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Cheltenham Festival Day 1 Each Way Tips 1

Cheltenham Festival Day 1 Each-Way Tips

Tuesday 10 March, 20262 min read
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Racing Hit Rates

Our database of UK and Irish racing goes back many years, and it allows us to run calculations on how they have performed over time. We calculate the percentage (Hit Rate) of how often the horse has won, or finished in the top 2, 3, 4 and so on. These calculations cover all of their races, but can also be set to distance and ground conditions. So that we can provide the most relevant hit rates for the race.

In this article...

We've collated a list of the seven best E/W Bets ahead of Day 1 of Cheltenham 2026, each of which is powered by our free-to-use Racing Hit Rates Tool.

📊 Hit Rates show what percentage of times a horse has won or placed in the top 3, 4, or 5, which can also be filtered by distance and ground conditions for any race in the UK, every day.

We have every betting angle covered ahead of Day 1 of the Cheltenham Festival on Andy's Bet Club, including:

🎁 Cheltenham Day 1 Free Bets
🐎 Cheltenham Day 1 Cheat Sheets
🐎 Cheltenham Day 1 Best Bets
🐎 Cheltenham Day 1 Place Accumulator
🐎 Cheltenham Day 1 Lucky 15

If you want to access Dave's E/W Best Bets at these odds, you'll need a Paddy Power account.

New customers can sign up by clicking the link, placing £10 on any E/W bet, and they'll unlock £60 in Free Bets whether the horse wins or loses on Day 1.


1️⃣ 13:20 - Supreme Novices’ Hurdle

✅ Best E/W Bet
  • Cheltenham
  • 13:20
1 Selection @ 34.00

Baron Noir E/W

Placing in the top three in 87% of his races, BARON NOIR has been consistent in his three racecourse appearances over hurdles, and although taking a big step up in grade, he does hold each-way claims at a big price.

Scoring twice in bumpers before embarking on his hurdles journey in November last year, Baron Noir finished a respectable three lengths second behind Cristal D’estruval, who then went on to win by a dominant 38 lengths next time out and remains unbeaten. Form that stacks up well, Baron Noir won at Uttoxeter to wrap up last year before producing a career-best when staying on well over the 2m trip at Kempton.

No doubt about it, he will need to improve to take this race away from the likes of Old Park Star and Talk The Talk. However, he is still unexposed over hurdles and given his

Paddy Power
A £5 E/W bet on this bet returns £208 if it wins.
Load bet @ 34.00
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2️⃣ 14:00 - Arkle Chase

✅ Best E/W Bet
  • Cheltenham
  • 14:00
1 Selection @ 15.00

Steel Ally E/W

After pulling up in two of his last three appearances over hurdles, STEEL ALLY made the transition to fences, where he has thrived and is currently unbeaten.

Winning all three of his starts over the larger obstacles, his performances have been getting better and better with every appearance, landing two Grade 2 races with ease at Ascot and Warwick more recently. Jumping extremely well at Ascot in December to win by nine lengths before improving to beat Mirabad by 10 lengths at Warwick, his jumping has been impressive since making the transition, and although he is facing his toughest test to date, he is open to further improvement.

Versatile in terms of ground, Steel Ally has won on good to soft, soft, and heavy in his three chase starts, so the ground won’t cause him any issues, and although there are only two places on offer, his A game will make him a real threat in the Arkle.

Paddy Power
A £5 E/W bet on this returns £97 if it wins.
Load bet @ 15.00
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3️⃣ 14:40 - Festival Juvenile Handicap Hurdle

✅ Best E/W Bet
  • Cheltenham
  • 14:40
1 Selection @ 17.00

Pourquoi Pas Papa E/W

Finishing in the top three in 100% of his races, POURQUOI PAS PAPA has recorded results of 2,2,2,1,2 over hurdles, and given he wasn’t a million miles away from the reopposing Manlaga last time out, he holds solid each-way claims.

Winning at Wincanton in January in testing conditions, he followed up with a bold display at Haydock, where he was beaten by 2 ¼ lengths off Manlaga, but given he comfortably beat The Mighty Celt by 7 ½ lengths (3rd) and is close in the betting for today’s affair, I know where my money is heading. Poised for a bold performance and considering there are six places on offer for this race, he’s a solid each-way option for the Fred Winter.

