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Monday's Daily Double 🇮🇹🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 @ 2.24

Andy Robson

Sunday's Daily Double won @ 2.30

Both league meetings between these sides last season produced 2+ goals, with Roma putting four goals past Fiorentina to no reply in this fixture.

Roma also triumphed as the away side, coming away 2-1 winners in Florence in a game that saw both sides register an xG in excess of 1.0 (1.10-1.35). 

If we widen the net further when it comes to the head to head record between these sides, 2+ goals has landed in 19 of the last 20 competitive meetings - stretching all the way back to 2017.

All five of Roma’s pre-season games produced 2+ goals, with Roma notably failing to keep a clean sheet in any of these matches. Fiorentina only kept two clean sheets across their seven friendly matches ahead of the new campaign. 

Chelsea’s attack on paper ahead of this season looks really promising with Morgan Rogers set to slot in alongside Palmer as the duo operating behind Joao Pedro. 

If Chelsea can get the balance between the three right, they could end up being one of the top scoring sides in the division. All three players reached double digits for goals in the Premier League last season, and you’d think that they will compliment each other really well.

I’m also not fully convinced about the direction that Fulham have taken this summer, losing Marco Silva and replacing him with Alvaro Arbeloa. He doesn’t have much coaching experience at all, and this is a very testing opening game for his side. 

Chelsea scored 3+ goals in each of their final three pre-season games ahead of the new campaign, with two of these games being against AC Milan and Real Sociedad.

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Football

Monday's Both Teams to Score Treble ⚽ @ 4.50

Andy Robson

Hamburg have not kept a clean sheet in 18 matches

Roma have had quite a hectic pre-season ahead of their opening game of the season, failing to keep a clean sheet in any of their last five matches.

They saw BTTS in four of these games, conceding 2+ goals against the likes of Cardiff, Dortmund, Brighton and Cannes. This tends to be quite an entertaining game too, 19 of the last 20 head to head clashes have seen 2+ goals with six of the last 10 games seeing BTTS.

Fiorentina saw BTTS in their first competitive game of the season as they came away 4-1 winners over Benevento in the first round of the Coppa Italia. They also saw BTTS in their final two friendly matches, setting the stage for both teams to score here.

Heracles are trying to get back to the Eredivisie at the first time of asking after suffering relegation from the top flight last year.

They’ve made an entertaining start to the campaign, winning both of their games 4-3 and 3-2. The Eerste Divisie was a really great league for goals last year, boasting one of the highest averages of any league in Europe.

They take on an Utrecht side that have also seen BTTS in both of their matches so far, losing both matches against Maastricht and Vitesse. Their 19 home games produced 70 goals in the Eerste Divisie last season, working out to an average of 3.68 goals per game - a good example of the goal volume we commonly see in the Dutch second division.

This looks like a real mismatch on paper, but the underlying defensive data for Hamburg is pretty damning and sets up this DFB Pokal tie to be more competitive than the odds would suggest.

Hamburg have failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 18 matches across all competitions, seeing BTTS in all four of their friendly matches and in each of their last nine games more widely.

The early rounds of the DFB Pokal tend to be pretty good for upsets, and Verl will be optimistic of at least getting on the scoresheet given the defensive issues that Hamburg have suffered over recent months.

Verl have seen BTTS in both of their league matches so far this season. They have lost both matches, but we only need them to score past one of the weakest defensive set ups across Europe over recent months. 

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