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Roma v Lille Best Bet Preview

Roma v Lille Best Bet Preview

Wednesday 1 October, 20252 min read
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Harry Nye

Harry is a Christchurch-based football enthusiast whose love for sport and numbers naturally led him into the world of sports betting. While studying Mathematics at university, Harry began combining his analytical mindset with his passion for football. Harry focuses predominantly on football, with a particular emphasis on the Bundesliga this season, though as a Liverpool supporter (with a soft spot for QPR thanks to his dad), English football remains close to his heart. Whether it's late-night research or diving into stat models, Harry thrives on spotting the bets others might miss.

Both sides come into this tie having won their opening fixtures, meaning there is a chance for one to seize early control of the group with a perfect record. Yet while both enjoyed success on matchday 1, their domestic form tells contrasting stories. Roma have carried momentum from last season into the current campaign, building an impressive run of results that has reestablished the Stadio Olimpico as a fortress. Lille, meanwhile, arrive off the back of inconsistency in Ligue 1, and against another step up in opposition quality, the Italians enter as favourites.

For further stats ahead of this clash in Italy, make sure to check our Roma v Lille Betting Stats.

These recommended Best Bet Builder Bookmakers are worth a browse ahead of the weekend.

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Roma v Lille Best Bet

Fixtures for: Thursday 2nd October

Roma v Lille

Europa League

17:45

Over 3.5 Roma Corners

Roma’s expected dominance makes this selection an attractive angle. They average 5.83 corners this season and have taken five or more in all but one fixture. At home their numbers are even stronger, clearing this line in seven of their last eight competitive games, and in 10 of their last 14 at the Stadio Olimpico.

What strengthens this further are Lille’s concession statistics. The French side average 3.71 corners against, but recent trends show vulnerability, conceding four or more in each of their last four fixtures. That includes their home match against Brann in matchday 1, a side far below the calibre of Roma in terms of attacking quality and sustained pressure.

Looking back to last season, Lille conceded an average of 3.93 corners when facing elite European opposition, with that number rising to 4.43 in away games. With Roma expected to control possession and force Lille into long spells of defending, generating four or more corners looks highly achievable once again.

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📈 Roma v Lille Form & Stats

Roma’s momentum is clear. They have won 10 of their last 12 competitive matches stretching back into last season (losing the other two), including five of their opening six this campaign. Their latest victory came at the weekend with a comfortable win over Verona, extending a remarkable home record that has seen them win 17 of their last 21 matches at the Stadio Olimpico (drawing three and losing one of the other four). Facing another French opponent, the Giallorossi will be aiming to begin the main draw of this competition with back-to-back victories for just the second time since its rebrand from the UEFA Cup in 2009.

Lille, by contrast, arrive in patchier form. They were beaten 1-0 by Lyon last weekend, leaving them with two defeats from their last three matches, and the only win in that run came against Brann on matchday 1 — a fixture far less testing than what awaits them in Rome. The French side have historically struggled to start fast in Europe, never previously beginning a Europa League campaign with successive wins since the competition’s rebrand.

Even more concerning for Paulo Fonseca’s men is their away record in this competition: just three wins from their last 16 Europa League main draw fixtures on the road. More broadly, they have won only three of their last 10 competitive away matches across all competitions. While early-season form did bring three wins from four games, scoring 13 goals in the process, their recent slump suggests another tough European night lies ahead.


Football Predictions at Andy's Bet Club

Keep up with our Football Betting Tips, as well as Europa League Predictions for this week, on Andy's Bet Club.

For Thursday's football, we also have a Europa League Accumulator, Sturm Graz v Rangers Bet Builder Tips, Nottingham Forest v FC Midtjylland Bet Builder Tips, Celtic v Braga Betting Tips, and Feyenoord v Aston Villa Bet Builder Tips.

Goals bettors should check out our Over 2.5 Goals Acca Tips, too.

We've collected the Best Free Bets and Odds Boosts, two of the best for the former are the bet365 Sign Up Offer, and the Paddy Power Sign Up Offer.


* I recommend waiting for confirmed team line-ups before placing any bets.

* All odds displayed correct at the time of publishing.


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