This bet is supported by data on both sides of the equation, with Rovers doing well in winning corners at home, and Preston conceding a high number away from home.

Putting some flesh on those bones, I looked into Preston first, and they are carrying a 6.6 corners against per match record into this match in their away matches. Recently, they conceded nine to Ipswich, eight to Middlesbrough, and six to Bristol City in their last three away from home.

Blackburn have averaged 6.25 corners per match at home in the league, and although we have to have caution because they are under new management, we have given ourselves some headroom with the line chosen. They have beaten this line in their last three at home as well, winning eight corners against Sheffield Wednesday and Hull, and seven against Watford too.

Just as further fuel to the fire, Blackburn won seven corners in each of the Preston matches last season too.

The former Sheffield Wednesday wing back has been a surprising hit at Deepdale, with many fans feeling much more confident when Valentin is in the team. He has played the full 90 in Preston's last two league matches away from home, and also started the last match at home to Watford.

Valentin is averaging 1.23 fouls against him per 90 this season, this increases slightly to 1.32 per 90 when only considering away matches. Indeed, Valentin has been fouled in five of his six starts for Preston in away matches, including his last four in a row.

He is likely to be directly up against Eiran Cashin and Dapo Afolayan, the latter averages over a foul per 90 over a 50 game period.

This is a surprisingly big price for a player who averages over a foul per match since joining Blackburn, plays the full 90 minutes every game, and is coming off the back of two yellow cards in two matches.

Cashin looks to be being priced up as a central defender still, but he has been playing as a left back for Blackburn in the majority of matches he has played. New Blackburn boss Michael O’Neill plays a back three with Northern Ireland, but Rovers have been a back four side since the dismissal of Valerian Ismael, who also generally played a three at the back system.

My best guess is that Rovers will stick with the shape and most of the personnel who won at QPR last week, which will see Cashin play at left-back. He has averaged 1.32 fouls per 90 since his debut, which is a big number for this price. He has committed a foul in four of his seven starts, but in four of five as a left-back.

Whilst I understand why this has been priced up as the outsider of the market, I actually think that there is a bit of value in the BTTS-Yes market here.

I very rarely consider historical head-to-head in my betting strategy, but the only times that I change that is when there is a local derby that has been played a lot of times in recent years in the same competition. Blackburn and Preston have been EFL Championship mainstays over the years, with Blackburn’s single season foray into League One in 2017/18 the only non-second tier season between the two of them in the last decade.

In that time, 15 out of 19 of these derbies have seen BTTS-Yes come in. That 79% rate is quite significant over a decent sample size, and has to come into the thinking here, especially when it is the underdog.

Looking at more recent data, Blackburn have lots of their attacking players back, and have added in attack in January with Mathias Jorgensen and Dapo Afolayan adding to fit again Andri Gudjohnsen. This made a huge difference in their 3-1 win at QPR, but it should also be noted that they still conceded over 2xG that game.

Preston have a strong away record overall this season, and have scored and conceded at over 1 goal per game away from home too.