An 86th-minute deflected strike from Tottenham’s Heung-min Son on Saturday consigned Luton to their 18th Premier League defeat of the campaign, though the unfortunate Hatters are used to falling on the wrong side of fine margins.

In fact, 12 of their 18 top-flight defeats this term have been lost by a single-goal margin and the dogged relegation candidates have lost by a margin of three or more goals only twice since their promotion, with one of those heavy reverses coming against Liverpool at Anfield (4-1).

Town held their own against Arsenal at Kenilworth Road in December before a 96th-minute Declan Rice strike allowed the Gunners to prevail in a seven-goal thriller, and while Luton also seem destined to lose Wednesday’s rematch, they could produce a respectable effort again.

Arsenal have been priced as short as 1.10 to claim maximum points at Luton’s expense, though Luton look like an excellent alternative at a much keener price in the +3.0 goal handicap stakes.

Elsewhere, backing over 2.5 goals to land should be a safe inclusion. Luton’s Premier League games have been averaging 3.50 goals per 90 minutes this season while the net rattled at least three times in ten of their last 13 outings in the division.

90% of Arsenal’s last ten league assignments also breezed past the over 2.5 goal line.

Every single member of Arsenal’s starting front six clocked at least two shots when the Gunners edged out Luton at Kenilworth Road in December, so expect a similar trend in Thursday’s do-over at the Emirates Stadium.

Skipper Martin Odegaard was one of six Arsenal players to register a shot on target on that occasion, and with some of his team-mates priced in unappealing fashion, the Norwegian is our pick to hit at least one accurate effort again this week.

The 25-year-old has been averaging 2.10 shots per Premier League appearance this season and he won’t be shy about letting loose again if offered a sight at goal.

Moving away from accuracy, it could be worthwhile backing Bukayo Saka to rack up at least three attempts from his berth on the right wing. Saka didn’t impact proceedings against City on Sunday, however, he hit at least three shots in seven straight league fixtures before that and he should be able to get his numbers back up to speed against Luton.

Only Manchester City (7.79) have been winning more corners on average per game than Arsenal (7.52) in the Premier League this season and while that stat isn’t likely to raise any eyebrows, Luton’s position as the eighth-best corner-winning outfit this term might.

The adventurous Hatters managed to earn at least six corners in six of their last eight Premier League fixtures and Town’s knack for winning those particular set pieces could push the overall corner count to lofty levels this week.

Luton’s league games have been producing an average 11.53 corners per contest and 11 of them were awarded when they hosted Arsenal in December. Backing 10+ corners to land in Wednesday’s return fixture could be a savvy manoeuvre, while the Gunners have some pull in the 7+ team corners arena.

Arsenal won seven or more corners in three of their last four Premier League tests and across five previous meetings with newly promoted sides since August, the Gunners averaged 8.00 corners per game. Back them to maintain that average here.

Luton committed twice as many fouls as Arsenal (14-7) in December’s goal bonanza between the teams and with the Gunners likely to enjoy nearly 70% possession against the Hatters on Wednesday evening, the count could be weighted in a similar direction again.

Town full backs, Issa Kabore (four) and Alfie Doughty (two), committed six fouls between them in Luton’s 4-3 loss to Arsenal before Christmas on what was a testing evening for both defenders, and they could toil in their attempts to shackle the Gunners’ technically-gifted flankers again this week.

Kabore is a strong candidate in the 2+ fouls stakes at Kenilworth Road, while Doughty should be good for at least one foul on the opposite side – a feat he achieved in six of his last eight starts.

Enthusiastic 22-year-old Kabore somehow escaped the referee’s wrath when he committed four fouls against Arsenal last year, though he is unlikely to avoid the book if his foul count is similarly high this time around.

Kabore has already been cautioned more often (7) than any other Luton player this term and it’s interesting to note, that six of his seven bookings were accumulated on the road. That record suggests Kabore is among the likeliest Hatters players to see yellow again on Wednesday.