Kristiansund v Bodo/Glimt

• Bodo Glimt are reeling after suffering a shock defeat last week

• 9 of the last 11 H2H meetings have gone over 2.5 goals

• Bodo Glimt have won all of the last 11 H2H meetings

Kristiansund, who claimed a huge 4-1 win against Rosenborg in their last home match, now welcome a Bodo Glimt side who are reeling after a shock defeat last week. Defending Eliteserien champions Glimt have several games in hand but are down in 5th position, 14 points off the top of the table. 

They need to get back on track to put pressure on those above them and are the clear 1.28 favourites to win. This is expected to be a high-scoring contest with over 2.5 goals priced at 1.40 and over 3.5 goals also at an odds-on price.

⭐ Kristiansund v Bodo/Glimt Predictions and Best Bets

Bodo Glimt suffered a shock defeat last week at home to Sarpsborg 1-2 which should have them fully fired up here. They need a reaction and they should be able to show their quality and class. It is worth mentioning that five of their six wins this season have been by at least a three-goal margin. So when they win, they tend to win big and rack up the score. Therefore, taking Glimt on the -1 handicap could be a good bet @ 1.83. Kristiansund have suffered three out of five home defeats this season and been beaten by more than a one-goal margin on three occasions.

Over 2.5 goals also looks like a safe bet at 1.40. All of the last nine Bodo Glimt Eliteserien matches have gone over 2.5 goals so there is enough evidence on their side to support this bet. We could be in for a total shootout and recent head-to-head meetings also point towards overs with nine of the last 11 going over 2.5. Kristiansund have conceded 19 goals this season and have poor xGA metrics (1.66 per game). They scored 4 goals themselves in the most recent home match so might be able to contribute as well.

Bodo Glimt’s top striker Kasper Hogh, has been in brilliant form this season, scoring eight goals in ten Eliteserien matches. For once, he didn’t hit the back of the net last week which is a rare blank for him. He should be extra motivated to get back on the scoresheet. Hogh is a very confident player right now and a proven goalscorer. 1.72 looks a generous price for him to score anytime facing a team who have the fourth worst average xGA in the league.

⚫ Kristiansund Showing Midtable Unpredictability

The home side, Kristiansund, are the definition of a midtable side. They have five wins, six defeats and two draws with a goal difference of 17:19. This is a team capable of beating anyone on the day but who can also flatter to deceive. The last two results prove it. They recently beat Rosenborg 4-1 at home, which was a magnificent result. However, they could only back it up with a poor 0-0 draw away to rock bottom Haugesund last week.

Kristiansund have been better away from home this season and lost three out of five home fixtures. The difference has been in the goalscoring, where they’ve only scored six times in front of their own fans, four of those in one game against Rosenborg! Kristiansund have the fourth-worst average xGA per game in the Eliteserien (1.66), which is concerning from a defensive perspective.

🟡 Bodo Glimt Suffer Shock Defeat

Bodo Glimt were a team that looked like they needed a rest, and they came back with a bang two weeks ago when they easily beat Brann 3-0 at home. However, nobody expected them to lose against Sarpsborg in the previous round, especially after leading 1-0. Some very sloppy defending and poor finishing cost them, and it was a lazy performance. They outshot Sarpsborg 29 to 10 and won the xG battle 1.84 to 1.45.

Glimt only have the 9th best away record but have played just four road games this season, yielding two wins, one draw, and a defeat. Their underlying metrics are still very encouraging, having the second-best average xG per game in the Eliteserien (1.83). They also have the best average xGA (0.94) and are the only team to average less than one goal against per game in this metric.

📊 Kristiansund v Bodo/Glimt Head-to-Head Key Stats

Bodo Glimt have owned this H2H in recent years, winning the last 11 consecutive meetings. Glimt have won all of their last three visits to this stadium by at least a two-goal margin, so this is a ground they are very comfortable playing at.

Nine of the last 11 meetings have contained over 2.5 goals, and this is generally a high-scoring contest. Bodo Glimt won here 4-2 last season and won the reverse fixture 4-0.

The last time that Kristiansund avoided defeat against Bodo Glimt was way back in 2018 when they drew 1-1.

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* I recommend waiting for confirmed team line-ups before placing any bets.

* All odds displayed correct at the time of publishing.