Martinez has had 34 shots on target across his 30 Serie A appearances this season (1.23 per 90). He’ll have an even more important role here than he usually does with Marcus Thuram set to miss this game through injury. Martinez enters this game in decent goalscoring form, having found the back of the net in both legs of Inter’s Champions League quarter-final against Bayern Munich. 

Martinez didn’t feature in the first leg but has found the target against AC Milan in each of the other three head-to-head meetings this season. Inter had seven shots on target in the first leg without Martinez, which indicates that they will be able to get the better of the AC Milan backline again here with their top scorer this season back in the side. 

Inter are averaging 5.2 shots on target per game in Serie A this season and can improve on this average in this semi-final tie.

Tammy Abraham committed two fouls in the first leg, it’s always going to be difficult for a lone number nine to go up against a back three, which is a situation that should aid this selection as it did in the first leg encounter.

Abraham has committed 21 fouls across his 11 Serie A starts this season (1.70 per 90), which is a record that suggests he’ll be up for the fight again here despite being outnumbered, which naturally means that he will struggle to win duels resulting in multiple situations where he can commit a foul. 

AC Milan committed 14 fouls in the first leg, which suggests that they will be the side undertaking most of the defensive work in this game, seeing as Inter only committed seven fouls in the first leg. Abraham will have his work cut out for him against the three centre backs of Inter, which should result in the 27-year-old committing at least one foul.

BTTS has landed in each of the four head-to-head meetings this season. Uncharacteristically, Inter have seen BTTS in four of their last five games across all competitions which is unusual for a side that are as organised as Simeone Inzaghi’s, but this will give AC Milan confidence in getting a result here, aided by the fact that Inter are yet to get the better of them this campaign. 

AC Milan have seen BTTS in three of their last five games across all competitions. They tend to be quite strong in attacking areas, as evidenced by their table-topping record of 5.3 shots on target per game in Serie A this season, but they can be defensively vulnerable, especially against the top sides in the division.

Inter may be yet to get the better of AC Milan from four attempts this season, but should have enough here to at least force extra time. It is quite perplexing as to how Simeone Inzaghi’s side are yet to register a win over the red side of Milan this campaign, seeing as they dominate their rivals in most metrics, including a massive gap in the league table. 

Inter have only lost one of their last 14 games across all competitions, including seeing off Bayern Munich in the Champions League and battling out with title rivals Napoli and Atalanta. This loss came last time out against Bologna, who notably have one of the best home records in Serie A, losing just one of their 17 games on familiar territory this term.