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Bayer Leverkusen v PSV Best Bet Preview

Bayer Leverkusen v PSV Best Bet Preview

Monday 29 September, 20252 min read
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Oliver Shaw

Fuelled by a passion for sport and a sharp instinct for uncovering patterns in data, beating the bookies became the perfect outlet for my competitive streak. Now I take pleasure in sharing my finds with ABC punters. I enjoy finding niche angles and betting value in a range of markets and leagues, my favourite being in Serie A.

Although it’s Leverkusen who made headlines for their early-season managerial turmoil, they’ve since shown tentative signs of recovery, albeit at a gradual pace.

They’ll host PSV, whose season, in typical Peter Bosz fashion, has been characterised by goals galore. This should bode pretty well for us neutrals, especially with Leverkusen’s matches rarely short on entertainment either. Both sides are still in search of their first win of the tournament, which should add some extra spice to this affair.

For further stats ahead of this clash in Germany, make sure to check our Leverkusen v PSV Betting Stats.

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Bayer Leverkusen v PSV Best Bet

Fixtures for: Wednesday 1st October

Bayer Leverkusen v PSV

Champions League

20:00

Over 2.5 Goals

I can’t wait for this match, with all indications suggesting that it should be one of those exhilarating end-to-end games we all dream of.

Bayer Leverkusen’s league games have averaged 3.6 goals, with both teams scoring in every single one. That trend has carried into Europe too, with their Champions League meeting with Copenhagen finishing 2-2 and producing over three expected goals.

PSV, meanwhile, have long produced some of Europe’s most exciting matchups, and this season has been no different. Their league games have produced a ludicrous average of 4.57 goals, and their 3-1 defeat to USG to open their Champions League campaign implies a similar ending to this one.

This selection has landed in each of PSV’s last four games, and in seven of their nine across all competitions since the start of the season. Similarly, Leverkusen have brought it home in five of their six to date, only falling short during their 1-1 draw with Borussia Monchengladbach.

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📈 Bayer Leverkusen v PSV Form & Stats

The hosts come into this clash unbeaten in five matches, although only two of those were wins. Nonetheless, this record represents a huge boost compared to their start to the season, which saw Ten Hag sacked after just two games at the helm.

Despite their rocky start, Leverkusen’s 2-1 victory over St. Pauli last time out lifted them to 4th in the league, though it was far from a confident display. Leverkusen mustered just five shots all game, creating a mere 0.69xG - marginally less than their opponents.

Worryingly, this doesn’t seem to be an outlier in Leverkusen’s season so far; their average of 1.33xG ranks as the Bundesliga’s 5th worst, and they only rank 7th best in terms of xGa per game.

Despite elements of inconsistency creeping into PSV’s performances in recent times, they will be comparatively much more content regarding their start to the season.

The Dutch giants sit 2nd in the Eredivisie, having recorded five wins alongside a draw with Ajax, and just a single defeat.

As is typical of Peter Bosz’s side, they top the league in terms of attacking output, averaging three goals and 2.19xG per game. At the same time, their defensive numbers are pretty troubling, even by their standards. PSV have already shipped 11 goals and are now six games without a clean sheet.


Football Predictions at Andy's Bet Club

Keep up with our Football Betting Tips, Accumulator Tips, and Gem Bets, as well as Champions League Predictions for this week, on Andy's Bet Club. We also have more Bayer Leverkusen v PSV Betting Stats available.

We've got you covered for Wednesday's Champions League action, with Barcelona v PSG Bet Builder Tips, Monaco v Man City Bet Builder Tips, Union Saint-Gilloise v Newcastle Bet Builder Tips, Arsenal v Olympiacos Bet Builder Tips, as well as a Champions League Acca, a Both Teams to Score Acca, and Leverkusen v PSV Betting Tips.

To elevate your punting potential, check out our xG Betting Guide and PPDA Explainer.

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* I recommend waiting for confirmed team line-ups before placing any bets.

* All odds displayed correct at the time of publishing.


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