Inter boast a strong corner record, averaging 6.20 corners per match in Serie A - the most of any side in the division.

They’ve demonstrated impressive consistency in the market this season, with The Nerazzurri winning at least 4 in 9 of their last 12 across all competitions and 7 of their last 9 in Serie A, despite a tricky run of fixtures over that period.

Milan’s failure to settle into a decent run of form has coincided with a pretty poor corner-preventing record. They’ve conceded at least 4 in 8 of their most recent 11 in Serie A, and against the league’s title favourites, this seems a likely outcome.

The history books seem to agree with us, with Inter’s corner record in matches against their city rivals as follows: 11-6-6-3-5-5.

To most, a quick look at the league table might be enough to persuade you of this selection, with Inter sitting 20 points and eight places clear of The Rossoneri, and a deeper dive into the form is unlikely to convince you otherwise.

Inter are undefeated in eight, having recorded seven wins over this period and only faltering against fellow title challengers, Napoli. Across 44 matches this season, Inter have recorded just five losses.

That’s in stark contrast to their opponents, who’ve picked up just three wins in their last nine, drawing once and losing five ahead of a really tough run-in, as they fight for a position in the top four.

Inter’s league matches have produced an average of 3.2 goals, meanwhile, those of Milan average 2.7, with both teams’ records implying this selection stands a strong chance of coming home. This selection has come home in each of Milan’s last seven games, and in six of Inter’s last seven.

The flow of the game is a really important factor here, with Inter often struggling to maintain their intensity for the full 90. We’ve seen this time and time again this season, particularly against stronger opposition, and Inter seem strong candidates to score in the first half but perhaps concede in the second.

Each of the last five showings of the Derby della Madonnina has seen at least one goal scored in each half, with the above pattern holding in four of those clashes.

A consistent attacking threat from midfield, Barella has averaged 1.73 shots per 90 for Inter in Serie A this season and has undoubtedly been overpriced to fire off just one. The Italian maestro has managed at least one attempt in 13 of his last 15 games across all competitions and in 21 of his 25 starts in Serie A to date. 

75% of his shots have come from outside the box, offering Inter an important pathway to goal against teams who might be tougher to break down, although to say Milan fit this description might be a tad generous.

The Rossoneri have conceded an average of 11.1 shots per league game, which implies that Inter shouldn’t find themselves short of shooting opportunities.

Inter’s matches have been consistently eye-catching affairs this season, with their league clashes producing an average of 3.2 goals and exceeding the 2.5 mark in 18 out of 30.

It’s been a similar story for fans of The Rossoneri, who have also been treated to a minimum of three goals in 18 separate league games, notably including each of their most recent six.

When these titans come together, it tends to be worth watching. Four of the last five head-to-head clashes have seen three or more goals scored, as have seven of the previous nine in domestic competitions.

Dimarco has averaged 2.37 shots per 90 minutes across all competitions this season and merits some serious intrigue in the market, given how he’s been priced to fire off two.

The left wingback has had at least two attempts in 12 of his last 15 appearances for Inter lasting at least 45 minutes. Crucially, that run included two meetings with Wednesday’s opponents, Milan, as well as Juventus, Napoli, Atalanta, and Lazio (twice).

Additionally, as mentioned earlier, Inter are unlikely to be starved of opportunities in this derby, with Milan conceding an average of over 11 shots per game in Serie A.

The value in this price is primarily driven by the high-stakes, high-emotion nature of the Derby della Madonnina - a fixture that rarely passes without drama or disciplinary action, with the last six editions producing the following card counts: 2, 5, 5, 8, 4, and 6.

Milan’s aggressive playing style only adds fuel to the fire. Both they and their opponents have averaged over two cards per game in Serie A this season, suggesting another heated contest could be on the cards.

Referee Michael Fabbri, who takes charge on Wednesday, averages 4.35 cards per game this season, which is in line with his career rate of 4.49. Notably, when he last officiated a Milan match - their clash with Roma earlier this campaign - he brandished 10 cards, with both sides picking up four or more.

Reijnders’ average of 0.93 shots on target per 90 is impressive but doesn’t truly capture his potential in the market, given he’s racked up the majority of his minutes playing as a defensive midfielder.

Set to start as an attacking midfielder on Wednesday, he’s a great shout to fire off a shot on target, something he’s done in 17 of his last 25 appearances despite uptaking defensive positions in the bulk of those games.

Inter’s defence hasn’t been as impenetrable as we’ve seen in previous seasons, conceding an average of 3.4 shots on target per 90, with this figure rising to 4.1 when considering only their most recent seven games.