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As ever, Andy’s Bet Club is decked out with all the football tips and betting predictions you could ask for, but before you dive into those, and what our expert has to say about this top-of-the-table Serie A clash, make sure you’re getting the most for your money by scouring our selection of free bet offers and latest bookmaker offers.
As always, there is a huge range of expert predictions across our site, covering games from across Europe, so why not check out our European football tips or our hand-crafted European football accumulator tips?
Juventus v Inter Milan
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Kick Off: Sunday 26th November at 19:45
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Competition: Serie A
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Watch Live: TNT Sports 1
The Derby d’Italia is always one of the biggest dates on the Italian football calendar, and the rivalry between Inter and Juventus only grows when they are vying for a Scudetto.
Inter hold a narrow two-point advantage, but this title race looks set to go down to the wire, with both sides having been perfect through their last four league games whilst those behind them stumbled.
With Inter and Juve racking up wins comfortably so far this season, you get the sense that games between the two, even this early on, could have a huge bearing on the destination of the trophy come May.
This will not be lost on Juve, who will have to head to the San Siro in the closing weeks of the season, so they will be keen to take advantage of having this game at the Allianz Stadium.
Though Juve, masterminded by the wily Massimiliano Allegri, have been able to hang onto Inter’s coattails to this point, how long they can stay in touch remains to be seen.
Inter’s goal difference is +23 compared to the Old Lady’s +12, and new Inter goalkeeper Yann Sommer has kept eight clean sheets in 12 games.
All this suggests that they may be a much better side than their two-point cushion suggests, but the Turin side disrupting their rhythm by claiming all three points here would throw a spanner in the works, and they are more than capable.
Even with nothing on the line, there is always fire in the bellies of players on both sides of this huge derby, so we should expect some serious fireworks here on Sunday evening. That makes it a perfect game for a bet builder, so have a read of our research and if you like the sound of our tips, why not follow us in?
Juventus v Inter Milan Cheat Sheet
This Cheat Sheet and Preview was created using predicted lineups.
The research in this piece has been pulled together using the Juventus v Inter Milan Cheat Sheet. There’s a wide range of stats to choose from, be it player cards or team shots on target. We even have referee stats so you know when cards are likely to fly.
There are so many ways to use our Cheat Sheets, and we encourage you to find your own methods for helping you pick a winning bet builder, however, if you’re unsure of how to use a Cheat Sheet, just click the link for some quick tips to help you make the most of it.
You can find Juventus v Inter Milan bet builder match stats on my Bet Builder stats tool, along with official line-ups one hour before kick-off.
🥅 Goals stats: Can pragmatist Allegri tame the league leaders?
Juventus have kept it tight this season, as you would expect from an Allegri side. Just four of their 12 Serie A games have seen three or more goals scored, and Juventus themselves have scored more than one goal only once in their last four league games, a 2-1 win at Cagliari before the international break.
However, they have only been shut out once this season as well, by Atalanta in Bergamo. Recording just 0.2 xG in that game, there were some concerns about their attacking unit, but a subsequent switch to 3-5-2 has seen Allegri’s men score in five consecutive games since, conceding just once.
Inter’s clean sheet record is similarly impressive, notching eight from 12, but they have been far and away better at putting the ball in the net than their rivals from Turin. They have already recorded impressive wins against Fiorentina and Milan at home this season, beating them 4-0 and 5-1 respectively, so playing the tougher teams has not fazed them so far.
Inter have not failed to score in a single game in all competitions this season and have scored at least twice in nine of their 12 games in this Serie A campaign. As good as Juventus have been defensively, it would be a huge shock if Inter did not get themselves on the scoresheet, especially with Lautaro Martinez in scintillating form, having bagged 12 goals already in the league alone.
With the defensive records of both sides, there is serious value to be found in the both teams to score market. Although both are capable of shutting the other out on their day, we expect Juventus to find the net at least once at home and Inter are capable of beating any side handily on their day. This may not be the highest-scoring game, but goals for both sides looks very possible here.
Predictions:
🏆 Over 0.5 Juventus goals @ 1.40
🏆 Both teams to score @ 1.80
🎯 Shooting stats: Don’t overcomplicate it, Chiesa and Martinez are the way to go
He may well be an extremely obvious choice here, but it is hard to look past Inter’s Argentine striker, Lautaro Martinez.
He has failed to have a single shot in a game just once this season and has now had 2+ shots in each of his last eight games. He has managed to combine this with an impressive streak of six games in which he has had at least one shot on target, starting with a 36-minute substitute appearance against Salernitana in which he scored all four goals in Inter’s 4-0 win.
Martinez has scored in four of Inter’s last six games, and though his odds are short, there is still value to be found in backing him for shots. Avoid backing him on the score or assist market, as he has managed just a single assist all season but taking him as an anytime scorer offers good value considering his record in 2023/24.
It is an even more clear-cut choice for Juventus, with Federico Chiesa absolutely dominating the shooting metrics.
