace, and will be targeting European football themselves this term.

We know what we’re going to get with David Moyes’ Everton, the same cannot be said about Sage’s Palace.

Birmingham look like one of the strongest match odds bets of the weekend.

Bristol City have spent a tonne of cash on getting the best two strikers from League One last season, it feels too simplistic.

They were well beaten at home to Millwall, 2-0, last weekend, with Adam Randell sent off for two yellows after 36 minutes.

Birmingham were really impressive in their 0-0 draw at Sheffield United, it was a poor game, but to limit the Blades to so little on their own patch was eye-catching.

Sheff Utd had just three shots, to Birmingham's 10, in the whole game. We'll find out in the coming weeks if that was an outstanding defensive display or if the Blades are a weak attacking side.

For now, I'm happy to bet that it was the former and that Blues can build on their promising first season back in the Championship last term, when they finished two spots ahead of Bristol City (10th and 12th).

Rovers looked good in spells in their opening weekend 3-2 defeat at York City.

Newport won 3-0 at home to Rochdale, but that doesn’t yet change the expectation that Bristol Rovers will be battling for promotion and Newport will be battling for survival this season.

The Gas won both meetings between the sides last season, with the most recent being a comfortable 3-0 home win in January.

Newport could only muster 0.41 xG that day and had only three shots from inside the box.

There’s a clear gap in quality between these sides which’ll become evident in the league table in the coming months.

Ross County have made an excellent start to the season, and I think they can maintain that momentum when they travel to Airdrie on Saturday.

Stuart Kettlewell's side have quickly put any concerns over a relegation hangover to bed, topping a Scottish League Cup group that included top-flight outfit Dundee.

They carried that form into the league, winning each of their opening two fixtures before producing another impressive result last weekend by beating Dunfermline 2-1 away from home to book their place in the League Cup quarter-finals.

Airdrie, meanwhile, are still searching for their first league victory after drawing their opening two matches before being hammered 4-0 by Hamilton last weekend. 

That setback will hardly fill the Diamonds with confidence ahead of the visit of a Ross County side that are playing with plenty of confidence at the moment.

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Football

Saturday's EFL Accumulator 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿📊 @ 8.17

Andy Robson

Plenty of value across the EFL 3pms

The 98th-minute limbs masked an underwhelming return to the Championship from Cardiff on Monday night.

They trailed Wrexham from the 3rd minute to the 98th, and could only muster nine shots in total.

Cardiff were second-best, keeper, Nathan Trott, made seven saves to keep them in the game.

Derby were edged out 2-1 at Charlton on the opening day, but have plenty of Championship pedigree, and proven firepower at the top of the pitch in Carlton Morris and Sammie Szmodics, that could make light work of Cardiff’s unproven defensive unit.

Cardiff finished 12 points behind Lincoln in League One last season, while Derby missed out on the play-offs by just four points, that gap in quality could be clear to see at Pride Park.

Charlton aren’t at West Ham’s level.

Their goals in their 2-1 win over Derby last time out were from a set piece and a counter attack.

Charlton will be well drilled without the ball, but West Ham should dominate the duels on the flanks, with Jarrod Bowen and Manor Solomon more than capable of getting the better of Amari'i Bell and Dan McNamara with regularity.

This is a short price, but it's one that could be a lot shorter if it wasn't so early on in the season and if the Hammers score early and force Charlton to have to break out of their defensive shape, they could put on a show in their opening home league game.

Peterborough saw both teams score a lot last season, the 5th-most times in the division.

I expect a similar record this season, along with another tough campaign looking over their shoulders.

They generated 1.11 xG in their 2-0 loss at Bradford last weekend, while Mansfield beat Doncaster 2-1.

Three of the last four meetings between the sides have seen over 2.5 goals, with BTTS landing in two of those.

Peterborough were the 2nd-highest scorers in the bottom half last season, and they actually outscored Mansfield, who finished 10th.

They only failed to score in 10 of 46 games and will retain that attacking mindset with Luke Williams in the dugout, who prioritises in-possession quality and doesn't have the defensive nous in his ranks to keep Mansfield out.

Peterborough kept just five clean sheets from their 23 League One home games last term.

Orient are still being underestimated by the market, which presents an opportunity for a shrewd acca-booster this weekend.

They scored after just 25 minutes and created 1.38 xG against heavily-fancied Sheffield Wednesday last weekend, while Wigan were 3-0 down after 53 minutes at newly-promoted Cambridge (eventually losing 3-2).

Richie Wellens knows how to foster a dynamic attacking unit, and they'll improve over time as he beds in some new faces at the top of the pitch.

Wigan have conceded six goals in their three games in all competitions so far, and Orient have scored four in their three.

Wigan have lost key players at the back, and their back three was very unconvincing at Cambridge - Orient represent a step up in class.

If Oldham deliver on the promise they showed in the second half of last season, and their opening weekend 2-0 win over newly-relegated Port Vale, they'll be much shorter in the coming weeks, and the chance to pounce on some early value will evaporate.

Colchester rode their luck to the extreme in grabbing a 2-2 draw at Accrington last weekend, scoring a controversial equaliser, conceding nearly 3 xG against an Accy side expected to struggle and had just seven shots in total - mustering just two in the first half.

New signing, Calum Kavanagh, marked his league debut with a brace for Oldham last weekend, they've a manager in Micky Mellon who's been there and done it at this level, and an automatic promotion tilt will be the target.

They travel to a Colchester side who were arguably the least impressive EFL side on the opening weekend.

Exeter are so inexperienced, and relying on young players to this extent does not scream defensive solidity. 

Remember they lost 10-1 to Man City last season.

They lost the shot count 19-8 and were swept aside comfortably by Grimsby last weekend, despite only losing 1-0.

While Accy have scored in each of their opening two games, and could’ve had more as they generated 2.77 xG, 2.11 in the first half alone, in a 2-2 draw with Colchester last weekend.

They don't have a great squad, but they play to their strengths and will test a creaking Exeter backline that'll have the fans against them early on if they don't take the lead.

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