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Everton v Newcastle Bet Builder Tips
Our expert has put together two bet builders for this Saturday evening’s Premier League fixture, level 1 is just shy of 3/1 and level 2 is over 10/1. We also have further in-depth coverage of this game in our Everton v Newcastle betting preview.
3/1 Everton v Newcastle Bet Builder Level 1
10/1 Everton v Newcastle Bet Builder Level 2
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Level 1 Bet Builder Tip
🎯 Harvey Barnes to have 1+ Shots on Target
📈 Odds: 1.53
Despite initially not being selected in the starting XI by Eddie Howe, Barnes has surely secured his place in the squad following back-to-back goals against Tottanham, Wolves and Fulham.
In each of his last four Premier League matches, Barnes has tested the keeper at least once, despite only playing 45 minutes against Wolves and 60 minutes against Tottenham. Most recently he fired one off against Man City who you’d expect to be far stronger defensively than Everton.
The chances should certainly come his way given Everton have conceded an average of 5.33 shots on target per game this season.
🧤 Newcastle GK to make 2+ Saves
📈 Odds: 1.20
Newcastle no longer resemble the solid defensive side they once did with Nick Pope being called into action much more than Eddie Howe would have hoped for.
The Englishman has made 3 or more saves in every league game so far, averaging 5.75 across the last four, and 4.84 overall. That said, we think banking on two is a safer bet given Everton aren’t exactly the most prolific attacking team in the league.
Nonetheless, they’ve forced an average of two saves per game despite having a pretty tough run of fixtures including the likes of Brighton, Tottenham and Aston Villa.
🚀 Jesper Lindstrom to have 2+ Shots
📈 Odds: 1.20
Lindstrøm hasn’t exactly set the world on fire since his loan move to Everton, but he broke into the starting 11 against Leicester and is likely to remain there for now.
In his limited gametime, the Danish international has averaged 3.04 shots per 90 in the league, in addition to firing off two shots against Southampton in the Carabao Cup. All of his open play shots have come from inside the box but we also saw him take a freekick against Leicester which could be significant.
He didn’t get a lot of gametime last season for Napoli but in his six hours of football he averaged a shot every 30 minutes. Previous to that he clocked 1700 minutes for Eintracht Frankfurt where he averaged 2.39 shots per game in the Bundesliga.
🛑 Everton to commit 11+ Fouls
📈 Odds: 1.30
Last season Everton committed the fourth most fouls of any Premier League side, averaging 12 per 90 minutes. This season they haven’t quite reached those heights but their average of 11 still implies value here.
Most of their fouls have come at the back end of this season, with Everton committing 12 or more in each of the last three, in matches against Aston Villa, Leicester and Crystal Palace.
No team has been on the receiving end of more fouls this season than Newcastle who are averaging 15 fouls drawn per game. Fulham, Wolves, Southampton and Bournemouth all sinned at least 16 times in their clashes with The Magpies.
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Level 2 Bet Builder Tip
🩹 Anthony Gordon to be Fouled 2+ Times
📈 Odds: 1.62
Anthony Gordon has been prolific in the fouls drawn department this season, averaging 3.35 fouls won per 90. That’s a significant step up from his still impressive 2.08 average last season.
The Englishman has started all six of Newcastle’s games, missing less than half an hour of Premier League football this season. Over that period he’s drawn at least two fouls in every game.
It’s difficult to tell who he might come up against given he’s been deployed in varying positions across the front three but Everton have committed 12+ fouls in each of their last three thanks to their porous zonal marking system. If Gordon is given a similar degree of expressive freedom, he’s sure to be brought down on two or more occasions.
⚽️ Over 2.5 Goals
📈 Odds: 1.57
Although Newcastle’s matches have varied in terms of how many shots have found the back of the net, the underlying figures suggest their games should have produced pretty much 20 goals given their average of 3.32 expected goals per game.
Everton on the other hand have been enthralled in frequent exciting affairs even if the result has generally not favoured them. Five of their six league games have seen three or more goals scored, averaging 3.67 per game in total. Their only game which failed to his the threshold was that against Leicester, despite an accumulation of 3.16xG between the two sides.
🩹 Bruno Guimaraes to be Fouled 3+ Times
📈 Odds: 2.00
Guimaraes has long been a great asset for punters looking for value in the fouls market but he seems to have taken it up a notch once more.
The tricky Brazilian midfielder is the most fouled player in the Premier League this season, having drawn 24 fouls in his first six games.
That includes at least three in every match bar their clash with Man CIty where he still managed two. He can easily be excused for that given Newcastle retained just 37% of possession and Man City average no more than 7 fouls per game, the second lowest in the league.
🩹 Vitalii Mykolenko to be Fouled 1+ Times
📈 Odds: 2.25
Although Mykolenko may not be the first name that jumps to mind when looking at the fouls drawn market, the bookmakers seem to have massively overlooked his value.
The Ukrainian left-back has already been brought down eight times this season, contributing to an average of 1.87 fouls won per 90.
Across all competitions including the international break, Mykolenko has been fouled at least once in seven out of eight games (45+ minutes played). Included in that run are clashes with Tottenham, Bournemouth and Albania, against each of whom he drew three fouls.
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At Andy’s Bet Club, our in-depth expert football tips are everything you could need when planning your punting throughout the 2024/25 season.
Our experts have also put together a selection of shots on target predictions, card betting tips and player fouls predictions that you can include in your bet builders. Meanwhile, our bet builder stats tool allows bettors to access the data to inform their own selections.
You should also be making your money go further by backing our tips on the top bet builder sites, best UK sports betting sites and by using the best weekly free bet clubs and taking advantage of the best Premier League free bet offers.
* I recommend waiting for confirmed team line-ups before placing any bets.
* All odds displayed correct at the time of publishing.
Written by an Andy verified content writer
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