Manchester City v Leeds United
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Kick Off: 15:00
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Competition: Premier League
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Watch Live: Sky Sports Main Event
Manchester City vs Leeds United predictions have been made slightly harder after the appointment of Sam Allardyce, but that does not change the importance of this match. Leeds cross the Pennines for a match that has permutations at both ends of the table, Manchester City are chasing the title while Leeds look to fight off relegation. This article lays out some Manchester City vs Leeds bet builder tips as well as suggesting a 3/1 bet builder based on stats and research.
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Pep’s Men chasing the Premier League crown
While the coronation is taking place this weekend, Manchester City have their eyes on a different crown, they need to keep winning to hold off Arsenal and win the Premier League. Manchester City’s form is sensational, they haven’t lost a match since the start of February, a run of 19 matches without a loss. Their home form is even better, 14 wins in a row suggests any Manchester City bet builders would have to be based on a dominant Manchester City performance. In this crazy run of form at home Manchester City have found it easy to score goals, they have scored at least 3 goals in 12 of their last 14 home matches, only failing to do so against Arsenal and Newcastle.
While City sit one point above Arsenal in the league right now, they still have a game in hand, this means 4 wins from their last 5 will guarantee them the league title and 4 wins in a row now will see them secure the title before the final day, something Pep will be keen to happen. Pep has Manchester City laser-focused right now but the only thing that makes bet builder predictions harder here is their game in midweek. Pep may rest players ahead of the Champions League semi-final, the one competition they are yet to win.
Manchester City Team News
Manchester City are not only in great from, but they have a full squad available to them. Kevin De Bruyne has missed a few matches with illness but could be available again for this match meaning Pep has a full squad to choose from. When writing a Manchester City bet builder it is always hard to work out which players Pep will start, he found a way to get Haaland, Grealish, Mahrez, Silva and Alvarez all on the pitch in their match against West Ham. Manchester City are expected to line up in their 3-2-4-1 formation again but it is to be seen who will start with a big Champions League game in midweek.
Will Allardyce be able to save sinking Leeds?
The managerial change at Leeds throws a real spanner in the works when looking for the best Manchester City vs Leeds bet builder tips. Leeds fans gave a vote of no confidence for Javi Gracia and the board responded quickly by sacking him and bringing in Sam Allardyce for their final 4 games. As it stands, Allardyce doesn’t have to save Leeds, they are 1 spot above the relegation zone, but with Manchester City, Newcastle, West Ham and Tottenham still to play, Leeds may need to pick up some points from unlikely matches if they are to stay up.
Leeds have conceded 18 goals in their last 5 matches and lost 4 of those last 5, without the change in manager the obvious Leeds bet builder prediction would be for them to suffer a heavy loss. Allardyce is not a miracle worker however and while he comes with a certain aura around him, it will almost certainly be too much to have turned Leeds into a team that can challenge Manchester City already, however, his appointment will give Leeds fans some hope.
Leeds United Team News
Leed’s main injury news is that Luis Sinisterra is out until the end of the season, the Colombian had been on great form for Leeds and will be a miss in an attacking sense. The injury to Liam Cooper in the match against Bournemouth was further bad news for Leeds, he is a talisman at the back for them and is a leader on the pitch and in the dressing room. Leeds have no midweek matches left this season, Allardyce has no reason to rest any fit players and will put their strongest team out. In his last job, Allardyce favoured a 4-1-4-1 formation, however, he has stated that his team will plough through the data to find Leeds’ strengths and will play to suit them. I would not be surprised if he went with a similar formation here, Bamford up top could be his favoured man, and Gnonto out wide may be his favoured creative player.
Manchester City v Leeds United Cheat Sheet
With goals coming thick and fast for City at the Etihad recently, it would be smart to back the Cityzens to pile on the misery for Leeds United and new boss Sam Allardyce. Taking a look at the team stats alone, City dominate other sides on possession, corners, goals, and shots on target.
Our scout has leaned heavily on the fouls markets in their bet builder below and it’s clear to see why. The two players selected lead the way for fouls for their respective teams with Rodri averaging 1.52 fouls per game and Wilfried Gnonto 1.56 fouls per game. Both of these players have favourable matchups with Gnonto the lead speedster for Allardyce to counter Rodri with and also the main presser.
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Manchester City v Leeds United
Kick Off: 15:00
Competition: Premier League
Watch Live: Sky Sports Main Event
Selection: 1 of 3
Prediction: Manchester City (-1 Handicap)
Odds: 1.44
Despite Allardyce coming in at Leeds, it is hard to see anything but a Manchester City win here. Manchester City are so good at home, they have won 14 matches in a row. Leeds have struggles on the road, just 1 win in their last 9 away matches with the toughest away match in the league up next. Manchester City have won all of their last 10 home matches by at least 2 goals, last failing to do so against Arsenal in the FA Cup. Leeds have conceded in their last 11 matches in a row, it shouldn’t be too hard for Manchester City to unlock their defence.
Selection: 2 of 3
Prediction: Wilfried Gnonto to commit 1+ Foul
Odds: 1.40
Manchester City play football that makes it easy to frustrate the opposition which will likely lead to Leeds fouls. Leeds commit more fouls per 90 than any other team in the league. Gnonto is one of Leeds’ best players and should start here. Allardyce always likes a tenacious winger that can create chances by himself and Gnonto will be given freedom going forward but will also have a clear defensive role. Gnonto averages 1.72 fouls per 90 and has committed a foul in 6 of his last 9 matches. The Leeds players are frustrated with their team’s form right now and from a betting point-of-view this suggests that they will commit fouls more often when things aren’t going their way, making fouls a good market in a Leeds bet builder.
Selection: 3 of 3
Prediction: Rodri to commit 2+ Fouls
Odds: 1.91
Manchester City’s 3-2-4-1 formation means that their defensive midfielder’s have to help cover out wide when defending. Allardyce teams have always been strong from set pieces and they are something that can be coached into the players quickly, Leeds will have some new set piece routines for the match here. Leeds will want to draw fouls and win free kicks high up the pitch for this reason. The likes of Gnonto and Aaronson are very good at drawing fouls, they both draw over 2 fouls per 90 on average. It makes sense for a Manchester City vs Leeds bet builder that Rodri will draw more fouls than usual. Rodri averages 1.52 fouls per 90, the most on City’s team and committed 4 fouls the last time the teams met.
Written by an Andy verified content writer
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