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Spain v Germany Bet Builder Tips & Longshot

Spain v Germany Bet Builder Tips & Longshot

Thursday 4 July, 20241 min read
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Robin Bairner

Robin is a specialist in Scottish and French football and has been with us since 2022. He loves championing the young talent that Ligue 1 produces on a seemingly perpetual basis as well as the chaos of the unique world of SPFL football. He is currently based in central Scotland and can be found weekly taking in games and rating pies at windswept venues across the country.

In this article...

Spain v Germany Bet Builder Tips & Longshot

Two of the tournament favourites will go head-to-head in the first quarter-final on Friday as hosts Germany face Spain.

Below, we’ve put together a bet builder at 4/1 and a longshot at 8/1 for this quarter-final clash between Spain and Germany. We also have a Spain v Germany betting preview that provides you with all the key stats from both sides ahead of this huge game.

Our Euro 2024 betting tips are very wide-ranging, whether it be: Euro 2024 acca tips, btts predictions, fouls betting tips, or even shots on target tips we've got you covered.

Potential returns can be elevated by following us in with those football tips while dipping into our list of Euros betting offers and the best bet builder sites.

Onto our the Spain v Germany bet builders...

4/1 Spain v Germany Bet Builder Tip

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🎯 Jamal Musiala to have 1+ shots on target 🔄️

📈 Odds: 1.83

Musiala has arguably been Germany’s star performer in front of goal at Euro 2024 as he has managed three goals in four appearances at the competition. The Bayern Munich man has hit the target with a shot exactly once in every match he has played so far in the tournament. Confidence should be high for the youngster, which should encourage him to strike at goal, even from more testing positions. He has had success with relatively low-percentage shots lately, with his three goals coming from just 0.9 xG, so he should have no fear when it comes to trying his luck from long range and tight angles. The 21-year-old has had his minutes managed in the tournament so far, but if the situation becomes clutch for Germany, he still has the capacity and energy to go deep in a game. Played a tournament-high 80 minutes against Denmark. Manager Julian Nagelsmann clearly has immense confidence in his qualities. Musiala posted 1.08 shots on target per 90 with Bayern Munich in the Bundesliga last season.

🛑 Kai Havertz to commit 2+ fouls

📈 Odds: 1.83

An energetic presser of the ball, Havertz typically gives away numerous fouls per game. He has illustrated this with Arsenal this season as he committed 1.67 fouls per 90 in the Premier League. He has not committed a foul in his last two outings but Havertz has not gone three competitive matches all season without committing at least two fouls in total. The Arsenal man currently ranks second for fouls committed by Germany players at Euro 2024 with five, level with Jonathan Tah. Only Robert Andrich, who has eight, has posted more fouls than the Arsenal striker. He is giving up 1.52 fouls per 90 at Euro 2024, which is third behind only the aforementioned Andrich and Tah among Germany players who have featured for at least 180 minutes of the competition.

🛑 Marc Cucurella to commit 1+ fouls 🔄️

📈 Odds: 1.30

Chelsea defender Cucurella is likely to be given the tricky task of pinning down Jamal Musiala, who has drawn 2.73 fouls per 90 across his Euro 2024 outings. In absolute terms, the Bayern Munich man has been fouled nine times, which is joint-fourth most in the competition. Cucurella has started three of Spain’s four matches and has given away at least one free kick in every game he has played. While playing with the Blues last season, he committed 1.16 fouls per 90. Although he has delivered only three crosses, he is getting forward in this competition, and therefore leaving space on the break for the opposition to exploit. With 35.9 touches in the attacking third per match, he is an active offensive player and that could force him to commit a foul when tracking back.

8/1 Spain v Germany Longshot

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🎯 Fabian Ruiz to have 1+ shots on target 🔄️

📈 Odds: 2.30

Spain are likely to try to get on the front foot and dominate in terms of both possession and territory. They have had the most possession in each of their last three games, enjoying a minimum of 57% of the ball. Fabian Ruiz has been a valuable weapon with his late runs into the box, which he has clearly been encouraged to make from a tactical standpoint. He is the only Spain player to have scored more than a single goal at the finals. Ruiz leads his country in terms of shots on target at the tournament, with 1.72 per 90 and five overall. Ruiz has managed at least one shot on target in the three Euro 2024 games he has played, including two against Italy and Georgia. A strong goal return from those efforts will encourage him to shoot more.

🧤 Spain GK to make 3+ saves

📈 Odds: 1.57

Spain have only conceded one goal at Euro 2024 but are likely to be put to the test against a dangerous offensive opponent. Germany are a significant level above the likes of Italy, Albania and Georgia in terms of their offensive power and also stronger than Croatia, who managed four shots on target. Germany have managed 27 shots on target (excluding two penalties) across their four matches at an average of 6.75. Only Spain (7.25) have managed more. Which suggests that Spain will come under some pressure in this encounter. Unai Simon, who is likely to be preferred to David Raya, has a save percentage of 83.3%, which ranks well among goalkeepers in the tournament. Overall, Spain’s shot-stopper has kept out 90% of shots on target, with the exception being an own goal from Robin Le Normand. He has faced 3.3 xG, so is in good form having not conceded from an opponent's shot yet.

🛑 Spain to commit 13+ fouls

📈 Odds: 2.30

Spain have not been afraid to commit fouls at Euro 2024 when the time has called for it. They have given away 14.3 fouls per match on average. This is the third-highest figure among all teams at the competition and the highest of any team that has qualified for the quarter-finals by 2.5 per 90. They have never been below double figures in terms of fouls committed in any of their four matches in the tournament, and they have committed at least 13 fouls on three occasions. Their low came in the last round against Georgia (11), when they posted an enormous 75% possession, limiting their opportunities to give them away. They are, however, very unlikely to dominate Germany so comprehensively. Germany have been winning more fouls as the tournament has progressed. After picking up only nine against Scotland and ten against Hungary, they have posted 13 and 14 against Switzerland and Denmark respectively as the games have become more competitive.
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