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Cardiff v Peterborough 5/1 Bet Builder Tips, Predictions & Cheat Sheet

Cardiff v Peterborough 5/1 Bet Builder Tips, Predictions & Cheat Sheet

Friday 1 August, 20253 min read
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The ABC Editorial Team have a combined Sports Journalism experience of 20+ years. They love to crunch the numbers for all betting predictions, meticulously finding value in each selection. Football experts in their own right, they each bring specialists sports and leagues to the table. Whether it be football, horse racing, boxing, darts, or NFL, our team is equipped to bring you the most insightful and valuable betting tips around.

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The opening day of a third tier season in Cardiff for the first time since 2002 sees them pitted against Darren Ferguson’s Posh, could be there be a more archetypal League One challenge to begin with?

Cardiff v Peterborough Bet Builder Tips
  • Cardiff v Peterborough
  • English League One
  • 12:30
3 Selections @ 5.68

Cardiff to Win

There were several mitigating factors to Cardiff’s relegation last season that lead me to believe that they aren't necessarily a poor side coming into League One.

They have creativity in the team via Rubin Colwill, goals in Yousef Salech (as long as he stays) and enough legs and craft in midfield to dominate most games as this level.

At times under Omer Riza last season they seemed pretty dominant at home, but they were unable to retain the consistency required to stay clear of trouble when every other relegation threatened team picked up at the back end of the Championship season.

Peterborough still had a chance of being relegated until late in the season themselves, and they have lost a lot of firepower from that team as well. Historically they have been able to sell and replace really well, but there is a concern that this time it'll be too much for them.

Cardiff are deserving favourites here.

Rubin Colwill to have 3+ Shots

I expect this season to be the one where Rubin Colwill steps up and dominates.

The Welshman has felt on the verge of stardom for a couple of seasons, big clubs are constantly linked with him, but for some reason it hasn't come together.

Colwill hit 1.93 shots per 90 last season in the Championship, but this was in a poor side that ended up being relegated, and across a couple of positions.

Playing as a #10 here, as the creative focal point for a team that should be better than the majority of their opposition, this should see an increase, starting here at home to a potentially loose defence.

Super Sub

Over 3.5 Goals

Both teams had real defensive issues last season, and in Brian Barry-Murphy, going off his time at Rochdale, and Darren Ferguson, both managers prioritise attack over defence.

Of course, we await how that will pan out this season, but the initial price for this match looks inviting in terms of predicting how well the Posh's defence might hold up against a likely top League One attack.

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📂 Cardiff v Peterborough Cheat Sheet

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📈 Cardiff v Peterborough Form & Tactics

This is Brian Barry-Murphy’s first senior head coach role since a spell at Rochdale in the third tier between 2019-2021. Since then he has spent his time in the elite player development environment at Manchester City, where the predominant tactical approach has mirrored that of Pep Guardiola.

Chris Davies implemented a possession-heavy system in going from Tottenham to Birmingham and dominating the third tier last season, setting a points record infact. We can expect Barry-Murphy’s team to want to dominate the ball and press high.

Cardiff’s pre-season friendlies were reported to be playing a 3-3-3-1, while it looked like a 4-4-2 out of possession and a 4-2-3-1 shape in possession, with Rubin Colwill being the key man just off the front.

In many ways, we know what to expect from a Peterborough United team managed by Darren Ferguson.

One of the pre-requisites for this team is to play attractive, attacking football. This is a method passed down from the top, as owner Darragh McAnthony knows that this style helps to attract buyers for their continuing line of young attacking talent, the sales of whom are used primarily to keep the costs of running the club manageable.

The formation does change with time and trends, but I am expecting a 4-2-3-1 shape to be the default, at least to begin the season. There are a lack of left-footed centre backs in the squad to make a three at the back formation a viable option, and Posh prefer to have exciting wide attackers in their team.

🏁 Ref Watch

Ben Speedie

  • Speedie has 70 matches under his belt at this level, so he is fairly experienced at this stage

  • Last season he averaged 3.25 yellow cards per match in his 20 League One matches, a below average number, this makes yellow card bets less attractive

📊 Cardiff v Peterborough Key Stats

  • Relegated teams from the Championship playing at home on opening day in League One have won four, drawn one and lost 1oneover the last five seasons.

  • Despite being ranked 20th for expected goals for (xGF) in the Championship last season, Cardiff ranked 6th for shots on target per match, which suggests their shooting from poor positions retained some accuracy.

  • Last season, Cardiff conceded the 2nd-highest number of goals in the league, but were 6th bottom for expected goals against (xGA), which suggests that they weren’t quite as bad defensively as it may have looked.

  • Peterborough have spent nine of the last 10 seasons in the third tier, last season was their first bottom half finish in the third tier since 2015/16.

  • Peterborough begin this season without all three of the players who scored double-figure goals for them last term - Kwame Poku (QPR), Malik Mothersille (Stockport) and Ricky-Jade Jones (St Pauli).

  • Posh finished last season having conceded the 2nd-highest number of goals in the league, they had the 3rd-worst xGA figure.

Football Predictions at Andy's Bet Club

Andy's Bet Club is packed full of Expert Football Tips, we also have an easy-to-use Bet Builder Stats tool to help you conduct your own research. Look out for the latest Gem Bets and EFL Predictions on ABC this week.

Check out this week's action with our EFL Shots Accumulator, Both Teams To Score Acca, plus EFL Accumulator Tips. We also have coverage of the EFL with Bet Builders for Motherwell v Rangers, Barnet v Fleetwood and Celtic v St Mirren.

When backing our tips, you'll want to be doing so on the Top Bet Builder Sites and Best UK Sports Betting Sites. We also track the best offers, such as the Paddy Power Sign Up Offer and Betfair Sign Up Offer. There's a list of the latest New Bookmaker Offers here.

For additional value, check out these Cardiff v Peterborough Betting Stats and our Paddy Power Beat The Drop Predictions.

* I recommend waiting for confirmed team line-ups before placing any bets.

* All odds displayed correct at the time of publishing.

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Written by an Andy verified content writer

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