When a game involves Derby, you just have to factor in goals at the moment, so chuck in over 1.5 match goals.

There have been two or more goals scored in 13 of their last 14 Championship games, dating back to the start of November. The only exception was their 1-0 win on New Year’s Day at home to promotion-pushing Middlesbrough.

Six of their last seven at Pride Park have also seen both teams score, so that could be worth a look given the nature of these sides wanting to get the job done in 90 minutes, plus any weary limbs following the hectic festive schedule.

For Leeds, 16 of their last 17 top-flight games have seen 2+ goals. That includes Wednesday’s 4-3 defeat at Newcastle, where Brenden Aaronson’s 32nd-minute opener was quickly cancelled out by Harvey Barnes just four minutes later.

And when it comes to Daniel Farke’s men, their games have been fairly entertaining in recent weeks. They scored twice away at Man City and have also put three past Chelsea and Liverpool, as well as netting four against Crystal Palace.

The final leg of this Bet Builder looks at Derby to take at least three or more corners.

The Rams are good at racking up some decent team tallies, especially at home. They’ve taken 85 in 14 games at Pride Park – only Sheffield Utd’s 98 can better that – meaning they take an average of 6.1 per match.

What helps John Eustace’s side is his trusted formation, utilising wing-back to offer width and get balls into the opposition box. Leeds will be well aware of this, but a few blocked or deflected crosses will help to keep the hosts’ tally healthy.

In all 14 of their Championship home games, Derby have managed to record three-plus corners, with recent totals including 12 against Wrexham last time out, six against Portsmouth, and 11 when facing high-flying Millwall.

The Pride Park crowd will want them to give this a go against a Leeds side expected to make changes, so with the potential of having more match sharpness than those incoming visiting players, I’d expect a bright start and plenty of home corners.

Wilfried Gnonto has been a bit-part player for Leeds this season and is likely to be one of the changes made by Daniel Farke for this FA Cup tie.

The winger has played limited minutes, but some of his foul-drawing numbers are still noteworthy. In 10 minutes at home to Aston Villa in November, he drew two, then he won three free-kicks in the defeat at Man City.

More recently, he featured for 25 minutes in that entertaining 3-3 draw with Liverpool, winning two fouls in that time. Decent enough numbers, so a start against a Championship side makes his inclusion worthy.

During Leeds’ promotion campaign from the Championship last season, Gnonto averaged 2.53 fouls won per 90. Plus, when the Whites visited Pride Park, the Italian did draw a foul from a Derby player.

And when you look at his numbers in the 2024/25 FA Cup run, Gnonto was fouled eight times across their two matches – three against League Two Harrogate and five against Championship Millwall.

What’s more, the Leeds man faces a Derby side who rank third in the Championship this season for fouls committed (11.9).

Given that Derby commit the 3rd-most fouls of any Championship side, it makes sense to have another Ram on side. Matt Clarke looks a likely candidate to draw the attention of the officials as he has been whistled 10 times across his last eight starts, with at least one offence in seven of those.

If Daniel Farke goes with his strongest available lineup, Clarke will be tasked with containing Dominic Calvert-Lewin, who has been caught late 1.44 times per 90 this season. If Calvert-Lewin is rested, Clarke’s opposition will be Lukas Nmecha who has won 1.5 fouls per 90, and so whoever he’s up against, it’ll be a physical duel where he’ll do well to avoid a foul.