Bayer Leverkusen v PSV Best Bet Preview

Oliver Shaw
Fuelled by a passion for sport and a sharp instinct for uncovering patterns in data, beating the bookies became the perfect outlet for my competitive streak. Now I take pleasure in sharing my finds with ABC punters. I enjoy finding niche angles and betting value in a range of markets and leagues, my favourite being in Serie A.
Although it’s Leverkusen who made headlines for their early-season managerial turmoil, they’ve since shown tentative signs of recovery, albeit at a gradual pace.
They’ll host PSV, whose season, in typical Peter Bosz fashion, has been characterised by goals galore. This should bode pretty well for us neutrals, especially with Leverkusen’s matches rarely short on entertainment either. Both sides are still in search of their first win of the tournament, which should add some extra spice to this affair.
For further stats ahead of this clash in Germany, make sure to check our Leverkusen v PSV Betting Stats.
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Bayer Leverkusen v PSV Best Bet
📈 Bayer Leverkusen v PSV Form & Stats
The hosts come into this clash unbeaten in five matches, although only two of those were wins. Nonetheless, this record represents a huge boost compared to their start to the season, which saw Ten Hag sacked after just two games at the helm.
Despite their rocky start, Leverkusen’s 2-1 victory over St. Pauli last time out lifted them to 4th in the league, though it was far from a confident display. Leverkusen mustered just five shots all game, creating a mere 0.69xG - marginally less than their opponents.
Worryingly, this doesn’t seem to be an outlier in Leverkusen’s season so far; their average of 1.33xG ranks as the Bundesliga’s 5th worst, and they only rank 7th best in terms of xGa per game.
Despite elements of inconsistency creeping into PSV’s performances in recent times, they will be comparatively much more content regarding their start to the season.
The Dutch giants sit 2nd in the Eredivisie, having recorded five wins alongside a draw with Ajax, and just a single defeat.
As is typical of Peter Bosz’s side, they top the league in terms of attacking output, averaging three goals and 2.19xG per game. At the same time, their defensive numbers are pretty troubling, even by their standards. PSV have already shipped 11 goals and are now six games without a clean sheet.
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