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124/1 Cheltenham Festival Day 1 Lucky 15 Tips & Predictions

124/1 Cheltenham Festival Day 1 Lucky 15 Tips & Predictions

Monday 9 March, 20261 min read
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Dave Revers

Dave is our resident horse racing expert, who has a particular penchant for jumps racing. He is based in London, within touching distance of his favourite track, Sandown.

After posting 30+ units of profit last year, Dave is back with his daily Cheltenham tips.

There's plenty of Cheltenham Festival tips available:

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🗒️ Cheltenham Day 1 E/W Lucky 15

Fixtures for: Tuesday 10th March

Cheltenham

13:20

Mighty Park E/W @ 4.50

In what promises to be the most open and competitive Cheltenham Festival, in many years, I’m extremely excited for the best week in the racing calendar!

Old Park Star sets the standard, as a Grade Two hurdle winner. He is a big, imposing type, who certainly has scope for further improvement, and I expect he will be an even better chaser in time. Nicky Henderson has won this race with superstars in the past, such as Altior, Shishkin and Constitution Hill, but I don’t have Old Park Star in that bracket. I’m opposing him, mainly due to the fact that pretty much the whole field is completely unexposed – with the majority heading here after maiden/novice successes. 

MIGHTY PARK may have been the ‘talk horse’ in the last week or so, I admit, but there is no denying the increased confidence coming out of the Mullins camp lately. The J P McManus-owned runner absolutely trounced his rivals in maiden company at Fairyhouse in January. It may have been a blessing to miss his intended next target at the Dublin Racing Festival – with the ground bottomless that weekend. He arrives here – yes lacking experience – but with most of the field in a similar position, he has considerable scope for improvement. He may just outclass the opposition here.

Cheltenham

15:20

Jagwar E/W @ 4.50

It is no surprise that JAGWAR leads the betting for this stamina test. Oliver Greenall and Josh Guerriero train the top two in the market for J P McManus. I’m strongly in the mindset of Iroko running well here, prior to his main target of Grand National glory next month.

Jagwar was another winner for us here last season, over 2m4f. He has been such a model of consistency over fences – especially at this venue – with course form figures of 1132. His excellent runner-up position over the extended 2m4f trip here in January, suggested that the rise to 3m1f could eke out a notch of further improvement. I’m confident of a bold showing.

Cheltenham

16:20

Downmexicoway E/W @ 10.00

McLaurey may prove to be a well-handicapped individual for notable connections, but I’m not prepared to support the likely favourite, given he was disappointing on sole visit to Cheltenham. I prefer to back DOWNMEXICOWAY each-way, following a good start to his chase career.

The Henry De Bromhead-trained runner was an easy chase debut winner, prior to a sound 2nd at Grade Two level. He returned to winning ways, stepping back into handicap company, before showing up well behind a strong pair of rivals in Grade One company. A mark of 145 may underestimate his ability, for a horse who has scope for improvement now raised in trip (point winner over three miles).

Cheltenham

17:20

Iceberg Theory E/W @ 10.00

I was impressed with ICEBURG THEORY last-time-out, when an easy winner at Cork in November. That was a second chase win from just three attempts, showing considerable potential for staying distances. The rise in trip may eke further progress, and he is definitely an unexposed horse on the rise. Irish horses have dominated this race in the last 10 years, with seven winners trained from the Emerald Isle.

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What To Back After Cheltenham Tonight

Showing 1 result
Football
Andy Robson

Bournemouth v Manchester United Bet Builder @ 3.81

Alex Jimenez was dropped to the bench last weekend, but the Spaniard has been a regular at right back for Bournemouth in recent weeks and should reclaim his starting spot here over Adam Smith. Jimenez has proven his versatility this season, as he has featured in more advanced areas, but the 20-year-old has dropped into a more natural fullback role since the emergence of Rayan. 

Because of that, Jimenez should be directly up against Matheus Cunha on the flank on Friday night, which is a matchup to keep an eye on. The Brazilian international is averaging 2.17 fouls drawn per 90 this season across all competitions, and he was fouled five times against Newcastle in his last away outing. 

Jimenez is averaging 1.45 fouls per 90 on home turf this season, and he has landed this selection in eight of his eleven home starts.

Bournemouth had a bit of an injury crisis in midfield when these sides last met, as Lewis Cook was suspended, Ryan Christie was injured, and Tyler Adams suffered a knock just eight minutes into the match. That meant Marcus Tavernier had to play deeper than usual, but he was still a standout performer at Old Trafford, finishing the game with a goal and an assist to his name. 

Tavernier had four shots in total, with three of those efforts hitting the target, and he has again been heavily involved since returning from injury. Tavernier has landed this bet in each of his last three starts, with 13 shots in that time.

Even though just 32% of his efforts in the Premier League have hit the target, Tavernier’s shot volume tends to be high, and he is averaging 2.48 shots per 90 in the league. He is the designated free-kick taker for the Cherries, and could also be on penalties. 

There were plenty of chances available at either end of the field in that game, with neither side offering much defensive resistance.

The hosts generated 3.4 xG from their 25 shots, while Bournemouth managed 14 attempts at goal themselves. Both goalkeepers were also kept busy, finishing the game with five saves apiece, highlighting how there could have been even more goals. 

That game had a bit of everything - goals, cards, and even corners. There were nine in total, with five for Man United and four for Bournemouth. Andoni Iraiola's side have been a team to target for corners all season, as they can be quite direct in their approach, and often look to play through wide areas.

They are averaging 10.9 corners per game in the Premier League this season, with 5.7 for and 5.2 against. This selection has landed in 12 of their last 13 league matches.

Bournemouth have been stalemate specialists over the last few weeks, as they have drawn each of their last four matches coming into this clash. Three of those games have seen no goals at all for either side, which is unusual, given how Bournemouth games are usually quite open and entertaining to watch. 

However, Bournemouth have still been able to create some good chances, and it seems like the goals will start flowing again soon. They somehow failed to score against Burnley last time out, despite registering 22 shots worth 2.55 xG. 

BTTS has landed in 12 of Man United’s last 13 away games, making this an excellent opportunity for Bournemouth to break their duck. However, keeping Man United at bay has proven to be no easy task, as they have scored in every game since November. Also, it finished 4-4 when these sides met in the reverse fixture at Old Trafford.

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🔮 Cheltenham 2026 Predictions at Andy's Bet Club

Andy's Bet Club is the place to be for expert horse racing tips ahead of the 2026 Cheltenham Festival.

We'll have a combination of expert racing tips and stats from our free-to-use tools to give you the best chance of ending the festival in profit, like Dave's Cheltenham Day 1 Best BetsCheltenham Day 1 Place Accumulator Betting Tips, and Cheltenham Day 1 E/W Betting Predictions.

We'll collate the best boosts from all major bookmakers ahead of Day 1 of Cheltenham, such as our Cheltenham Day 1 Best BoostsCheltenham Day 1 bet365 Boost, and if you want to set up a new account, our Cheltenham Day 1 Free Bets.

If you are a fan of free-to-play games, there are plenty to take part in over the Cheltenham Festival. We'll have a breakdown of predictions for each to give you the best chance of winning, like our Day 1 Paddy Power Horse Racing Eliminator PredictionsDay 1 bet365 6 Horses Challenge Tips, and Day 1 ITV7 Predictions.


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