Racing out of Paul Nicholls’ yard, who has won this race three times, all with recruits from France, Pourquoi Pas Papa could add to that trend today and can’t be overlooked.

Paddy Power
A £5 E/W bet on this returns £106 if it wins.
Load bet @ 17.00
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4️⃣ 15:20 - Ultima Handicap Chase

✅ Best E/W Bet
  • Cheltenham
  • 15:20
1 Selection @ 19.00

Leave of Absence E/W

LEAVE OF ABSENCE is a consistent nine-year-old who has finished inside the top three in 83% of his racecourse appearances, and considering there are six places on offer today, he needs to enter calculations.

Producing a spell of promising form of late, albeit without a win in his last three starts, but he hasn’t done himself any disservice in the way he has run and looks likely to come on further in today’s Ultima. A previous course and distance winner last year, and considering he should have won at Ascot in December when beaten by a head, promising signs are coming from the nine-year-old.

Seeing market support last time out in the Denman Chase when met with unsuited heavy ground, today should be interesting to see how he fares back on ground that he enjoys, and you’re likely to see him race prominently from the get-go.

Paddy Power
A £5 E/W bet on this returns £118 if it wins.
Load bet @ 19.00
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5️⃣ 16:00 - Champion Hurdle

✅ Best E/W Bet
  • Cheltenham
  • 16:00
1 Selection @ 17.00

Alexei E/W

Placing in the top three in 77% of his races, ALEXEI is going under the radar, with the majority looking at the top two in the betting.

Steering away from Lossiemouth and The New Lion, Alexei has produced some very credible form of late, winning three of his five starts in the last six months and looking likely to progress further. Winning at Ascot in November before scoring over course and distance in the Greatwood, he’s piecing together some strong form and building a solid case for today’s Champion Hurdle.

Producing a career-best last time out when winning a Grade 2 in testing conditions, today’s firmer ground is right up his street, and although he needs to improve to win today’s contest, he has been on an upwards trajectory of late.

Paddy Power
A £5 E/W bet on this returns £106 if it wins.
Load bet @ 17.00
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6️⃣ 16:40 - Festival Plate Handicap Chase

✅ Best E/W Bet
  • Cheltenham
  • 16:40
1 Selection @ 26.00

Peaky Boy E/W

Securing top three finishes in 75% of his races, PEAKY BOY has been lightly raced of late, but he’s a talented chaser on his day and could well be battling in the business end of the Plate.

Five places to aim at in the Plate boosts Peaky Boy’s appeal at a big price, and considering he loves racing here at Cheltenham, he can’t be overlooked. Winning three of his four appearances at the track, which includes two runs over hurdles, Peaky Boy is lightly raced, but he does run well after returning from an absence.

Although preparation could have gone better for today’s contest after falling at the second fence at Newcastle last month, he was returning from a year off the track and given this is his first fall in his career, he is likely to bounce back with cheekpieces in action for the first time today.

Paddy Power
A £5 E/W bet on this returns £160 if it wins.
Load bet @ 26.00
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7️⃣ 17:20 - National Hunt Chase

✅ Best E/W Bet
  • Cheltenham
  • 17:20
1 Selection @ 7.50

Kurasso Blue E/W

KURASSO BLUE is the youngest runner in today’s field (5), but considering he has finished inside the top three in 80% of his starts and there are five places on offer, he holds bold each-way claims.

Racing three times over hurdles and picking up two wins before making the transition to fences, he has replicated that same form over the larger obstacles and has improved further. Recording results of 2,1,2 Kurasso Blue has beaten some talented opposition along the way, and given he is versatile in terms of ground, with wins on good and heavy, he looks a promising entry for Gordon Elliott.

Sent over 3m for the first time in his career in January, he finished a respectable second when staying on well, and he has the potential to improve further stepping up in trip again today.

Paddy Power
A £5 E/W bet on this returns £49 if it wins.
Load bet @ 7.50
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What To Back After Cheltenham Tonight

Showing 1 result
Football

France v Sweden Bet Builder 🇫🇷🇸🇪 @ 4.97

France have enough quality to win this tie, and I think they’ll do so comfortably with the attacking options they have on the pitch against a Swedish backline that I really don’t trust.

We saw France take apart a second string Norway side last time out, scoring three goals in the first half in an eventual 4-1 victory for Didier Deschamps’ side. They looked really confident in the final third with Mbappe and Dembele linking up particularly well, which is a balance many questioned before the tournament started.

