Chelsea have averaged 6.50 corners per game in UEFA competitions this season, and this aligns closely with the bet. Against weaker opposition like Astana, their attacking dominance often forces defensive clearances and corner opportunities.

Astana’s defence is highly susceptible to conceding corners, allowing 7.75 per game in the competition so far. Chelsea’s style of play, which involves sustained pressure and overlapping full-backs, further supports this. Given their average, the likelihood of surpassing 6 corners in a match where they are expected to control possession and territory is high.

Chelsea have been relentless in attack during this competition, averaging 10.50 shots on target per game. With players like Christopher Nkunku in form and the team’s attacking depth, they consistently create and convert chances.

Astana, on the other hand, have struggled defensively, allowing 8.25 shots on target per match - one of the highest figures in the competition. Given Chelsea's superior quality and Astana's defensive frailties, Chelsea are well-positioned to exceed 8 shots on target here.

Astana’s average of 2.75 shots on target per game suggests they are capable of creating a handful of chances even against stronger opposition. Chelsea, while defensively solid, have allowed an average of 6.00 shots on target in UEFA competitions - indicating their vulnerability to counterattacks or set pieces.

Given Astana's likely counterattacking approach, they could find opportunities, especially if Chelsea push forward aggressively. Reaching 3 shots on target is within their capability, particularly at home where they’ll aim to make a statement.

Astana games average a high 6.75 cards per match in this competition, with their opponents receiving 4.75 on average. Chelsea’s matches see fewer cards overall (4.00), but Astana's tendency to play a physical game and foul frequently (9.25 fouls committed per match) could lead to bookings.

Chelsea’s high pressing style could draw fouls from Astana players attempting to disrupt play. In a competitive European fixture, where frustrations often boil over, at least 4 cards seem a reasonable expectation given the teams' styles and historical stats.

Christopher Nkunku has been a standout performer in this competition, averaging 3.5 shots per game and 2.5 shots on target. His ability to find space and test the goalkeeper consistently highlights his attacking prowess.

Astana’s defence, which allows 8.25 shots on target per game, will likely struggle to contain Nkunku, who thrives against opposition at this level. With Chelsea expected to dominate possession and create numerous chances, Nkunku’s sharp movement and clinical finishing make him a strong candidate for at least 2 shots on target here.

Axel Disasi has been an assertive presence in Chelsea's defense, averaging 2.25 fouls per game in this competition and already collecting two yellow cards. His physical style and willingness to engage in duels, especially when facing counterattacks, make him prone to committing fouls.

Astana’s likely counterattacking approach could force him into challenges to disrupt play. Additionally, Disasi’s role in marking physical forwards or defending set pieces increases the likelihood of fouls.

Chelsea’s attacking dominance, combined with Astana’s defensive vulnerabilities, makes this bet highly probable. Chelsea alone average 6.50 corners per game, while Astana concede an average of 7.75.

Astana themselves have averaged 2 a game but this will likely rise as Chelsea have conceded 6.5 per game. Together, these figures suggest this match should comfortably exceed nine corners. Even if Astana sit deep and look to frustrate Chelsea, the resulting sustained pressure will likely lead to numerous corner opportunities.

Astana may also contribute with a few corners of their own through counterattacks or set-piece situations, further supporting this selection.

Astana games in this competition average 6.75 cards, with their opponents picking up 4.75 on average. Chelsea’s matches are more disciplined, with only 4.00 cards per game, but the physical nature of Astana’s play (9.25 fouls committed per game) and their tendency to disrupt superior opposition increases the likelihood of bookings.

European fixtures often see heightened tensions, and with Astana needing a result to stay competitive, fouls and tactical challenges will likely result in at least 3 cards being issued.