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Chelsea v Leeds Bet Builder Stats & Predictions

Chelsea v Leeds Bet Builder Stats & Predictions

Tuesday 27 February, 20243 min read
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Andy Robson

Andy Robson is the most popular betting tipster in the UK. With a combined following in excess of 1 million people across his social media channels, Andy has built a loyal audience by consistently providing quality betting content for over nine years. He is the founder of Andy’s Bet Club, which he launched in 2019.

In this article...

Chelsea v Leeds

📅
Kick Off: Wednesday 28th February at 19:30
🏆
Competition: FA Cup
📺
Watch Live: ITV4

The fifth round of the FA Cup continues this Wednesday as Chelsea face off against Leeds.

Here at Andy's Bet Club, we're all over the FA Cup fifth-round replays with the site featuring FA Cup bet builders and some FA Cup acca tips. It's not just the FA Cup though, with a variety of expert football tips & predictions from across Europe and beyond available.

To increase your punting potential this week you should check out the various free bet offers and all of the latest bookmaker accounts for 2024 with the best bet builder sites, that way you know you're getting the best value for money.

Chelsea will be after revenge on Wednesday evening having had their dreams of lifting the Carabao Cup shattered by a last-minute header from Virgil van Dijk in extra time. They host Leeds at Stamford Bridge in the fifth round of the FA Cup in what looks to be an exciting clash.

Labelled as the “Blue Billion Pound Bottle Jobs”, Chelsea have managed two wins in their last five matches (2W 1D 2L), and currently sit 11th in the Premier League table. The FA Cup is now Chelsea’s last shot at silverware this season, and Mauricio Pochettino’s men will not want to crash out against Leeds.

Leeds have been on fiery form recently, winning nine of their last ten games (9W 1D) and rising to second place in the Championship. The Whites also have the best defensive record in the league, conceding an average of 0.79 goals per match.

Chelsea have faced Leeds seven times across the last 15 years, winning on five occasions (5W 1D 1L). Furthermore, they have won every home game played against Leeds, scoring an average of 2.14 goals across these seven games. Given their recent form, the Blues might find this clash more of a challenge.

This article aims to break down the key stats and match-ups behind this clash, using data from the Chelsea v Leeds Cheat Sheet. If you like any of the selections, why not add them to your Chelsea v Leeds Bet Builder?

Chelsea v Leeds Cheat Sheet

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This Cheat Sheet and Preview was created using predicted lineups.

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🏆 Match stats: High average goals for both sides

The Blues have seen an average of 3.32 goals per game in the Premier League this season (1.68 goals for and 1.64 goals against). Over their last six matches, Chelsea have been conceding more goals with this average rising to 3.67 total goals (1.67 goals for and 2.0 goals against). Leeds have seen similarly high average goals in the Championship, with 2.67 match goals across the whole season (1.88 for and 0.79 against), and 3.17 over their last six (2.83 for and 0.33 against). In fact, over their last six matches both Chelsea and Leeds have seen over 2.5 match goals on four occasions. Additionally, Chelsea have seen both teams to score (BTTS) land in 64% of their matches this season, with BTTS and over 2.5 goals clicking 56% of the time. Both teams have scored in four of Chelsea’s last five games across all competitions. In spite of Leeds’ strong record, Chelsea are still clear favourites for this one. Chelsea have reached the final of the FA Cup five times in the last eight years, lifting the trophy once in 2018 against Man United. They are strong when it comes to tournaments and will only be spurred on from last Sunday’s heartbreak.

Predictions:

⚽ Over 2.5 goals @ 1.57

⚽ Both teams to score @ 1.65

⚽ Chelsea to win and both teams to score @ 2.88

🥅 Goals stats: Leeds' young talents are shining up top this season

Crysencio Summerville has been, statistically, Leeds' best performer this season having bagged himself 15 goals and eight assists from 29 starts. Furthermore, Summerville has been averaging 3.46 shots and 1.24 shots on target this season. The 22-year-old has been linked to top-flight clubs including Chelsea and Aston Villa following his strong performances. Georginio Rutter has been solid for Leeds this season, chipping in with 18 goal involvements in the Championship this season having formed a great partnership with Summerville. Over his last five games, Rutter has contributed to six goals (2G 4A).

Predictions:

⚽ Crysencio Summerville to score or assist @ 3.10

⚽ Georginio Rutter to score or assist @ 2.80

⚽ Crysencio Summerville 1+ shots on target @ 1.73

⚽ Georginio Rutter 1+ shots on target @ 1.73

🚩 Corners stats: Leeds are great value for corners

Leeds have seen an average of 5.35 corners for per match in the Championship, but have taken even more in the FA Cup so far. Chelsea have been conceding a high number of corners in the Premier League (5.16). In their last FA Cup game, Chelsea conceded seven corners against Aston Villa – in both the first game and the replay. Furthermore, over their last seven games, Chelsea have conceded seven or more corners on four separate occasions.

Predictions:

⚽ Over 2.5 Leeds corners @ 1.36

⚽ Over 3.5 Leeds corners @ 1.85

⚽ Over 4.5 Leeds corners @ 2.88

🟨 Cards & Fouls stats: Chelsea have the worst disciplinary record in the Premier League

The Blues have been awarded the most yellow cards in the Premier League so far (78), for an average of 3.40 bookings per match. They also rank in second place for fouls committed per game (12.6). Chelsea have received two or more bookings in all of their last five games, with four of those seeing 3+ Chelsea bookings. So, who are the most likely candidates for a booking? Nicolas Jackson has been a card magnet for the Blues this season, picking up nine bookings so far – the most of any Chelsea player. In the Carabao Cup final at the weekend Jackson committed three fouls against Liverpool but escaped a booking. Chelsea left back Ben Chilwell is likely to be in for a tough time on Wednesday as he faces off against Wilfred Gnonto, a Leeds winger who has won an average of 2.72 fouls across all competitions this season. Chilwell picked up a booking last weekend, his sixth of the season from 13 starts.

Predictions:

⚽ Nicolas Jackson to commit 1+ fouls @ 1.62

⚽ Nicolas Jackson to be carded @ 4.50

⚽ Ben Chilwell to commit 1+ fouls @ 1.33

⚽ Ben Chilwell to be carded @ 5.0

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