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Kilmarnock v Hearts Tips

Latest tips for Kilmarnock v Hearts from Andy Robson and his team of experts.

Football

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Hearts look a slice of value to win at rock-bottom Killie on Saturday evening.

The hosts are the joint-lowest scoring side in the league after six games and have won just once.

That victory was in their last match, 1-0 at Hibernian, in a game they lost the shot count 23-13 and relied on an excellent goalkeeping display from Max Stryjek to keep a clean sheet.

Hibs generated 1.45 xG and Stryjek kept out 1.98 xGOT (expected goals on target), not a repeatable display.

Hearts had won four in a row before a midweek loss at Falkirk, and they’re looking particularly dangerous in the final third, scoring in every game and twice or more in four of six in the league.

Only Celtic have scored more than Hearts in the Scottish Premiership so far this season, and they’re coming up against the worst defence in the league according to goals conceded and xG conceded.

Arsenal look unstoppable at the moment, they’ve won all seven of their matches this season - winning five of those games to nil.

Arsenal boasted the best away record of any side in the Premier League last season, winning 11 of their 19 games and only losing three of these games. 

They beat Brighton home and away last season, coming away 1-0 winners when the sides met at the Amex last term.

Arsenal have a day longer to recover from their midweek action than Brighton this week, and more strength in depth to deal with quick turnarounds anyway.

Brighton failed to generate 1 xG or more in each game with Arsenal last season, and could be blunted again on the cusp of the international break.

Fleetwood will likely suffer a hangover from their excellent 1-0 win over Sheffield United in the League Cup on Wednesday.

They had just 34% of the ball on the night, while Barnet have had a clear week in preparation.

Barnet won the last meeting between the sides 5-2 and are top of League Two after six games.

Fleetwood are unbeaten but have only won two of their six, with the free-scoring Bees currently boasting the league’s best attack.

Barnet have scored two or more goals in all three home league games to date, and replicating that would put them in a great position to win the game, with Fleetwood scoring just seven (half as many as Barnet) from their six in the league so far.

Dunfermline can continue their upturn in form by claiming victory away at Morton in the Scottish Championship on Saturday.

Having made a slow start, Neil Lennon’s side appear to be building some momentum after avoiding defeat in each of their last three league matches.

The Pars have picked up seven points during that run, recording two victories, including last weekend’s 2-0 success against Queen’s Park.

They will now view Saturday’s trip to Greenock to face bottom-of-the-table Morton as a prime opportunity to put another three points on the board.

The Ton are a club in turmoil both on and off the pitch and have taken just one point from their opening six league matches.

Three of their five defeats have come at home, including last weekend’s 4-1 hammering by Livingston, so an improving Dunfermline side look capable of collecting another three points at Cappielow.

I can’t see how things get any better for Coventry here following a really poor start to the campaign. 

They actually look like the worst of the three newly promoted sides, despite being the team to win the Championship last year and strengthening over the summer.

Frank Lampard’s side suffered more misery in their League Cup tie against Aston Villa during the week, losing 3-1 in front of their own fans.

Forest have shown signs of promise under Oliver Glasner so far, avoiding defeat in each of their last three matches - including clashes against Tottenham and Liverpool. 

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