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Inter v AC Milan Bet Builder Tips
Our expert has put together two bet builders for this Monday’s massive Milan derby, level 1 is 2/1 and level 2 is 18/1. If you want even more in-depth coverage of this Milan derby, you can check out our Inter v AC Milan Betting Preview here.
2/1 Inter v AC Milan Bet Builder Level 1
18/1 Inter v AC Milan Bet Builder Level 2
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Level 1 Bet Builder Tip
🧤 Inter GK to make 2+ Saves
📈 Odds: 1.40
While there is no doubt, that Inter are one of the most defensively astute sides in Italy, that’s not to say that their keeper isn’t called in to play fairly frequently.
In fact, Sommer has been forced into making an average of 2.11 saves per match and has stopped at least 2 shots on goal in 11 out of his 18 league appearances to date. Last time out in this competition, the Swiss keeper made 3 saves as Inter qualified for the finals following a comfortable 2-0 victory over Atalanta.
Additionally, Milan’s opponents tend to come under significant defensive pressure with the opposition keeper having averaged 3.5 saves per game over the course of the season.
🏆 Inter to Lift the Cup
📈 Odds: 1.40
There was a world of difference between the respective semi-finals of these sides and despite Milan scraping past Juventus courtesy of a penalty and a bizarre own-goal, they created very little and in all reality, were firmly second-best.
This is unsurprising given the season Milan have had which sees them 13 points behind city-rivals, Inter, having played an equal number of games.
Inter cruised past Atalanta, extending their domestic winning streak to 7 games and their unbeaten streak in Italy to 14 (12 wins and 2 draws),
🚀 Alex Jimenez to have 1+ Shots
📈 Odds: 1.33
With Leao, Okafor, and Chukwueze all ruled out, Alex Jiminez who traditionally operates as a left-back, is expected to start on the wing for The Rossonneri.
He did uptake this position in the semi-finals where he was ineffective although this is likely symptomatic of the entire Milan side who created very few chances, particularly in the first half in which they were awful – an inconvenience given Jiminez was taken off on the hour-mark.
Beyond that, Jiminez has averaged 1 shot per game in Serie A despite operating as a defender and his attacking qualities have been clear to see.
🛑 Alessandro Bastoni to Commit 1+ Fouls
📈 Odds: 1.25
Bastoni has been a constant in the fouls market this season and once more represents strong value against a proficient foul-drawing Milan side.
He’s averaged 1.49 fouls per 90 minutes in Serie A, sinning in 14 of his 16 matches in addition to a further 3 Champions League clashes in which he’s slipped up a total of 6 times.
Morata who averages 1.58 fouls won per 90 minutes will be his likely counterpart which could spell trouble. It’s definitely a duel to keep an eye out for given Morata averages 2.27 fouls committed per 90 himself, with Bastoni drawing an average of 1.57.
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Level 2 Bet Builder Tip
🎯 Joaquin Correa to have 1+ Shots On Target
📈 Odds: 1.53
Filling Thuram’s boots will be a big ask given the significant role the Frenchman has played in Inter’s title push this season, but having been ruled out with a thigh injury, Correa is expected to get the nod over Taremi.
The Argentine hasn’t exactly racked up the minutes this season but in his limited league gametime has averaged 1.21 shots on target per 90 minutes, second only to Thuram.
With Inter averaging 5.06 shots on goal and Milan averaging 3.11 shots on target conceded per 90, Correa stands a strong chance of testing the keeper.
🚀 Denzel Dumfries to have 2+ Shots
📈 Odds: 2.38
Dumfries tends to be awarded plenty of freedom when starting as a right wing-back/ midfielder, with Inzaghi adjusting tactically to maintain balance, often involving Barella operating more defensively. To emphasise this, it’s worth noting that all 17 of his shorts this season have come from within the box.
The Dutchman has averaged 1.79 shots per 90 minutes, firing off at least 2 in 6 of his 8 league starts in addition to a 35-minute cameo against Monza.
He was devastating in Inter’s semi-final clash with Atalanta, scoring both goals and sending 3 shots the direction of Maignan as Inter cruised to a 2-0 victory.
🎯 Alex Jimenez to have 1+ Shot on Target
📈 Odds: 3.10
As mentioned, Jimenez will be filling in for Leao on the left of attack which tends to be the most productive of the wings for Milan, largely due to the support afforded by Theo Hernandez who plays a crucial role.
This is best evidenced by the fact that Leao and Okafor (Milan’s two other left-wingers) rank 1st and 2nd amongst Milan players (3+ 90s) for shots on target per 90, averaging 1.31 and 1.52 respectively.
Across all competitions, Inter average 4.68 shots on target conceded per match, implying Milan and Jimenez should get a few opportunities at least.
🎯 Christian Pulisic to have 1+ Shot on Target
📈 Odds: 1.91
Pulisic has fired off at least 1 shot on target in 9 league matches this season despite his struggles with injuries that have seen him start only 12.
He’s also tested the keeper at least once in all 5 Champions League matches and twice in his semi-final leg against Juventus despite Milan as a whole only managing 3 shots on goal.
On that occasion, he was by far Milan’s sharpest player and one of the few positives to take away for The Rossonerri in what was otherwise a fairly dismal display.
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