Chiesa has had at least one shot in all nine of his starts this season and has registered a minimum of one shot on target in seven of his starts. Though he has not scored since September, he has not been discouraged from shooting in the slightest, and there is little reason to expect that to change here.
Across Juventus’ last three home games, the Italian forward has had 11 shots, but it must be noted that these were against significantly weaker sides and thus we should not expect him to keep to his average of 3.66 per 90 again today.
However, having piled in at least two shots in seven of his nine starts in Serie A, two or more shots looks very plausible.
Predictions:
🎯 Lautaro Martinez to have 1+ shots on target @ 1.36
⚽ Lautaro Martinez to score anytime @ 2.80
🚀 Federico Chiesa to have 2+ shots @ 1.14
🎯 Federico Chiesa to have 1+ shots on target @ 1.62
🚩 Corner stats: Inter to dominate the corner battle
Barring their narrow 2-1 win over Atalanta at the end of October, the only games in which Inter have not hit the over 4.5 corner line were all huge blowout wins, 4-0 v Fiorentina, 4-0 v Salernitana, and 3-0 v Juve’s cross-city rivals Torino.
In their remaining eight games, they have generally cruised past this line, even in games against tough opposition, such as in the Milan derby in September and against Jose Mourinho’s Roma last month. They have hit 8+ corners in four games and have gone as high as 9, last time out against Frosinone.
We expect a slight drop-off, but this looks like a comfortable target for Simone Inzaghi’s men to hit.
Juventus meanwhile have averaged similar numbers for corners across the season, but have seen their corner numbers crater in games against tougher opposition. They managed two against Atalanta, three v Milan and two away to Fiorentina.
This would suggest that thanks to Allegri’s preferred defensive style, they are not often getting into positions to earn corners in games against the top sides, which opens up a nice value play on the corner match bet market, with Inter very likely to have more corners than the Old Lady here.
Predictions:
🚩 Over 4.5 Inter Milan corners @ 1.60
🚩 Inter Milan corner match bet @ 1.80
🟨 Cards stats: Cards set to fly for the Old Lady
They look set to be left in the dust in the corner department, one place Juventus have not been lacking is the card department. Their 2.75 cards per game is the third-highest average in Serie A, whilst Sunday’s visitors sit all the way at the bottom of this particular table, averaging just 1.33 per game.
Inter are not averse to getting sucked into a game that gets feisty however, with games against Milan and Roma seeing two and three cards handed out to Inter players. Whilst that Roma game was the only time this season that Inter’s players have seen three cards shown their way, Juventus have become rather more used to a high number of cards being shown.
They have seen three or more bookings in seven of their 12 Serie A games, including in all of their last four. Games against Lazio and Milan have seen five and four cards dished out to Juventus players, so the total seems to rise even more in the big games.
Again, this seems to open up a nice value play in the card match bet market. Juventus have seen more cards than their opponents in eight of their 12 Serie A games, drawing twice and losing twice.
Inter have seen more cards than their opponents just twice in 12 games, so any outcome other than more cards for Juventus would be a huge surprise.
Predictions:
🟨 Over 2.5 Juventus cards @ 1.95
🟨 Juventus to receive the most cards @ 2.10
🛑 Fouls stats: Calhanoglu and Bremer the best options here
Hakan Calhanoglu looks to be a prime target for fouls. The Turkish midfielder makes the most tackles of any Inter player and also commits the most fouls, racking up 2.04 per 90.
He will be up against Juve’s Fabio Miretti, the Italian midfielder is drawing a ridiculous 2.94 fouls per 90. Calhanoglu has committed at least one foul in 10 of his 12 Serie A starts this season, racking up 2+ in seven of those 10.
In what is likely to be a hard-fought contest between these two sides, he will be heavily involved and that tends to mean plenty of fouls. With three bookings already this season, he looks a decent option for a card bet, although caution should be exercised, as referee Marco Guida has been keeping his cards in his pocket more than usual so far this season.
For Juventus, we like the look of Gleison Bremer. Unlike Calhanoglu, the Brazilian centre back is not the most foul-happy of the likely starters for his side, but he is the central centre back in the back three, meaning he will be up against both Lautaro Martinez and Marcus Thuram.
The strikers top the fouls drawn list for Inter, with the Argentine racking up 2.29 per 90, with Thuram close behind with 1.80. They are far and away the most fouled Inter players, and with Inter likely to dominate the ball, they will be putting him under pressure all game long.
Bremer has committed 1+ fouls in 11 of his 12 starts and has made two or more in five of those 11.
Predictions:
🛑 Hakan Calhanoglu to commit 1+ fouls @ 1.13
🛑 Hakan Calhanoglu to commit 2+ fouls @ 1.67
🟨 Hakan Calhanoglu to be shown a card @ 3.50
🛑 Gleison Bremer to commit 1+ fouls @ 1.20
🛑 Gleison Bremer to commit 2+ fouls @ 2.00
* I recommend waiting for confirmed team line-ups before placing any bets.
* All odds displayed correct at the time of publishing.
Written by an Andy verified content writer
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