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Inter Milan v Lazio Bet Builder Tips & Match Preview

Inter Milan v Lazio Bet Builder Tips & Match Preview

Friday 7 November, 20254 min read
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Ramis Ibrahim

Avid football writer and Premier League specialist. Meticulous eye for player prop bets across English, European and International football honed over four years in football analysis.

In this article...

Inter Milan welcome Lazio with Cristian Chivu’s side hoping to continue to pile pressure on league leaders Napoli, who sit just one point above the Nerazzurri. 

Lazio have struggled to find momentum under Maurizio Sarri so far this season, winning just one of their five games and languishing in 8th in Serie A, six points behind Sunday's opponents.

Our Football Match Stats, including Inter Milan v Lazio, provide further insight.

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Inter Milan v Lazio Best Bet Builder Bets
  • Inter Milan v Lazio
  • Serie A
  • 19:45
4 Selections @ 3.29

Lautaro Martinez to have 1+ Shots on Target

Martinez netted his 9th goal of the season across 17 appearances for Inter Milan last season against Kairat Almaty last time out. His shot volume is really promising when backing him for a shot on target here with Martinez having 31 shots across his 10 appearances in Serie A so far this term (3.71 per 90).

Seven of those attempts have found the target (0.84 per 90) which is a record that Martinez will be looking to improve on, as that only represents a shot accuracy of 23%, which is well below the level of clinical finishing he is capable of. Martinez maintained a 33% shot accuracy in Serie A last season, with 34 of his 102 attempts finding the target (1.19 per 90).

Inter are currently the best side in Serie A as shown by quite a few metrics. They’ve scored more goals than any other side (24), as well as sitting top of the xG table (19.1) and boasting the highest shots on target average per game of any team in Serie A this term (5.70 per game).

Danilo Cataldi to Commit 1+ Fouls

Cataldi sits at the heart of Lazio’s midfield which means he’ll have the almost impossible assignment of attempting to track the movement of Inter Milan’s midfield three. The rotations of the Inter Milan midfield were perfected by Simone Inzaghi and have been continued by Chivu with a technical trio of Nicolo Barella, Davide Frattesi and Piotr Zielinski expected to line up here.

This trio are averaging 3.44 fouls won per 90 between them in Serie A this season and we can expect them to cause Cataldi real problems. The most likely direct opponent for Cataldi is Frattesi with the Italian midfielder the most likely to break into the final third for Inter Milan. He’s averaging 1.90 fouls won per 90 in Serie A this term, the healthiest average of the three Inter Milan midfielders expected to line up here. 

Cataldi has committed 11 fouls across his nine appearances in Serie A this term (1.41 per 90) so his foul record matches up quite well with the intelligent movement of the Inter Milan midfield.

Over 4.5 Inter Milan Corners

Inter Milan are averaging 7.70 corners per game across their 10 matches in Serie A this term, the most of any side in the Italian top-flight. This average increases further to an incredible 9.40 corners per game when looking at their home matches, which is another metric that Inter rank top for in Serie A this season.

Lazio have struggled to keep the corner count down on the road this season, averaging 5.00 corners conceded per game on their travels. Maurizio Sarri’s side have conceded 4+ corners in four of their five away games this season, they’ve conceded 4+ corners in eight of their 10 games overall this term.

Inter Milan have seen 4+ corners in all 10 of their matches in Serie A this season. Eight of these matches have seen Inter Milan have more than four corners. 5+ should be achievable for them given those recent numbers.

Inter Milan to Win

Inter have won seven of their 10 games in Serie A this season and look to be a really complete side under Chivu, with the new coach building on the ideas of Simone Inzaghi who was really successful with Inter, winning every domestic competition on offer.

Inter have won four of their five home matches this season, netting 15 goals across these games which is the most of any side in Serie A. Inter Milan also rank top in Serie A for possession, shots on target and xG, so we could be seeing the origins of a potential title charge here from Inter Milan as they aim to reclaim the Scudetto from Napoli.

Lazio have really struggled on the road so far this season, winning just one of their five matches. I think they’ll struggle to live with the scoring power of Inter, with Sarri’s side only scoring three goals across their five away games so far - only three sides have scored fewer goals on their travels than Lazio in Serie A this season.

Lazio haven't beaten Inter since 2022 and that’s unlikely to change here with the dominance that Inter are showing in various aspects of their game so far this term.

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📈 Inter Milan v Lazio Form & Tactics

Chivu has been intelligent with how he’s managed this Inter side. It already had a lot of the ingredients to be a top performing side in Serie A and the Champions League, thanks to the work of Inzaghi, who had sculpted this side over the last few seasons to be a real force in Italian football and Europe.

It reminds me a little of the succession that took place between Jurgen Klopp and Arne Slot with Inzaghi leaving behind a side that is ready to challenge for major trophies. This has been evident so far this season with Inter coming out on top in the majority of attacking metrics, including shots on target, goals and xG. These underlying numbers could point to Inter as early title favourites with some rumblings of discontent at their title rivals, Napoli. 

Sarri was drafted back into the hot seat at Lazio following two unsuccessful spells for Lazio under Igor Tudor and Marco Baroni, who were ultimately unable to fulfil the demands of the board, which is European football.

The concerns are how weak Lazio have been on the road this term, winning just one of their five matches. They’ve only scored three goals across those games which is one of the weakest away goalscoring records in Serie A. Recent form has been a bit brighter with Lazio unbeaten across their last five matches, though three of those ended in draws - once again highlighting their inability to kill off games.


📔Inter Milan v Lazio Formation & Team News

Inter have stuck with their effective 3-5-2 shape this season but have added key and necessary attacking reinforcements, which have really helped to increase their attacking threat in games. Inter’s shape is incredible and an example of prime football organisation, though they did lack a bit of a spark in the final third last term which was exposed harshly by PSG in the Champions League final.

The additions of players like Pio Esposito and Ange-Yoan Bonny offer Inter more options in the final third, should their usual pairing of Marcus Thuram and Martinez fail. Martinez and Esposito are expected to be the duo that line up here, with Thuram still on the sidelines having suffered an injury in the early weeks of the campaign.

Lazio will line up in a 4-3-3 with a focus on building through the thirds. I’m quite familiar with Sarri’s style having watched it every week when he was Chelsea manager. He still wants his side to play in that same way, with a big focus on the holding midfielder as the dictator of play, but his patterns can lead to sanitised football which doesn’t actually create many goalscoring opportunities, as shown by only scoring three goals on the road this team.

Both sides are missing players, but Lazio’s injury list is a lot more significant than Inter Milan’s. Lazio are expected to be without Nicolo Rovella, Nuno Tavares, Alessio Romanogli, Fisayo Dele-Bashiru and Taty Castellanos for this encounter with nearly all of those players nailed on for a start if they were fit enough to play - this could really swing the pendulum in favour of Inter Milan with Lazio already weak on the road.


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* All odds displayed correct at the time of publishing.


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