France won all three of their group matches and look like the most complete side at the World Cup so far. They’ve scored 3+ goals in all of these matches, and I don’t think Sweden will be able to live with that level of firepower.

Sweden have been pretty good when it comes to getting shots and shots on target away, but like with all of Graham Potter’s sides, they struggle to convert these chances.

This has been an issue for Graham Potter since his time at Swansea. He often constructs teams that are really good between the boxes, but lack the cutting edge to put away chances or keep sides out of their own goal.

Mike Maignan is a very solid keeper and has had to make five saves at the World Cup so far (1.67 per 90), with a save percentage of 71.4%. Sweden have averaged 6.70 shots on target per game so far; only four sides have found the target more often than Graham Potter’s side.

Kylian Mbappe comes alive at the World Cup, and this tournament has been no different, with the striker scoring four goals and registering two assists across just three starts.

He’ll have his eye on another Golden Boot after clinching the accolade back in 2022 as France battled to the final in Qatar. He’s taken 16 shots at the World Cup so far (5.41 per 90), seeing nine of these efforts find the target (3.05 per 90).

France look really balanced in forward areas at the moment, with the front four of Olise, Doue, Dembele, and Mbappe complementing each other really well. Mbappe should be full of confidence again here and will get chances against a Sweden backline that is far from secure and has conceded in all three of their games so far.

Sweden may be vulnerable at the back, but they have the individual quality to pose a threat in forward areas - namely through Viktor Gyokeres and Alexander Isak, who can both be dangerous even with limited service.

Gyokeres has taken 11 shots across his three starts at the World Cup so far (3.67 per 90), finding the back of the net once with these efforts. He’s seen five of these attempts find the target (1.67 per 90). He scored four goals across six starts for Sweden during qualifying, maintaining an average of exactly 1.00 shots on target per 90.

Gyokeres is the type of striker who will relish an individual battle with Upamecano and his centre-back partner, and actually tends to be at his best when he’s playing for a side that will feed him down the channels when Sweden can get the ball forward in transition.

Upamecano has been pretty solid for France at the back so far, but I still think he has a mistake in him and will have to be alert to the threat of Sweden’s front two, as well as Anthony Elanga, who can be a real asset to Graham Potter’s side in transition.

Upamecano has committed three fouls across his three starts at the World Cup so far, committing one in each game. His main battle here will be with Viktor Gyokeres, who has been fouled three times across his three matches so far, and maintained an average of 1.33 fouls won per 90 for Sweden during qualifying. 

Upamecano wasn’t really tested during qualifying, with France having a relatively kind qualifying group, but did average 0.75 fouls committed per 90 across his 21 starts for Bayern Munich in the Bundesliga during the 25/26 campaign

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🔮 Cheltenham 2026 Predictions at Andy's Bet Club

Andy's Bet Club is fully set ahead of the start of Cheltenham 2026.

From Tuesday through to Friday, we'll have everything you need to end the Cheltenham Festival in profit, like our Cheltenham Day 1 Place Accumulator, Cheltenham Day 1 Lucky 15 Betting Tips, and Cheltenham Day 1 Best Bets Predictions.

We have collated the best-value existing boosts for each Day of Cheltenham in our Cheltenham Day 1 Best Boosts, Cheltenham Day 1 bet365 Boost, Cheltenham William Hill Epic Boost and if you want to set up a new account, our Cheltenham Day 1 Free Bets.

If you are a fan of free-to-play games, there are plenty to take part in over the Cheltenham Festival. We'll have a breakdown of predictions for each to give you the best chance of winning, like our Day 1 Paddy Power Horse Racing Eliminator Predictions, Day 1 bet365 6 Horses Challenge Tips, and Day 1 ITV7 Predictions.

If you're looking for free bets for the 2026 Cheltenham Festival, here are a few new customer free bet offers we recommend: the Unibet Cheltenham Festival Offer, the Betfred New Customer Cheltenham Offer, the William Hill Cheltenham Festival Free Bet Offer, and the Best Odds Cheltenham New Customer Promotion.

The BoyleSports Cheltenham Festival Free Bet Offer is also worth looking into, as well as the SBK New Customer Offer for Cheltenham, Dabble Cheltenham Offer, and Betway Cheltenham Festival Offer.


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