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Fulham v Tottenham
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Kick Off: Saturday 16th March at 17:30
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Competition: Premier League
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Watch Live: Sky Sports Main Event
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The Premier League has a reduced card this weekend and perhaps the most high-profile fixture is this London derby at Craven Cottage where Fulham host Spurs. This is a match that means far more to the visitors who are on the hunt for the top four places and were massively buoyed by beating Villa 4-0 away last week.
It’s been a successful first season for Ange Postecoglou in North London. He has implemented a very watchable style of football and brought a sense of togetherness at the club which hadn’t been seen for some time. It’s no surprise to see the visitors clear favourites to win around the 2.10 mark.
Fulham are a tricky side to judge because they are capable of producing anything on the day. Marco Silva’s men regularly outplay the opposition and are perceived as the best team on the field, but they don’t always convert their metrics into goals and points. They have an extremely mixed 8-1-5 home record but they generally must be respected in front of their own fans. Now that they are on 35 points the Cottagers are one of the first candidates to be ‘on the beach’ this season as they are entering no man’s land in the table, not in any relegation trouble but too far away from the European spots.
Fulham v Tottenham Cheat Sheet
This Cheat Sheet and Preview was created using predicted lineups.
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⚽ Goals stats: Recent form suggests overs
Spurs matches average 3.60 goals per game in the Premier League this season and no team has more over 2.5 goal fixtures (22/27). Ange Postecoglou plays a very attacking style which sometimes leaves them open, but when things click then Spurs can be unstoppable. We saw that last week when they thrashed Villa and didn’t take their foot off the gas that this can be a train of attacks until the final whistle.
Tottenham have overachieved offensively this season but that is always going to happen when you have individual quality like Son to fall back on. They have a lot of goals in this team from various different positions.
Over 2.5 goals can be backed at 1.50 which actually looks a big price and is perhaps only obtainable because of Fulham’s reputation. The Cottagers will fancy their chances against this Spurs defence though who have been indebted to goalkeeper Guglielmo Vicario this season.
Fulham have been involved in six straight games ending with over 2.5 goals and their defensive numbers have been especially worrying this season. They rank inside the bottom six for xGA which will be music to Spurs’ ears. This should be an open game with a high chance of a minimum of three goals being scored.
Predictions:
⚽ Over 2.5 goals @ 1.50
🎯 Shooting stats: Both teams to pepper the goal
With this expected to be quite a high-scoring game and potentially end-to-end then it also makes sense to look into the shots market. Fulham average 4.6 shots on target per game so to take them to achieve this minimum average by backing them to have 4 or more shots on target could be a nice bet builder addition.
Vicario has been overworked in the Spurs goal this season. In a home match, any team would be disappointed not to have at least four attempts on target and it seems well within Fulham’s reach. Spurs concede an average of nearly 13 shots per game so we only need a third of those to be on target for this bet to cash.
Spurs average 5.9 shots on target per game which is one of the highest rates in the Premier League. Only the likes of Man City, Arsenal and Liverpool are ahead of them in this category.
Spurs to have five or more shots on target here at odds of 1.36 looks a fairly safe option. They are playing away from home so we shouldn’t go too overboard with the line, but this feels well within their range. Fulham have one of the worst xGA records in the league and one of the main reasons for that is they concede over 14 shots per game. We can expect both keepers to be very busy here so as a consequence the shots on target are likely to pile up.
Predictions:
⚽ Fulham to have 4+ shots on target @ 1.44
⚽ Spurs to have 5+ shots on target @ 1.36
🛑 Fouls stats: Palhinha reliable to get stuck in
Neither side ranks overly highly for cards or fouls this season but if you delve deeper into every team then there are always individuals who stand out. Joao Palhinha is the main enforcer in Fulham’s midfield and averages 1.70 fouls per game in the Premier League.
The Portuguese international was linked with some big clubs in the January transfer window but Fulham managed to keep him. He racked up a huge 14 cards last season and already has 11 this term.
Palhinha is as short as 1.06 to commit one or more fouls which is as short as you will ever see anyone in this market. The 1.44 on offer that he makes two or more fouls should be very reliable considering the occasion and the opponent.
Predictions:
⚽ Joao Palhinha to commit 2+ fouls @ 1.44
⚽ Joao Palhinha to be shown a card @ 2.75
* I recommend waiting for confirmed team line-ups before placing any bets.
* All odds displayed correct at the time of publishing.
Written by an Andy verified content writer
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