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Nottingham Forest v Leeds Bet Builder Tips & Match Preview

Nottingham Forest v Leeds Bet Builder Tips & Match Preview

Friday 7 November, 20253 min read
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After kicking off his tenure as Nottingham Forest boss with a win, Sean Dyche was left frustrated in midweek, as his side were held to a 0-0 draw in the Europa League by Sturm Graz. That result made it three games without a win for the Tricky Trees, but they have looked more resolute at the back in recent weeks, and will hope to get back to winning ways against Leeds.

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Nottingham Forest v Leeds Best Bet Builder Bets
  • Nottingham Forest v Leeds
  • Premier League
  • 14:00
4 Selections @ 4.41

Nottingham Forest Double Chance

Forest conceded just three shots against Sturm Graz in midweek, with one of those being a hopeful 93rd-minute effort from beyond the halfway line. Prior to that, in the Europa League, an in-form Porto side managed just 10 shots worth 0.6 xG to highlight their defensive improvements.

Dyche does seem to have the backing of the home fans, and is undefeated in his two games on home turf so far, with a 2-0 win over Porto in his first game, and a 2-2 draw against Man United last weekend.

Meanwhile, Leeds are dancing dangerously close to the relegation zone, having lost five of their 10 league games so far. Four of those defeats have come on their travels, highlighting a vulnerability which doesn’t bode well for them here. They did pull off one victory, but that was against basement-dwellers Wolves, who are the only side in the division yet to win a game.

Nottingham Forest Goalkeeper to Make 2+ Saves

Based on that, Forest will fancy their chances of getting a positive result on Sunday afternoon, although it is unlikely to be one-way traffic. Dyche was able to afford some rest to key players, namely Elliot Anderson, who didn’t travel, but there will be an element of fatigue to consider for the hosts here, after a tough away day in Austria on Thursday night.

Matz Sels was also another player to sit out, with John Victor deputising between the sticks. Despite Forest’s dominance, the Brazilian was still forced into two saves.

Sels himself has been kept busy this season, and this selection has landed in all 10 Premier League matches so far. The Belgian ranks 2nd among all goalkeepers in the English top-flight for total saves made, which should give Leeds some confidence that they will get chances.

Nicolo Savona to Commit 1+ Fouls

With Ola Aina and Oleksandr Zinchenko currently occupying the treatment room, Dyche has a selection headache at full back. Both Neco Williams and Nicolo Savona retained their spot in the starting lineup in midweek, with limited senior options available on the bench.

Savona had an average of 0.68 fouls per 90 for Juventus last season in the Italian top-flight, but that has risen notably to 1.06 fouls per 90 this term in the Premier League. In fact, the Italian has landed this bet in all four starts for his new club, including multiple fouls in two of those matches.

The 19-year-old has taken some time to adjust to the physicality of the Premier League, and will have a tough test against Noah Okafor. The Leeds winger is averaging 1.4 fouls drawn per 90 in all competitions this term, and his dribbling prowess has proven to be difficult to deal with for opposing full backs.

Ethan Ampadu to Commit 2+ Fouls

Ethan Ampadu has been the destroyer in Leeds’ midfield, tasked with being aggressive in his duels and shutting down opposition attacks. In his last six starts, he has racked up a total of 12 fouls, while also picking up three bookings.

Last season, he had an average of 1.41 fouls per 90 despite featuring as a centre back for large parts of the campaign. Having been shifted forward into a more natural holding midfield spot, Ampadu has seen his foul count rise, averaging 1.67 fouls per 90 this term.

The Welshman will be up against Elliot Anderson in the Forest midfield, who is averaging 3.08 fouls won per 90 this season in all competitions, rising to 3.43 when playing at the City Ground. Anderson has drawn the 3rd-most fouls of any Premier League player this term, so it’s an ideal matchup to back Ampadu infringements.

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📂 Nottingham Forest v Leeds Cheat Sheet

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📈 Nottingham Forest v Leeds Form & Tactics

Sean Dyche secured his first win as Forest boss in his first game, against Porto in the Europa League, but hasn’t been able to build on that result. They followed it up with a 2-0 loss against Bournemouth at the Vitality Stadium, in a game which was largely devoid of chances. The hosts managed just 0.58 xG from 13 shots, while Forest posted just 0.37 xG.

Against Man United at the weekend, Forest were pegged back by an 81st-minute strike from Amad Diallo, but it could’ve been worse - Murillo pulled off a last-gasp clearance off the line to keep the scoreline even, and ensure Forest at least came away with a point. Their midweek stalemate made it three straight games without a win.

Leeds’ last game was against Brighton at the weekend, and the Seagulls ran riot at the Amex Stadium. Diego Gomez bagged himself a brace, while Danny Welbeck extended his excellent form with another goal. The hosts racked up a total of 3.07 xG, with Lucas Perri making four key saves to keep the scoreline from getting out of hand. Meanwhile, Leeds could only muster up a total of five shots worth 0.5 xG.


📔 Nottingham Forest v Leeds Formation & Team News

Ryan Yates kept his place in the starting lineup on Thursday after featuring against Man United at the weekend, and he is likely to partner Elliot Anderson in midfield. Dan Ndoye is set for a recall in place of James McAtee, while Callum Hudson-Odoi is ruled out.

Igor Jesus was suspended in midweek, allowing Arnaud Kalimuendo to make his first start for Forest, but the Frenchman struggled to really involve himself in the game before being subbed after 80 minutes. Jesus is likely to lead the line with Chris Wood out.

Willy Gnonto has returned to training after suffering a calf injury, but wasn’t involved at the weekend, so Okafor should keep his spot on the left wing. Jayden Bogle and Dominic Calvert-Lewin are doubts coming into this clash.


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