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Brighton v Tottenham
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Kick Off: Sunday 6th October at 16:30
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Competition: Premier League
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Watch Live: Sky Sports Main Event
Brighton welcome Tottenham Hotspur to the south coast on Sunday. Albion will be aiming to snap Spurs’ five-match winning streak in all competitions. The Seagulls won last season’s corresponding fixture at the Amex Stadium 4-2, and the evidence suggests that the goal markets could offer the best value again in Sunday’s rematch.
⭐ Brighton v Tottenham Best Bets
Just like they did last term, Tottenham’s fixtures this season have been yielding plenty of goals and Ange Postecoglou’s chaos-ball is generally guaranteed to generate excitement. Spurs have played nine fixtures in all competitions since the summer and over 2.5 goals were lodged in seven of those matches, while Tottenham rank first in the Premier League for xGF (13.40) accumulated so far.
When Tottenham last ventured south to play Brighton (Dec 2023), they lost 4-2 in a clash that featured 32 shots and 5.50 in xGF combined and Sunday’s game could follow similar trends. Brighton’s games have been averaging 3.37 goals per 90 minutes since the appointment of Fabian Hurzeler, so look to the goals markets for this one.
🔍 Brighton v Tottenham Players to Watch
🔵 Mats Wieffer
Dutch anchorman Mats Wieffer started just his second Premier League fixture for Brighton in Albion’s 4-2 reverse at Chelsea last weekend and the 24-year-old had to endure an uncomfortable outing, committing two fouls against the Blues before he was subbed off before the hour mark.
Wieffer also committed two fouls on his only other Premier League start against Everton on matchday one, however, despite his struggles, he is likely to keep his place in the Brighton XI on Sunday with the Seagulls currently light on alternatives. Back Wieffer to foul at least twice again against his hard-running Tottenham counterparts.
⚪ Brennan Johnson
Brennan Johnson is in career-best form for Tottenham and his goal off the bench in midweek against Ferencvaros in the Europa League extended his scoring streak to five goals in as many appearances for Spurs.
Johnson, who has been averaging 1.28 shots on target per 90 minutes in the Premier League this term, has featured in 11 fixtures for club and country since the summer overall, and the 23-year-old clocked at least one shot on target in nine of those outings. Expect the confident winger to make an impact on Sunday.
⚪ Dejan Kulusevski
Swedish international Dejan Kulusevski has had his role tweaked by Ange Postecoglou this season, though the 24-year-old has been enjoying his conversion from winger to midfielder, and his growing influence as a creative force has made him a target for markers.
Kulusevski has been fouled 1.22 times per 90 in the league for Tottenham, indeed, he’s been kicked at least once in five of his six appearances in the division this term and the Swede offers top value to draw at least one foul again against Brighton.
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💻 Brighton v Tottenham Form and Tactics
Brighton (9th) sit just one place and one point behind Tottenham (8th) ahead of Sunday’s tussle, though the teams have been heading in opposite directions in recent weeks.
Albion’s 4-2 reverse at Chelsea last weekend extended their winless run in the Premier League to four matches and despite dominating possession in that loss at Stamford Bridge (59%), they conceded four first-half goals and 4.20 in xGA overall.
Brighton rank third in the division for average possession per game (61.5%), though they lost the xGF battle in three of their last four games and teams are starting to expose Fabian Hurzeler’s system on the counter-attack.
Tottenham’s high-pressing and rapid transitions have the potential to do some damage against the Seagulls. Spurs – who have won five games on the spin – rank second in the league for tackles made in the attacking third per 90 (4.00), second for touches in the opponent’s box (42.8 p/90) and first for progressive passes per 90 minutes (55.8), so expect them to go for the jugular again on Sunday.
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🏁 Brighton v Tottenham Ref Watch
- David Coote has taken charge of three Premier League fixtures so far this season and those matches averaged a sizable 6.0 cards per contest.
- Coote’s 16 Premier League fixtures last season featured 86 cards (5.375 avg) and five penalties.
- When Coote last officiated over a league game involving Brighton (vs Liverpool, March), he brandished eight yellow cards.
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* I recommend waiting for confirmed team line-ups before placing any bets.
* All odds displayed correct at the time of publishing.
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