In this article…
Aston Villa v Club Brugge
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Kick Off: Wednesday 12th March at 20:00
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Competition: Champions League
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What TV Channel: TNT Sports 1
After 82 minutes of last week’s first leg this round of 16 tie between Aston Villa and Club Brugge was in the balance with the game at 1-1, and looking like the match was fizzling out into a draw. However, a Brandon Mechele own goal and a Marco Asensio penalty in the dying embers of the game mean that Aston Villa bring a 3-1 lead back to Villa Park for the second leg and are in complete control of the tie.
⭐ Aston Villa v Club Brugge Best Bet
It’s a strong position that Aston Villa find themselves in. Unai Emery’s men have lost just one home game in the Premier League this season and their great home record extends into the Champions League where they have beaten Bayern Munich 1-0, Bologna 2-0 and Celtic 4-2 as well as drawing 0-0 with Juventus.
That’s three clean sheets in four Champions League home matches and the Celtic game was an anomaly being the final game of the league stage, in which Aston Villa were aware the goal difference could make a difference to their qualifying spot.
Aston Villa showcased early in the competition when they hosted Bayern Munich that they were comfortable playing with just 33% possession and allowing 16 shots at their goal. They should be able to mix control of the game with the ball with a compact defensive shape out of possession and that most likely means a low-scoring game.
🟢 Aston Villa v Club Brugge ABC Exclusive Boost
Back in the league stage fixture between these two clubs in November, Club Brugge out-shot Aston Villa 12 to eight. In last week’s 1st leg, Club Brugge out-shot Aston Villa 11 to six, and the onus is on Club Brugge to go on the offensive as they try to bridge the two goal gap they need to turn the tie around.
Club Brugge have a striker in good form in Spaniard Ferran Jutgla. Jutgla has scored five goals in his last seven matches, including strikes in both legs of Club Brugge’s play-off round victory v Atalanta, and a brace in Sunday’s Brugge derby v Cercle.
He is averaging 2.31 shots per game in all competitions this season with a 47% on target ratio. His shot numbers in his last 10 matches read: 4-0-1-1-3-2-3-3-1-4.
Jutgla is marked up appealingly at 1.67 for a shot on target here – something he has achieved in seven of his last 10 matches. But for a fun longshot, how about throwing a dart on him to have the first shot on target in each half at a huge price of 90/1.
👕 Aston Villa v Club Brugge Predicted XI
🔍 Aston Villa v Club Brugge Players to Watch
🟣 Emiliano Martinez
Robin Olsen took the gloves for Aston Villa’s Saturday evening’s Premier League fixture at Brentford with Martinez deemed unavailable with a muscle problem. But, big time matches require big time players and the World Cup winner is expected to come straight back into the team here.
Aston Villa have been reliant on Martinez for an extended period of time with the glovesman playing a massive part in his team’s 4th-place Premier League finish last season, their run to the Conference League semi-finals and this season’s Champions League campaign. Aston Villa’s defensive setup prioritises being compact in the penalty area and encourages opponents to shoot from low-probability positions with the confidence that Martinez will make the routine saves.
In nine Champions League matches this season Martinez’s save numbers read 5-7-3-4-2-4-4-3-2. Club Brugge are averaging 9.91 shots per game in the Champions League this season with a 38% on target ratio.
In a game where Club Brugge have no choice but to be front-footed, Aston Villa goalkeeper saves appeals at evens.
⚫ Ferran Jutgla
For Club Brugge to stand a chance of turning the tie around, they are likely to need a strong showing from striker Ferran Jutgla and he is priced at 1.67 for a shot on target.
Jutgla has taken a shot in nine out of 11 Champions League matches this season and has scored twice, once in each leg of the play-off round win over Atalanta.
Jutgla had four shots and two on target, netting a brace v Cercle Brugge on Sunday where he ended the game with 0.94 xG – his highest single game total of the season.
Five of Jutgla’s nine goals this season have come in his last seven matches, showing that he comes into the fixture in his best form of the season.
📂 Aston Villa v Club Brugge Cheat Sheet
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🔥 Aston Villa v Club Brugge Streaks
These are team selections that have landed in the last five Champions League games ↙️
Aston Villa opponents 3+ corners
Aston Villa 8+ fouls won (11+ in 4/5)
🏟️ Aston Villa v Club Brugge Hit Rates
These are player selections that have landed in each of the last five Champions League games ↙️
Watkins 1+ fouls committed
Konsa 1+ fouls won
Cash 1+ shots
Watkins 1+ shots
Onyedika 1+ fouls committed
Tzolis 1+ shots (2+ in 4/5)
Onyedika 1+ shots
🏁 Aston Villa v Club Brugge Ref Watch
- Referee – Daniel Siebert
| Average Cards (Y / R) | 3.75 / 0.00 |
| Fouls Given | 21..50 |
| Penalties | 0.75 |
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* All odds displayed correct at the time of publishing.
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