In this article…
Leeds v Derby
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Kick Off: Saturday 7th December at 12:30
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Competition: Championship
3rd placed Leeds United will be looking to bounce back from defeat at Blackburn Rovers last weekend, as they host Derby County on Saturday lunchtime.
Despite performing strongly on most underlying performance metrics, Leeds have struggled to put together a winning run of any length, with three in a row their longest streak so far.
The Rams are having a good season so far. They sit in 15th position in the table, only 5 points above the drop, but staying away from the bottom three for the most part.
⭐ Leeds v Derby Best Bets
Leeds are strong favourites for this game, so there is not much juice in their to win price, but by adding a clean sheet alongside the win boosts the odds nicely.
Leeds have won 7 of their 9 home games this season, 6 of them without conceding a goal. Only three sides have score against them, two of whom (Burnley and Watford), currently sit in the top 6. The other was an anomalous 3-3 draw on the opening day against Portsmouth.
Derby will have something to say about this, given they have scored in 7 of their 9 away games so far this season. However, the two they have failed to score against were at Sheffield United and Sunderland, 2 of the top 4, a club of which Leeds are currently also a member.
👕 Leeds v Derby Predicted XI
🔍 Leeds v Derby Players to Watch
⚪ Ao Tanaka
Japanese international midfield Ao Tanaka has probably played more minutes than he expected since joining Leeds in the summer, after injuries to Ilia Gruev and Ethan Ampadu left Tanaka and Joe Rothwell to make the central midfield positions their own.
One of Tanaka’s strength is breaking up play, much the same of what Gruev was tasked with last season. Tanaka has committed 12 fouls in Leeds’ last 5 games, with 2 or more committed in 4 of those 5 games.
🟢 Jerry Yates
Jerry Yates will have the job of first line of defence here, as we expect Derby to sit deep to try and soak up the pressure Leeds will inevitably apply.
That will probably involve chasing the likes of Jayden Bogle and Junior Firpo down the wings, and pressing Joe Rodon and Pascal Struijk in possession. The latter centre back pairing have each been fouled at least once in Leeds’ last 4 home games. Yates has committed 2 or more fouls in 3 of his last 4 starts.
📂 Leeds v Derby Cheat Sheet
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💻 Leeds v Derby Form and Tactics
Daniel Farke’s Leeds have been playing at a high level in the second tier for almost a season and a half now.
They have the second best xG for in the league after Middlesbrough, and the best xG against, yet still find themselves with two teams in front of them in the league. They play a 4-2-3-1 formation with a heavy emphasis on attack. They had won 3 games on the bounce before defeat at Blackburn last weekend.
Derby County have largely managed to avoid the very bottom end of the table so far, but are currently in the midst of a run just 1 win in 9 games. That win away at Coventry was their only 3 points of the season on the road, accompanying 3 draws and 5 losses.
They will be without midfield engine roomer Ebou Adams, and left back Callum Elder for this one.
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🏁 Leeds v Derby Ref Watch
- Referee: Matt Donohue
- Donohue has refereed 10 games in the Championship this season.
- He has shown 4.6 yellow cards per game, and 0.3 red cards per game.
- He has refereed each of these sides once this season, both sides won those games.
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* I recommend waiting for confirmed team line-ups before placing any bets.
* All odds displayed correct at the time of publishing.
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