Juventus have gotten off to a strong start this season, sitting second in Serie A, just one point shy of league-leaders Napoli. They remain undefeated in all competitions having played seven games.

Their defence has been impenetrable with the Bianconeri yet to concede in the league, despite having played six games. Across that period, they’ve conceded no more than 2.65xGa.

RB Leipzig’s league position and results seem to flatter them; in fact no Bundesliga team has exceeded their expected points (just 6.4) by more. They’ve also conceded more xG than they’ve recorded.

Another player we think has been priced generously to commit a foul is Brazilian centre-back, Gleison Bremer.

Despite Juventus’ defence not having too much to deal with this season, Bremer is still averaging 1.5 fouls per 90, being penalised in five of his six Serie A appearances. This is no anomaly as shown by his 1.67 average from last season including at least one in 83% of his matches.

Bremer too has a tricky duel ahead of him, in his case against Openda. The Belgian has been fouled at least twice in all four of his league starts this season, averaging 2.58 per 90.That’s a minor step up from his 2.12 average of the previous Bundesliga season, surely implying Bremer might have a tough time.

Although we haven’t seen a whole lot of Fagioli given he’s only 23 and has just returned from a seven month ban for gambling offences, what we have seen suggests he could be a real asset in the fouls market.

The Italian centre-mid is averaging 1.84 fouls per 90 in Serie A this season including at least one in all three starts. Most recently he sinned twice against Genoa last Saturday.

He’s likely to be enthralled in an intense battle with Christoph Baumgartner who in recent years has been prolific at drawing fouls. Most of the German’s appearances have been from the bench this season but his four fouls in just 106 minutes make for impressive reading. He completed last season with an average of 2.11 fouls won per 90.

Juventus have shown consistency in the corner market this season, averaging 4.17 per 90 and accumulating at least three in five of their six league games. Those have come against teams of varying quality, notably including Napoli and Roma.

Last season they averaged over 5 corners per match, exceeding 2.5 on 31 out of 38 occasions in the league.

Although RB Leipzig will certainly be worthy opponents, preventing opposition corners doesn’t appear to be too high up on their list of priorities, having conceded at least three in all six games. Across the period they’ve averaged a remarkable 7 corners conceded per game with Atletico Madrid accumulating 8 in their first Champions League clash.

Although this will surely be a significant and intense affair, there is little reason to suggest it’ll produce too many cards and these odds surely represent a pricing error.

RB Leipzig have picked up just six cards in their five Bundesliga matches so far, the fewest of any side in the league. They also average just 8.4 fouls per 90 with only Freiburg sinning less.

It’s a similar story for Juventus who’s seven yellow cards in six games is also the fewest in Serie A. None of their last six games have exceeded the 4.5 mark with them producing an average of just 2.2 per 90.

Francois Letexier is the designated referee for this affair which is also a positive sign for this selection.The Frenchman has handed out an average of just 3.57 yellow cards per game this season and 3.84 over the span of his career. This selection has won in seven of the last eight he has refereed.

The versatile midfielder took up a variety of different positions at Atalanta last season under Gasperini, operating at a 6, 8 and 10 depending on when it suited. Despite that, he still averaged 1.85 shots per 90.

This season, Thiago Motta seems to have settled with deploying him as a 10 meaning he received ample shooting opportunities. Across his four starts he’s averaged 2.5 shots per game, firing off at least two in 3 out of 4.

Koopmeiners versatility extends beyond just positionally, also accounting for shooting ranges which can be a real asset in a tightly-strung affair like we expect this to be. 22 of his 54 shots last came from outside of the box last season, meaning he can adapt to the game no matter how it plays out.

We’ve also identified backing Manuel Locatelli to draw a foul as a great selection. He’s averaged 0.92 fouls drawn per 90 so far this season which isn’t bad, but this leg is mainly motivated by his likely opponent.

Locatelli is likely to have to counter Christoph Baumgartner who’s averaged 3.53 fouls per 90 this season and 2.11 last year.

If that weren’t enough, the Italian defensive midfielder will also have to aid his centre-backs in dealing with Openda who will surely cause difficulties. He’s already won 11 fouls this season, contributing to a league average of over 2.5 per game.

Both sides have been strong defensively this season but Juventus in particular have looked almost unbreachable this season. They’re six games into the season and still yet to concede but have also failed to find the back of the net on three occasions.

RB Leipzig themselves have kept four clean sheets in their first five games, only failing to do so against reigning champions, Bayer Leverkusen. They haven’t conceded in any of their most recent three Bundesliga appearances and will probably aim to shut out Juventus with the priority atypically being keeping it tight at the back.