Aston Villa v Newcastle 5/1 Bet Builder Tips, Longshot Predictions & Cheat Sheet

Ramis Ibrahim
Avid football writer and Premier League specialist. Meticulous eye for player prop bets across English, European and International football honed over four years in football analysis.
Aston Villa had one of the best home records from the 24/25 season, they meet a Newcastle side that has struggled in the transfer window.
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- Aston Villa v Newcastle
- Premier League
- 12:30
- Aston Villa v Newcastle
- Premier League
- 12:30
📂 Aston Villa v Newcastle Cheat Sheet
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📈 Aston Villa v Newcastle Form & Tactics
Aston Villa fans will have hoped that their side was a bit more active in the transfer window seeing as they only notable singing they’ve made this summer is Evann Guessand from Nice, who is a talented player, but is unlikely to move the needle for Villa in terms of filling the gaps left by Marco Asensio and Marcus Rashford whose loan spells have both come to an end.
Aston Villa finished 6th last season representing the third consecutive season in which they’ve finished in the top seven in the Premier League which marks real progress for a side that was in the Championship as recently as the 2018/19 season. There was a big split when looking over Villa’s home and away performances last season - Villa won 11 of their 19 home games, losing just one of these fixtures and scoring 34 goals in the process. However, they lost eight more games on the road compared to their fixtures at Villa Park and scored 10 fewer goals, as well as conceding 11 more.
This is something that Emery will have to address this season, especially in instances where his side is travelling to face a Premier League side after a game in Europe. We can expect Villa to go far in the Europa League this season seeing as Unai Emery has lifted the trophy on four separate occasions with two different clubs.
It’s unravelling a little for Newcastle, though I would reserve passing judgement on the Magpies for now with Eddie Howe at the helm. Despite missing out on key targets and Alexander Isak demanding a move, Howe has shown that he can consistently beat the odds and develop players to levels we never thought possible, the signings of Jacob Ramsey and Anthony Elanga should continue to develop in the mould under the tutelage of Howe.
Newcastle’s main strength is their midfield and their fullbacks. The trio of Joelinton, Tonali and Guimaraes is arguably the best in the Premier League, it has certainly been constructed with the style of the Premier League in mind which always makes Newcastle quite an aggressive and physical side to play against.
Hall and Livramento will be key to any success that Newcastle have this season in my view. The Cobham academy graduate fullback pairing were incredibly effective last season in supporting Gordon and Murphy with superbly timed runs which allowed Newcastle to overload opposition sides down the flanks, whilst keeping a solid base in the middle of the park.
🏁 Ref Watch
Craig Pawson
Craig Pawson officiated Aston Villa games more than any other side last season, taking charge of their games on five occasions.
Craig Pawson averaged 4.32 yellow cards per game in the Premier League last season.
📊 Aston Villa v Newcastle Key Stats
Aston Villa only lost one game at home last season, winning 11 of their 19 matches at Villa Park.
Aston Villa are not a very direct side, they like to play through the thirds. Villa ranked 19th in the PL for accurate crosses per game (3.30) and 17th for accurate long balls per game (17.9).
Four of the last five head to head meetings between the sides at Villa Park have ended in wins for Aston Villa.
Newcastle were patchy on the road last season, winning just eight of their 19 away games and conceding 27 goals across these fixtures.
Newcastle will be without Alexander Isak for this opening fixture who is looking to force a move away from the club, Isak had a hand in 29 of Newcastle’s 68 Premier League goals last season (42.6%).
Newcastle failed to win any of their six pre-season games, losing four of these matches.
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