Alessandro Bastoni averages 1.29 fouls per game, and in this matchup, he’ll be up against Lazio’s attacking threats who are skilled at drawing fouls, including Valentin Castellanos (1.29 fouls drawn per game) and Gustav Isaksen (1 foul drawn per game). Lazio’s physicality is evident, averaging 12.47 fouls drawn per game, meaning Bastoni is likely to be involved in defensive actions that lead to fouls. Given Lazio’s tendency to pressure and disrupt defenders, it’s highly probable Bastoni will commit at least 1 foul as he tries to contain their dynamic attack.

Both Lazio and Inter have been prolific in front of goal this season. Lazio average 2.00 goals per game, while Inter score 2.27 goals per game, resulting in a combined average of 3.13 and 3.27 goals in their matches, respectively. Additionally, neither defence is completely airtight – Lazio concede 1.13 goals per game, and Inter 1.00. Given both teams’ attacking strength, it’s likely this match will see over 2.5 goals, with both sides more than capable of exploiting defensive vulnerabilities.

Marcus Thuram has been a standout performer for Inter, averaging 2.47 shots per game and 1.33 shots on target. As Inter’s main offensive threat, most of their attacking play flows through him. Lazio allow only 2.80 shots on target per game but against the league’s second-most prolific attack this is sure to rise, which creates a promising opportunity for Thuram to add to his tally. Given his shooting frequency it’s highly likely Thuram will have at least one shot on target in this match. His role as a key attacker makes this bet a strong choice.

Lazio are known for their attacking play, averaging 5.73 corners per game, a testament to their high tempo and wide play. Inter, while solid defensively, still concede an average of 2.67 corners per game. Given Lazio’s attacking style, they will likely pressure Inter’s defence throughout the game resulting in a number of corners. With their ability to consistently earn set pieces and Inter’s occasional defensive lapses, it’s reasonable to expect Lazio to surpass 3.5 corners in this match.

Inter have averaged 6.27 corners per game in Serie A this season, with a strong attacking focus that generates plenty of set piece opportunities. Lazio, though defensively solid, still concede a fairly high 4.13 corners per game, and Inter often attack wide leading to teams conceding more corner kicks than usual. With Inter’s offensive approach and Lazio’s tendency to give away corners under defensive pressure, it’s likely that Inter will surpass 4.5 corners in this matchup.

Lazio have averaged 5.33 shots on target per game this season, a solid number that highlights their attacking intent. Inter, though pretty defensively strong, conceded on average 3.20 shots on target per game. With Lazio’s dangerous offensive players, including the likes of Mattia Zaccagni and Isaksen likely to be involved in attacking sequences, they should have ample chances to test Inter’s goalkeeper. Lazio’s tendency to create multiple shooting opportunities, coupled with Inter’s tendency to allow a few shots on target, makes it fairly likely Lazio will register at least 4 shots on target in this game.

Given the intensity and stakes of this match, a high card count is a real possibility. Lazio’s games average 5.53 cards per match, reflecting their aggressive playing style and willingness to press. Inter’s matches, though typically less card-heavy, still average 2.73 cards per game. With both teams involved in physical confrontations and key players like Rovella and Denzel Dumfries (who tend to foul a lot) as well as Lazio’s overall general aggressive play, the likelihood of fouls and subsequent yellow cards is high.

Lautaro Martínez has been in solid goalscoring form this season, with 5 goals to his name, making him Inter’s second-highest scorer. A constant threat in front of goal, he averages 2.9 shots per game and 1.1 shots on target per game. Despite a slight dip in form recently, Martínez will be eager to make an impact in this high-stakes match. Known for his determination in big games, he will likely be highly motivated to get on the scoresheet and prove himself, making him a strong candidate to score at any point during the match.