Outright Betting Tips Book #9: Hull to be Relegated

Outright Betting Tips Book #9: Hull to be Relegated

Thursday 24 April, 20251 min read
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Championship Outright Betting Tip: Hull to be Relegated @ 9.0

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🆕 Our expert will scour the market to find the best value outright betting tips, in the aim of turning a profit come the end of the season.

We will be filling in an outrights book at the bottom of this page to keep track, staking the same amount (one unit) on each bet.

There is generally more value available to bettors in the outright markets because they are less popular than match-by-match betting, and therefore the prices are not as watertight with less time spent focussing on pricing them up by the bookmaker.


⬇️ Hull to be Relegated

📈 Odds: 9.0

The Championship relegation battle is a titanic scrap with countless permutations and no one yet relegated with only two games left. However, when working through the possibilities, it felt as though Hull, in particular, had a better chance of being relegated than they have been given in the bookmakers' odds.


bet365 make them a 9.0 shot, which is joint top price with a couple of other bookmakers, but prices range down to 7.0 as well.


The value in this bet basically comes down to the interpretation of how the Hull v Derby match will go on Saturday. Derby showed on Easter Monday that they are capable and in good enough form to travel and put in a committed performance to get a deserved win.


There is confidence in the first XI and structure that John Eustace has provided, so the prospect of going to the MKM will not be a daunting one. Derby will see it as an opportunity to practically guarantee their own survival with a win, putting them above Hull in the process.


This bet isn't a huge slight on Hull either. They have been competent under Ruben Selles, and the win against Preston on Monday will clearly help them, but they are still only two points above the drop zone, with every team in the division only two wins away from overtaking them. They have lost three of their last six, and, taking penalties out of the equation, they lost the xG battle at home to Preston on Monday.


An away game at in-form Portsmouth on the final day, in front of a no doubt jubilant Fratton Park crowd, certainly does not scream an easy three points, even though Portsmouth will have nothing to play for on the day.


Meanwhile, one looks at the remaining relegation contenders, and the majority of teams below Hull look in form, with confidence, and with fixtures that they could potentially get wins from.


Plymouth's away form has been atrocious, and will realistically see them down, but they played well at Middlesbrough in a very tight defeat, and have won three of their last five. Travelling to out-of-form Preston and then playing already promoted Leeds gives them a chance to outrun their odds.


Cardiff have given their chances a roll of the dice by giving Aaron Ramsey the job till the end of the season. Woeful West Brom at home and then woeful Norwich away are definitely winnable matches.


Luton are playing like a play-off quality team right now. Coventry are stuttering badly, and then WBA for The Hatters, could easily be four points at least.


Derby play Stoke at home on the final day, which should be in Derby’s favour.


Above Hull, Oxford play a Sunderland team that are heavily, heavily rotated ahead of a play-off campaign, but Swansea away seems a fairly tough final day assignment.


Preston host Plymouth, but have play-off chasing Bristol City on the final day.


Stoke should try to capitalise on Sheffield United, knowing they will finish 3rd regardless, by trying to get a point that will likely see them safe before going to Derby on the final day.


If teams below Hull continue their form, they could easily end up having their fate out of their own hands by the final day. It all depends on Saturday's result, and 9.0 seems a bit big considering all of that.

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