It hasn't quite boiled down to a two-horse race, Sam Smith and Charlie Kelman have maintained good form, but Richard Kone and Jay Stansfield have a two goal lead in the top goalscorer standings in League One, and Stansfield has much in his favour to suggest that the slight odds-on shot is actually quite generous.

Beginning with the basic maths of how much of the League One season there is left, Birmingham have played 39 matches, whereas Wycombe have completed 40. This obviously gives Stansfield around 100 potential extra minutes on the pitch over Kone, and another 100 minutes over Wrexham’s Sam Smith who have played 41 matches.

There is also club form to consider here as well. Birmingham, having been fairly tight for the vast majority of the season, have begun to cut loose a little more and have bagged 12 times in their last three matches, Stansfield grabbing two of those, albeit both from the penalty spot. Indeed, nine of Stansfield’s 18 League One goals have come from the spot, which is an outrageous total, but when you are playing for a team as dominant as Birmingham, penalties do tend to be more regular, and this shouldn’t put us off Stansfield’s chances.

On the other hand, from Richard Kone’s perspective, Wycombe have become somewhat nervy when approaching the finishing line. The Chairboys have scored once in their last three, and Kone himself failed to convert eight attempts and over 1 xG at home to Shrewsbury recently.

Wycombe have, on paper at least, a very tricky run-in. They are away at Huddersfield on Tuesday, then play home matches against Stevenage, Charlton, and Stockport County, two of the fellow play-off contenders, and they also play Bolton and Leyton Orient away. Five of their six opponents then currently have play-off ambitions and are likely to be tough matches.

Stansfield’s Birmingham have things much easier. After a trip to Peterborough on Tuesday, Birmingham play Crawley, one of the EFL’s leakiest defences, and Mansfield at home. They are away at Burton, Stevenage, Blackpool, and Cambridge. Birmingham play one current top half side in their remaining fixtures.

There is a slight concern that the fixture congestion could mean some rotation, or that once Birmingham have sealed their promotion and title win that they should slacken off somewhat or that they won’t feel the need to select their best players, but Stansfield has been a big presence in the team, starting almost every match, and it is unlikely that Chris Davies will want to change much at this stage.